Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$178

Unrealized P&L

+$1.40K

Hit rate

57.8%

Resolved (7d)

2,175

Trades (7d)

4,142

153,162 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$13.1K

$400.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$1.86K

5 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 10-31 15:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 182 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 39% -$371

Other

3% 51% +$62

Tech

1% 100% +$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 1674 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes		+1,862	-$81	100¢	$1.9K	+$1,941	10-11 09:32
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	—	+5	$2	50¢	$2	$0	10-31 16:50
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes		+1,859	$537	0¢	$2	-$535	10-12 04:21
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	—	+5	$2	15¢	$1	-$2	10-31 16:45
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	—	+5	$2	1¢	$0	-$2	10-31 16:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	16	$2.5K	4,167	2,308	+1,859	open	—	10-12 04:21
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?	8	$1.1K	2,358	734	+1,624	open	—	10-19 16:43
LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winner	20	$730	1,000	1,000	+0	FURIA Esports	-$170	10-17 20:20
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	6	$681	2,383	521	+1,862	open	—	10-11 09:32
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?	4	$421	1,327	259	+1,068	open	—	10-01 16:27
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	3	$416	621	621	+0	open	—	10-01 15:49
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?	4	$380	438	438	+0	open	—	10-02 00:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	35	$323	350	300	+50	Up	+$25	10-02 12:24
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	2	$300	376	0	+376	Yes	+$76	10-28 17:06
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	3	$260	1,088	0	+1,088	open	—	09-30 20:06
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	2	$255	429	0	+429	Yes	+$174	09-30 20:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 18:00 UTC	26	$187	200	180	+20	Up	-$10	09-16 17:59
Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	4	$149	152	152	+0	Yes	+$42	09-16 19:33
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	3	$132	167	167	+0	open	—	10-02 06:59
Will Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	3	$120	403	344	+59	open	—	10-29 04:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	20	$104	120	91	+29	Down	-$15	10-28 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	19	$99	125	75	+50	Down	-$25	09-20 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	13	$96	120	72	+48	Up	+$4	10-03 01:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 19:30 UTC	16	$94	150	40	+110	Down	-$14	09-19 20:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 06:25 UTC	14	$92	110	75	+35	Down	-$7	09-20 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	13	$89	100	80	+20	Up	-$10	09-19 06:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:45 UTC	19	$89	100	80	+20	Up	+$10	09-15 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	8	$87	100	75	+25	Up	+$13	09-20 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	10	$87	125	50	+75	Up	+$13	09-20 22:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 22:50 UTC	13	$86	100	75	+25	Up	-$12	09-20 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	7	$82	115	50	+65	Up	+$8	09-25 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	11	$80	100	60	+40	Up	+$0	10-03 23:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 16:55 UTC	17	$80	80	80	+0	Up	+$0	09-19 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	16	$80	80	80	+0	Down	$0	09-18 11:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 16:00 UTC	10	$79	100	60	+40	Down	-$20	09-19 15:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 16:50:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbf5c9b…
10-31 16:45:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x10cb70…
10-31 16:35:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2656ad…
10-31 16:34:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x546d50…
10-31 16:30:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x452b0a…
10-31 16:24:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xea7c6b…
10-31 16:24:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x177133…
10-31 16:05:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9ae4f2…
10-31 15:35:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x819522…
10-31 15:05:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x292c45…
10-31 15:00:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9e0aea…
10-31 14:35:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xdef71d…
10-31 14:00:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x375bd2…
10-31 13:58:46	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe7b423…
10-31 13:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0c25cd…
10-31 13:50:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc9297b…
10-31 13:45:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9a6a3c…
10-31 13:40:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfb94bc…
10-31 13:35:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3f2dee…
10-31 13:00:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb93bca…
10-31 12:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfb4c33…
10-31 12:50:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3bdd88…
10-31 12:45:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe7fd42…
10-31 12:40:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x59dcb6…
10-31 12:38:06	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xde757d…
10-31 12:37:07	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x9b91fe…
10-31 12:36:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xe25673…
10-31 12:35:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3830ea…
10-31 12:30:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa0214f…
10-31 12:25:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x64bba1…
10-31 11:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9ab911…
10-31 11:50:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xcbb61f…
10-31 11:45:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x786ca2…
10-31 11:40:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x162e3e…
10-31 11:35:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbea0cd…
10-31 11:04:58	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x59d06c…
10-31 11:04:58	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x59d06c…
10-31 10:52:48	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3ea20f…
10-31 10:30:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xab753b…
10-31 10:25:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa6b8ef…
10-31 10:20:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xcbfeb8…
10-31 10:15:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x98ce68…
10-31 10:10:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x295425…
10-31 10:00:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb613d5…
10-31 09:50:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7a51ab…
10-31 09:40:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9f1272…
10-31 09:35:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf1deaf…
10-31 09:30:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x991004…
10-31 09:25:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5b0557…
10-31 09:14:27	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x36cd3b…
10-31 09:14:27	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x2af061…
10-31 08:41:09	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf1b060…
10-31 08:20:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x417f73…
10-31 08:10:07	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-31 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd3a0b6…
10-31 07:30:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x443c10…
10-31 07:25:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa63c0a…
10-31 07:20:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf32cd8…
10-31 07:07:54	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe0a7d7…
10-31 06:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x713fe7…
10-31 06:52:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x105600…
10-31 06:52:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfb5b41…
10-31 06:50:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xdbbcec…
10-31 06:45:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4d8feb…
10-31 06:25:18	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb05304…
10-31 06:05:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1678a5…
10-31 05:44:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x51f192…
10-31 05:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	49¢	$10	0xcc1c3c…
10-31 05:15:49	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x4ed6e2…
10-31 05:15:49	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x4ed6e2…
10-31 05:09:49	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x2d2d1e…
10-31 05:09:49	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x2d2d1e…
10-31 05:04:06	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x92a147…
10-31 05:04:06	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x92a147…
10-31 05:04:04	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x7ee7b0…
10-31 05:04:04	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x7ee7b0…
10-31 04:50:46	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xaa4dfc…
10-31 04:50:04	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9c1869…
10-31 04:49:27	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x28e154…
10-31 04:48:46	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9a58e6…
10-31 04:46:37	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd2244a…
10-31 04:45:58	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x834757…
10-31 04:45:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1af9a9…
10-31 04:45:19	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7f9d00…
10-31 04:45:06	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x18829a…
10-31 04:45:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xda42e7…
10-31 04:45:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xda42e7…
10-31 04:44:37	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8b3416…
10-31 04:44:00	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa7b706…
10-31 04:35:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x57ad25…
10-31 04:31:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8d9052…
10-31 04:15:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9ddfca…
10-31 04:15:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x09e231…
10-31 04:14:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x60ea81…
10-31 04:05:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xba24d9…
10-31 04:05:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3a035d…
10-31 04:04:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3b7c2b…
10-31 04:03:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf3846d…
10-31 04:03:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1469d1…
10-31 04:02:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6a5ecc…
10-31 04:01:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x34a5cb…