Silly-Discovery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

+$11

Hit rate

72.6%

Resolved

Trades

155

lifetime

Volume

$1.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$161

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 10-24 23:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

68% 36% -$18

Politics

32% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	+63	$50	86¢	$54	+$5	10-24 23:29
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+61	$50	88¢	$53	+$3	10-24 23:30
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+74	$50	72¢	$53	+$3	10-24 23:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	3	$317	209	209	+0	Yes	+$0	09-17 19:47
Putintseva vs. Parry: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5	4	$201	300	100	+200	cancelled	-$3	05-15 08:02
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	1	$50	61	0	+61	open	—	10-24 23:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	1	$50	63	0	+63	open	—	10-24 23:29
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$50	74	0	+74	open	—	10-24 23:24
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 28?	3	$46	29	29	+0	Yes	+$12	04-29 04:19
Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruud	1	$43	62	0	+62	Casper Ruud	+$19	05-17 08:59
Paris: Yulia Putintseva vs Diane Parry	1	$40	78	0	+78	cancelled	-$1	05-15 08:30
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on April 26?	5	$32	22	22	+0	Yes	+$12	04-27 01:43
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 3?	3	$28	21	21	+0	Yes	+$13	05-03 22:53
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 26?	3	$28	20	20	+0	Yes	+$13	04-27 01:43
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs	2	$27	17	17	+0	Spirit	+$7	05-17 16:35
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Madison Keys vs Cristina Bucsa	1	$26	36	0	+36	cancelled	-$8	05-17 13:38
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on April 26?	2	$21	20	19	+1	Yes	+$18	04-27 05:51
Geneva Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Raphael Collignon	1	$20	23	0	+23	Raphael Collignon	+$3	05-17 11:43
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 86°F or higher on April 26?	2	$18	20	0	+20	No	-$18	04-26 01:18
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 28?	4	$18	40	0	+40	Yes	+$22	04-27 06:32
Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?	2	$17	29	0	+29	Yes	+$12	05-28 19:39
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 92°F or higher on April 28?	1	$16	21	0	+21	No	-$16	04-27 06:04
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on April 28?	2	$15	28	27	+1	No	-$11	04-27 19:52
Geneva Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Stan Wawrinka	1	$13	26	0	+26	cancelled	$0	05-17 13:02
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 27?	2	$13	24	0	+24	No	-$13	04-26 23:37
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 4?	3	$12	21	0	+21	No	-$12	05-04 07:44
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on April 28?	1	$12	29	0	+29	Yes	+$17	04-27 00:08
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 4?	1	$11	21	0	+21	No	-$11	05-04 07:42
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on May 5?	3	$11	23	0	+23	Yes	+$12	05-04 22:52
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 28?	2	$11	40	0	+40	No	-$11	04-27 06:35
dota2 pari aur1 2026 04 24	2	$11	6	6	+0	Aurora	+$1	04-24 18:26
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	1	$10	15	0	+15	Yes	+$5	06-11 00:07
Geneva Open (Doubles): Hidalgo/Tabilo vs Bhambri/Venus	1	$10	20	0	+20	cancelled	$0	05-17 12:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 23:30:30	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x863a49…
10-24 23:29:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x23ba00…
10-24 23:24:59	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	74	67¢	$50	0x460351…
09-18 11:27:21	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0x068071…
09-18 09:47:57	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xe00649…
09-17 19:47:19	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	209	76¢	$159	0x1c3ce4…
09-17 18:01:51	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	77	76¢	$59	0xb8797a…
09-17 17:40:49	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x8ee138…
06-17 15:39:55	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0x078918…
06-17 15:36:29	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x0cecd4…
06-17 00:42:07	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x1b8d99…
06-17 00:41:37	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x1d6730…
06-16 22:03:29	Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x9437bf…
06-15 19:44:25	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xbb6cf2…
06-15 19:33:30	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0x2cd945…
06-11 16:55:10	cs2 navi ts7 2026 06 11	Spirit	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0xb01ac5…
06-11 00:07:22	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x23a62b…
06-05 22:21:21	cs2 fut b8 2026 06 06 game1 round handicap fut 3pt5	FUT Esports	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x70e2dd…
06-05 06:09:33	Will Bamin Real Potosí win on 2026-05-18?	Yes	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x279a12…
06-05 06:09:01	cs2 oxuji mis 2026 06 05	Oxuji Esports	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xa6f318…
05-28 19:39:39	Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x011008…
05-28 18:01:58	Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x4ba94b…
05-28 16:46:33	Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs	Virtus.pro	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x355076…
05-18 22:44:51	Istanbul: Mert Naci Turker vs Alafia Ayeni	Alafia Ayeni	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xcb0b3d…
05-18 22:41:21	Bengaluru 3 (Doubles): Dev/Sinha vs Masabayashi/Vithoontien	Dev/Sinha	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xe4a58a…
05-18 22:37:04	Istanbul (Doubles): Goldhoff/Winegar vs Silva/Pokorny	Goldhoff/Winegar	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xf9e7c9…
05-18 16:45:36	Will El Mokawloon El Arab SC win on 2026-05-18?	Yes	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0xea421a…
05-18 16:42:27	Will FC Hermannstadt win on 2026-05-18?	No	BUY	12	45¢	$6	0x303f39…
05-18 12:07:34	Internationaux de Strasbourg (Doubles): Kozyreva/Panova vs Bucsa/Melichar	Bucsa/Melichar	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x097fd5…
05-18 10:28:39	Bergs vs. Gea: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5	Under	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x6de70b…
05-17 17:09:13	GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem (Doubles): Karamoko/Marcinko vs Kichenok/Ninomiya	Kichenok/Ninomiya	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x01c767…
05-17 16:35:30	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Spirit	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xf9eed1…
