Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$120

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

34.6%

Resolved (30d)

195

Trades (30d)

490

490 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$845

$845 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$41

5 positions

First seen

2026-10-18

last 10-30 10:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 23% +$145

Other

11% 35% -$6

Politics

8% 0% -$2

Sports

6% 29% -$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 163 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	+28	$20	70¢	$20	$0	10-30 10:14
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	+88	$19	16¢	$15	-$5	10-30 01:50
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	Yes	+12	$5	40¢	$5	+$0	10-30 10:10
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	+4	$1	28¢	$1	+$0	10-30 10:15
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	+23	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	10-25 01:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	7	$53	199	110	+88	open	—	10-30 01:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	4	$37	37	28	+9	Down	-$5	10-22 12:59
LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	4	$28	115	15	+100	T1	+$2	10-26 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	4	$27	148	48	+100	Up	+$3	10-22 13:04
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	1	$20	28	0	+28	open	—	10-30 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	4	$15	209	9	+200	Down	+$3	10-20 14:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	6	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	10-20 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	6	$10	17	11	+6	Down	+$0	10-27 22:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	9	$10	839	0	+839	Up	-$10	10-22 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$10	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	-$10	10-20 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	6	$10	133	0	+133	Down	-$10	10-22 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	6	$10	140	0	+140	Down	-$5	10-26 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	1	$10	13	0	+13	Up	+$3	10-22 12:46
Heat vs. Hornets	2	$10	14	14	+0	Hornets	+$8	10-25 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	3	$9	106	6	+100	Up	+$3	10-22 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	6	$9	131	0	+131	Up	+$13	10-26 13:09
Texans vs. Jaguars	1	$8	14	0	+14	Texans	-$8	10-18 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	4	$8	43	0	+43	Down	-$8	10-22 13:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	4	$7	35	0	+35	Down	-$1	10-26 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	4	$7	52	0	+52	Up	+$11	10-22 13:43
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	2	$6	4	4	+0	Under	+$2	10-26 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	4	$6	112	0	+112	Down	-$1	10-23 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	4	$6	142	0	+142	Up	+$136	10-22 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	4	$6	31	0	+31	Down	-$6	10-26 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	6	$6	462	0	+462	Down	-$6	10-22 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	3	$6	15	0	+15	Down	-$6	10-26 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	6	$6	129	0	+129	Up	-$4	10-22 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	5	$6	92	0	+92	Down	-$3	10-23 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	4	$6	14	0	+14	Down	$0	10-26 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	3	$5	111	0	+111	Up	-$5	10-20 15:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 10:18:13	Will Trump say "Obama" or "Kamala" or "Biden" 12+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa398a3…
10-30 10:17:45	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xc6f549…
10-30 10:16:37	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xda7bad…
10-30 10:15:30	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x7e44f2…
10-30 10:14:49	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xd21d6f…
10-30 10:12:54	Will Iran target Iraq by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x16435b…
10-30 10:10:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xafbbd4…
10-30 04:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x07bc12…
10-30 04:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x39afa9…
10-30 04:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x49794a…
10-30 04:14:49	Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 7.5	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x023533…
10-30 02:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xee3822…
10-30 02:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc02345…
10-30 02:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xee5391…
10-30 02:02:42	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x558ebb…
10-30 02:02:24	Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 7.5	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x2af810…
10-30 02:01:34	Deni Avdija: Points O/U 22.5	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xb96a73…
10-30 01:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd5006f…
10-30 01:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd42ecb…
10-30 01:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf3b58c…
10-30 01:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x0be0d4…
10-30 01:50:25	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	BUY	88	17¢	$15	0x0c1824…
10-29 17:51:14	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	SELL	81	15¢	$12	0xf98ce7…
10-29 17:50:25	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	SELL	29	16¢	$5	0x16f6b0…
10-29 13:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xeb1342…
10-29 11:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb48b23…
10-29 11:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x887514…
10-29 11:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xde125d…
10-29 11:09:56	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xed6287…
10-29 11:09:46	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x2b57ad…
10-29 08:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe2f2f3…
10-29 08:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd83cb4…
10-29 01:21:49	76ers vs. Pacers	76ers	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xae4329…
10-29 01:11:41	Heat vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe1717a…
10-29 01:05:05	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x971a7f…
10-29 01:02:10	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x666b06…
10-29 00:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x68a04b…
10-28 20:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb57f54…
10-28 20:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x0aa77a…
10-28 20:22:10	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Movistar KOI	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x88c959…
10-28 20:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x0ff454…
10-28 20:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x881a64…
10-28 20:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x0ad776…
10-28 19:26:55	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x525432…
10-28 19:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x4906b9…
10-28 19:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x9135c7…
10-28 19:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xde6397…
10-28 19:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x86c405…
10-28 19:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x99ce75…
10-28 19:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9e1ee3…
10-28 19:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x16c596…
10-28 19:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc9c2b9…
10-28 19:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xee7439…
10-28 19:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7c7f60…
10-28 19:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x71b1c0…
10-28 18:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x96fceb…
10-28 18:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x22211a…
10-28 18:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe30a8e…
10-28 18:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x53a07a…
10-28 18:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x133f46…
10-28 18:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5c6f5c…
10-28 18:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd6c91e…
10-28 18:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa8e935…
10-28 18:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x55d201…
10-28 18:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x7a5816…
10-28 18:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbea700…
10-28 18:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xab4f2e…
10-28 18:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x5e3994…
10-28 18:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9aab5c…
10-28 18:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcc6590…
10-28 18:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9b7c4b…
10-28 18:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb7b58e…
10-28 18:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x650704…
10-28 18:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x953dd5…
10-28 18:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x603fc7…
10-28 18:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xd7b8cf…
10-28 18:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x85c294…
10-28 18:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x251a43…
10-28 07:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x151d76…
10-28 07:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xbc0084…
10-28 00:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xcdd352…
10-27 22:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2bc98b…
10-27 22:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xb3a2d6…
10-27 22:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x037584…
10-27 22:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x2dd6b4…
10-27 22:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x987de6…
10-27 22:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	53¢	$2	0xc30f2e…
10-27 22:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x5387f3…
10-27 22:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0xaeb56b…
10-27 22:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x410863…
10-27 22:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x88fac2…
10-27 22:00:02	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Trail Blazers	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x03fefd…
10-27 21:55:06	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	7	36¢	$3	0xa92c95…
10-27 18:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x099b1b…
10-27 18:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7ea23a…
10-27 18:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x0f2fee…
10-27 18:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa08d93…
10-27 18:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xea5d43…
10-27 17:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2a7b0c…
10-26 23:11:32	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x4323ac…