Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

+$7

Unrealized P&L

-$20

Hit rate

61.5%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

589 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$13

$1.09K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

6 positions

First seen

2026-10-18

last 11-15 00:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 23% +$122

Other

20% 24% -$59

Sports

12% 27% +$9

Politics

6% 33% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 163 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	+88	$19	3¢	$3	-$16	10-30 01:50
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in November?	Yes	+45	$3	4¢	$2	-$1	11-13 13:43
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?	Yes	+662	$1	0¢	$1	$0	11-03 17:56
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+33	$1	3¢	$1	$0	11-13 01:12
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?	Yes	+17	$2	4¢	$1	-$1	11-13 13:43
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in November?	Yes	+10	$2	6¢	$1	-$1	11-13 13:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	7	$53	199	110	+88	open	—	10-30 01:50
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	1	$40	73	0	+73	Natus Vincere	-$40	11-02 10:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	4	$37	37	28	+9	Down	-$5	10-22 12:59
Commanders vs. Giants	1	$29	63	0	+63	Commanders	+$34	11-13 01:07
LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	4	$28	115	15	+100	T1	+$2	10-26 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	4	$27	148	48	+100	Up	+$3	10-22 13:04
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	1	$20	28	0	+28	No	-$20	10-30 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	4	$15	209	9	+200	Down	+$3	10-20 14:36
Chiefs vs. Broncos	3	$15	12	12	+0	Broncos	+$9	11-02 00:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	6	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	10-20 14:10
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	2	$12	64	32	+33	Yes	+$43	10-30 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	6	$10	17	11	+6	Down	+$0	10-27 22:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	9	$10	839	0	+839	Up	-$10	10-22 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$10	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	-$10	10-20 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	6	$10	133	0	+133	Down	-$10	10-22 14:19
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5	1	$10	43	0	+43	Under	-$10	11-02 00:44
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	1	$10	44	0	+44	No	-$10	11-02 01:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	6	$10	140	0	+140	Down	-$5	10-26 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	1	$10	13	0	+13	Up	+$3	10-22 12:46
LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	3	$10	10	8	+3	LYON	+$6	10-31 21:44
Heat vs. Hornets	2	$10	14	14	+0	Hornets	+$8	10-25 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	3	$9	106	6	+100	Up	+$3	10-22 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	6	$9	131	0	+131	Up	+$13	10-26 13:09
Game 1: Duration Over/Under 32:30 min?	2	$9	6	6	+0	Over	+$3	10-31 22:51
Texans vs. Jaguars	1	$8	14	0	+14	Texans	-$8	10-18 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	4	$8	43	0	+43	Down	-$8	10-22 13:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	4	$7	35	0	+35	Down	-$1	10-26 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	4	$7	52	0	+52	Up	+$11	10-22 13:43
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	2	$6	4	4	+0	Under	+$2	10-26 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	4	$6	112	0	+112	Down	-$1	10-23 12:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 00:17:56	Mavericks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xc61bd6…
11-14 18:53:16	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9b5619…
11-14 18:52:38	Game 1: Duration Over/Under 32:30 min?	Over	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xf45026…
11-14 18:52:25	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xfa2dd7…
11-14 18:51:37	Games Total: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xba93db…
11-13 13:43:27	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in November?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x262754…
11-13 13:43:18	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x50a51a…
11-13 13:43:01	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in November?	Yes	BUY	45	7¢	$3	0xfcc55b…
11-13 01:12:57	Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9f4bbe…
11-13 01:07:00	Commanders vs. Giants	Commanders	BUY	63	46¢	$29	0xf2ee1c…
11-03 18:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2274ac…
11-03 17:56:03	Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	662	0¢	$1	0x5af299…
11-02 13:40:39	Deni Avdija: Points O/U 34.5	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x8cc8b2…
11-02 13:40:06	Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets	Trail Blazers	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xcdf51f…
11-02 10:52:09	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	Team Falcons	BUY	73	55¢	$40	0x52ecff…
11-02 08:10:55	Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xd8e41f…
11-02 01:51:07	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0x65df3a…
11-02 00:44:36	Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5	Over	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xc47b99…
11-02 00:41:37	Eagles vs. Commanders	Eagles	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x686cc0…
11-02 00:38:57	Chiefs vs. Broncos	Broncos	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x9e1180…
11-02 00:11:09	Chiefs vs. Broncos	Broncos	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3a6ccc…
11-01 23:38:30	Chiefs vs. Broncos	Broncos	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x78119d…
11-01 23:36:51	Patriots vs. Dolphins	Dolphins	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x8a472d…
11-01 23:33:48	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x510442…
11-01 23:33:45	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x8df837…
11-01 23:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb1e979…
11-01 23:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x2376df…
