Cultivated-Leaker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$160

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 05-06 16:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

45% 56% +$0

Other

36% 40% +$5

Politics

19% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	4	$23	17	17	+0	Yes	+$1	04-28 02:34
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?	6	$22	27	11	+16	open	—	04-28 10:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	4	$11	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 15:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	5	$10	11	11	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 15:12
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	5	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	04-21 10:44
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	6	$7	14	14	+0	open	—	04-13 02:52
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	3	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-17 11:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$6	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 14:20
Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the May meeting?	2	$6	11	0	+11	open	—	04-26 15:32
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 14:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	$-5	05-06 14:25
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	04-19 11:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	4	$3	4	4	+0	Down	$-1	05-06 15:36
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	4	$3	11	2	+9	Yes	+$6	04-26 11:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Down	+$2	05-06 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	3	$3	4	2	+2	Up	+$1	05-06 15:30
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-13 02:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Down	+$0	05-06 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	2	$2	7	0	+7	Down	$-0	05-06 14:50
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-13 02:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	$-0	05-06 14:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	$-0	05-06 14:47
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	2	$1	110	110	+0	Up	$-1	05-06 16:03
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 6?	2	$1	40	40	+0	Up	$-1	05-06 15:53
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$1	4	4	+0	open	—	04-13 02:52
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on May 6?	1	$1	50	0	+50	Up	$-1	05-06 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-06 16:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 16:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbfd625…
05-06 16:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xfef181…
05-06 16:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x986741…
05-06 16:03:58	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	110	0¢	$0	0xb79197…
05-06 15:53:21	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0x5dbb40…
05-06 15:53:00	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9486c3…
05-06 15:52:24	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x056814…
05-06 15:47:56	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x368670…
05-06 15:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0xb60864…
05-06 15:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x577bbc…
05-06 15:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x098b73…
05-06 15:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x7f3a14…
05-06 15:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xa2f8c4…
05-06 15:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe4298e…
05-06 15:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x52da31…
05-06 15:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xec649a…
05-06 15:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x269fe8…
05-06 15:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x5058fe…
05-06 15:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x32e1e7…
05-06 15:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd0d28f…
05-06 15:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9f1b7b…
05-06 15:12:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	56¢	$3	0xb413f4…
05-06 15:04:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x5acdd4…
05-06 15:03:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd76421…
05-06 15:03:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xcfd30c…
05-06 15:02:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x8acf97…
05-06 14:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe0e01e…
05-06 14:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x29e0f5…
05-06 14:47:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x4cd46e…
05-06 14:45:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x078901…
05-06 14:42:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x5cf8b9…
05-06 14:41:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1b3545…
05-06 14:39:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xa7cb99…
05-06 14:37:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd4b5b0…
05-06 14:25:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x831e33…
05-06 14:24:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc688ff…
05-06 14:21:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x58256f…
05-06 14:20:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x8b0cfe…
05-06 14:20:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x343e59…
05-06 14:10:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xdbeb89…
05-06 14:08:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x8844f4…
05-06 14:05:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x3e27b3…
04-28 10:24:38	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?	Yes	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xac1f23…
04-28 02:34:28	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xa4ad39…
04-26 15:32:42	Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the May meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xaaf085…
04-26 15:32:42	Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the May meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x54a825…
04-26 11:35:32	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe30952…
04-26 03:33:48	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x2e89b6…
04-25 03:26:08	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?	Yes	SELL	11	83¢	$9	0xb82386…
04-21 11:06:22	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc66db9…
04-21 11:06:10	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0xb8c8b5…
04-21 10:55:46	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x435a42…
04-21 10:44:36	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	97¢	$3	0xde0464…
04-19 11:41:22	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x01c0dd…
04-19 11:23:50	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x357591…
04-19 11:21:30	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	SELL	11	66¢	$7	0x43b766…
04-18 03:01:20	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4bb4e6…
04-17 11:35:10	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?	Yes	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x051407…
04-17 11:06:10	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x9f91a6…
04-17 11:02:38	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xde3fc6…
04-15 02:46:56	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x6eb047…
04-13 08:00:05	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xeeffe0…
04-13 07:41:45	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x80523d…
04-13 07:31:23	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x571b50…
04-13 07:31:11	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x6637bc…
04-13 02:54:27	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x046537…
04-13 02:53:35	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xa070ac…
04-13 02:53:29	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x79fb63…
04-13 02:52:49	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x3bde95…
04-13 02:52:41	Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0x8f70b2…
04-11 00:00:57	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x2d2675…
04-11 00:00:41	Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x08b50a…
04-11 00:00:19	Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0xf0577c…
04-10 20:24:27	Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe19029…
04-10 20:24:27	Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb8e101…
04-10 20:24:27	Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9c4210…
04-10 16:39:45	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x898ec6…
04-10 16:38:05	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf68ff8…
04-10 15:33:53	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd1df58…
04-10 14:52:17	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x266ba2…