Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$6.66K

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

51.2%

Resolved (90d)

32,709

Trades (90d)

57,333

147,754 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$204.9K

$375.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 11-01 20:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 183 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 39% -$474

Other

3% 51% +$3,674

Tech

1% 100% +$2,927

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 1674 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	—	+30	$15	50¢	$15	$0	11-01 19:47
Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	—	+5	$2	2¢	$0	-$2	11-01 20:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	16	$2.5K	4,167	2,308	+1,859	No	+$776	10-12 04:21
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?	8	$1.1K	2,358	734	+1,624	No	+$927	10-19 16:43
LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winner	20	$730	1,000	1,000	+0	FURIA Esports	-$170	10-17 20:20
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	6	$681	2,383	521	+1,862	Yes	+$1,943	10-11 09:32
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?	4	$421	1,327	259	+1,068	Yes	+$1,040	10-01 16:27
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	3	$416	621	621	+0	Yes	+$116	10-01 15:49
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?	4	$380	438	438	+0	Yes	+$219	10-02 00:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	35	$323	350	300	+50	Up	+$25	10-02 12:24
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	2	$300	376	0	+376	Yes	+$76	10-28 17:06
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	3	$260	1,088	0	+1,088	Yes	+$828	09-30 20:06
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	2	$255	429	0	+429	Yes	+$174	09-30 20:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 18:00 UTC	26	$187	200	180	+20	Up	-$10	09-16 17:59
Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	4	$149	152	152	+0	Yes	+$42	09-16 19:33
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	3	$132	167	167	+0	No	+$32	10-02 06:59
Will Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	3	$120	403	344	+59	No	-$45	10-29 04:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	20	$104	120	91	+29	Down	-$15	10-28 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	19	$99	125	75	+50	Down	-$25	09-20 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	13	$96	120	72	+48	Up	+$4	10-03 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	16	$94	150	40	+110	Down	-$14	09-19 20:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 06:25 UTC	14	$92	110	75	+35	Down	-$7	09-20 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	13	$89	100	80	+20	Up	-$10	09-19 06:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:45 UTC	19	$89	100	80	+20	Up	+$10	09-15 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	8	$87	100	75	+25	Up	+$13	09-20 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	10	$87	125	50	+75	Up	+$13	09-20 22:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 22:50 UTC	13	$86	100	75	+25	Up	-$12	09-20 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	7	$82	115	50	+65	Up	+$8	09-25 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	11	$80	100	60	+40	Up	+$0	10-03 23:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 16:55 UTC	17	$80	80	80	+0	Up	+$0	09-19 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	16	$80	80	80	+0	Down	$0	09-18 11:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 16:00 UTC	10	$79	100	60	+40	Down	-$20	09-19 15:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 20:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xf2b994…
11-01 20:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x1cd015…
11-01 20:09:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x668ef0…
11-01 20:08:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfca848…
11-01 20:06:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xf35b8f…
11-01 19:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc29b44…
11-01 19:42:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1bd796…
11-01 19:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0xb6ee49…
11-01 19:09:40	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x059794…
11-01 19:09:37	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x82fb08…
11-01 19:09:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x387525…
11-01 18:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0xb42557…
11-01 17:34:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xdfd7b1…
11-01 17:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5f3f25…
11-01 17:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x5c67c7…
11-01 16:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xdc0e31…
11-01 16:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x64a6a2…
11-01 16:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xc2792f…
11-01 16:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4a8ac2…
11-01 16:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xce2986…
11-01 16:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x92146c…
11-01 16:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x811269…
11-01 14:33:52	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 13:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf868d3…
11-01 14:33:22	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8549d7…
11-01 14:32:52	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9c7065…
11-01 14:32:27	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6cf84b…
11-01 14:31:06	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x24f111…
11-01 14:26:22	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xaee052…
11-01 14:24:19	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb6806f…
11-01 14:24:04	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4806db…
11-01 14:21:58	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xebc908…
11-01 14:20:31	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3c37d5…
11-01 14:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xda344b…
11-01 14:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xff6f4b…
11-01 14:19:52	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbfe72d…
11-01 14:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x266a4f…
11-01 14:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x03ce19…
11-01 14:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x883b50…
11-01 14:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x3db077…
11-01 14:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6570d2…
11-01 14:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x3e3641…
11-01 14:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe5d38f…
11-01 14:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x7bb315…
11-01 14:15:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-02 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x1d3749…
11-01 12:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x8525e2…
11-01 12:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x976074…
11-01 12:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9e04cb…
11-01 12:30:43	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xafe9f5…
11-01 12:16:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xa85e95…
11-01 12:15:43	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xac1125…
11-01 12:02:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x1aec9f…
11-01 11:59:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8f047a…
11-01 11:59:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x41777e…
11-01 11:38:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x31f37d…
11-01 11:38:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa982de…
11-01 11:37:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x08e792…
11-01 11:36:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbc2521…
11-01 11:36:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x73d139…
11-01 11:35:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe90fe7…
11-01 11:26:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc5efd3…
11-01 11:14:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x791a71…
11-01 10:50:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x93a445…
11-01 10:33:39	BNB Up or Down - November 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x51d8e7…
11-01 10:32:31	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfa1e30…
11-01 10:28:33	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa14a18…
11-01 10:28:13	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb58898…
11-01 10:27:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x769a04…
11-01 10:26:18	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x55cace…
11-01 10:24:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4d6ee5…
11-01 10:12:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x15b72f…
11-01 09:53:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x7c2c24…
11-01 09:50:09	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0b8afd…
11-01 09:43:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3089bf…
11-01 09:20:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3ba109…
11-01 09:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x1a072f…
11-01 09:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x95f4b0…
11-01 09:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xccf9f7…
11-01 09:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xed6477…
11-01 09:16:40	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-01 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x12e8db…
11-01 08:58:42	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-01 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbfd26c…
11-01 08:48:00	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-01 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5521c6…
11-01 08:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3f17df…
11-01 08:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xbc47cb…
11-01 08:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x28a457…
11-01 08:16:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfab5d9…
11-01 08:02:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa47a49…
11-01 07:50:45	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb3ca2f…
11-01 07:45:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9323f3…
11-01 07:44:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x947b97…
11-01 07:40:28	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe6a912…
11-01 07:00:30	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x29a531…
11-01 06:55:07	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-01 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5c2b5b…
11-01 06:52:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x4d8bfb…
11-01 06:48:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x967897…
11-01 06:47:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xaaec3c…
11-01 06:47:31	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x43742f…
11-01 06:44:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcb5190…
11-01 06:36:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xcf97ad…
11-01 06:35:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0x2f6b3b…
11-01 06:26:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd672e5…