11-01 23:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x692f3f…
11-01 23:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdf5ee3…
11-01 23:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xfeb853…
11-01 23:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x6de606…
11-01 23:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4f6060…
11-01 23:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe55ea3…
11-01 23:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x9836c4…
11-01 23:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd3d523…
11-01 23:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xfc2b13…
11-01 23:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x7d196a…
11-01 22:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xe81e0c…
11-01 22:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x565e8b…
11-01 22:52:24	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	575	0¢	$1	0xc05f40…
11-01 22:50:57	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xb950b7…
11-01 19:50:01	Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x8468d2…
11-01 19:49:54	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	199	1¢	$1	0xd98491…
11-01 19:49:22	Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x41ceab…
11-01 17:01:48	Browns vs. Steelers	Browns	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x269717…
11-01 01:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x8ca345…
10-31 22:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8be91f…
10-31 22:51:55	Game 1: Duration Over/Under 32:30 min?	Over	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x1116a0…
10-31 22:51:40	Game 2: Duration Over/Under 32:30 min?	Over	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x1eddc4…
10-31 21:59:22	Game 1: Duration Over/Under 32:30 min?	Over	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x9f8bbd…
10-31 21:59:04	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe46c44…
10-31 21:58:46	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x4fbb53…
10-31 21:53:45	Raptors vs. Lakers	Raptors	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x637d69…
10-31 21:53:07	Kings vs. Grizzlies	Kings	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd7a827…
10-31 21:52:45	76ers vs. Hornets	76ers	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xfd4914…
10-31 21:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3081b4…
10-31 21:44:36	LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x58e29b…
10-31 21:19:03	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x4e2b91…
10-31 20:58:52	Game 3: Duration Over/Under 31:30 min?	Under	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x929c29…
10-31 20:49:55	LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LOS	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf028c8…
10-31 20:29:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xb91f16…
10-31 20:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4d6f0c…
10-31 20:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb398ad…
10-31 20:26:13	LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xbf884e…
10-31 20:10:13	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	3¢	$2	0x261c53…
10-31 20:09:52	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0x016c91…
10-31 20:09:30	Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x438333…
10-31 20:09:16	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xdc6823…
10-31 18:54:30	Deni Avdija: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa597ef…
10-31 18:54:19	Deni Avdija: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x53d59c…
10-31 18:02:43	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x53d336…
10-31 18:02:19	Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x9264dc…
10-31 18:00:00	Deni Avdija: Points O/U 34.5	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x97fd18…
10-31 17:59:01	Trail Blazers vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x00da0f…
10-31 16:45:10	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x14a2c2…
10-31 16:41:39	Deni Avdija: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd9f512…
10-31 16:40:40	Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 11.5	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x6e36ef…
10-31 16:39:51	Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 9.5	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x0606ed…
10-31 16:38:51	Deni Avdija: Points O/U 29.5	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xeea124…
10-31 16:36:30	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Movistar KOI	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x122c1d…
10-31 16:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x48f2c3…
10-31 16:15:31	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x0d33f3…
10-31 16:15:12	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x8ec0c4…
10-31 16:12:46	Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	1¢	$1	0x397e3d…
10-31 16:12:31	Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x8455b2…
10-31 16:12:19	Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	1¢	$1	0x52e95e…
10-31 16:11:51	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x65e73a…
10-31 16:11:43	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x91c726…
10-31 16:11:34	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x576178…
10-31 16:11:24	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0xd86d9b…
10-31 16:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xee0ab2…
10-31 16:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xea857c…
10-31 15:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xae6a95…
10-30 14:20:07	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x979223…
10-30 14:19:13	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x951a70…
10-30 14:18:46	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9bb79c…
10-30 13:48:10	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xed6a67…
10-30 13:47:37	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	35¢	$11	0x550647…
10-30 13:02:58	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	2¢	$1	0xcc45fd…
10-30 10:18:13	Will Trump say "Obama" or "Kamala" or "Biden" 12+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa398a3…