05-17 13:38:40	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Madison Keys vs Cristina Bucsa	Madison Keys	BUY	36	72¢	$26	0xa74871…
05-17 13:02:16	Geneva Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Stan Wawrinka	Alejandro Tabilo	BUY	26	51¢	$13	0x456463…
05-17 12:32:32	Geneva Open (Doubles): Hidalgo/Tabilo vs Bhambri/Venus	Bhambri/Venus	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x1af149…
05-17 11:43:41	Geneva Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Raphael Collignon	Raphael Collignon	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xcaa1a9…
05-17 10:05:36	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Spirit	BUY	17	61¢	$10	0xcd526f…
05-17 09:56:21	Hamburg European Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x41ac34…
05-17 08:59:25	Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	BUY	62	69¢	$43	0x31defa…
05-15 08:30:36	Paris: Yulia Putintseva vs Diane Parry	Yulia Putintseva	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0x3da184…
05-15 08:02:25	Putintseva vs. Parry: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5	Under	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x255b6c…
05-15 08:02:06	Putintseva vs. Parry: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5	Over	SELL	100	49¢	$49	0x596455…
05-15 07:58:52	Putintseva vs. Parry: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5	Over	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x32404a…
05-15 07:43:17	Putintseva vs. Parry: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5	Under	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xcc0df2…
05-04 23:37:38	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 46-47°F on May 5?	Yes	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x220bf3…
05-04 22:52:18	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on May 5?	Yes	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xe1c613…
05-04 22:48:18	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 46-47°F on May 5?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xe91367…
05-04 22:42:18	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on May 5?	Yes	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0xe7a1da…
05-04 22:11:56	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 46-47°F on May 5?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xc9b9be…
05-04 20:31:16	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on May 5?	Yes	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0x90b127…
05-04 20:00:38	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on May 5?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x0b848e…
05-04 10:22:14	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	18	19¢	$3	0x22bf65…
05-04 07:55:20	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0xf25b41…
05-04 07:44:38	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	6	56¢	$4	0xad7091…
05-04 07:42:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0xacf0a0…
05-04 07:32:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$5	0xbc51ca…
05-04 07:29:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x3b0889…
05-04 07:21:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	21	25¢	$5	0x15a846…
05-04 05:57:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	22	35¢	$8	0xf7dc13…
05-04 03:21:02	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x4be32e…
05-04 03:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x675e6a…
05-04 03:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0x373b65…
05-04 03:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	16	15¢	$2	0x2a7f7d…
05-04 02:48:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x06c342…
05-04 02:42:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xee2fb4…
05-04 02:42:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x9241c8…
05-04 02:42:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x487424…
05-04 02:39:26	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0x39a213…
05-04 02:23:46	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd4f51f…
05-04 02:22:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0xe8c404…
05-04 02:22:44	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x2b155b…
05-04 02:14:40	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xf696ee…
05-04 02:04:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0xd05f32…
05-04 01:39:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	21	18¢	$4	0x06cb9f…
05-03 22:53:32	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 3?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xeaba73…
05-02 23:23:02	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xc62f63…
05-02 23:23:02	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x784e1d…
05-02 22:28:44	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0x3c45a9…
05-02 22:27:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0xd48d44…
05-02 22:27:00	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xd1ccf2…
04-29 04:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 28?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x725ba5…
04-28 08:56:24	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 28?	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0xcdccf0…
04-28 08:55:38	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xaa36a1…
04-28 04:19:18	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 28?	Yes	BUY	24	9¢	$2	0x491734…
04-28 04:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 28?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xe5a35f…
04-28 04:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xbeb639…
04-28 03:56:04	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 28?	Yes	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xb47f7d…
04-28 03:49:44	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 28?	Yes	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0xfbc66f…
04-27 19:52:42	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	27	7¢	$2	0xd07088…
04-27 19:51:26	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	28	1¢	$0	0x2f3b6e…
04-27 19:51:02	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	27	0¢	$0	0x96d471…
04-27 19:49:32	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	27	2¢	$0	0x4df9f4…
04-27 07:27:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	22	3¢	$1	0xb548a6…
04-27 07:20:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x21ad4d…
04-27 07:20:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x0cf54e…
04-27 06:37:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xca05a6…
04-27 06:36:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	17	22¢	$4	0xc3964f…
04-27 06:35:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	17	25¢	$4	0x14b8fd…
04-27 06:32:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x8ff2b4…
04-27 06:32:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$4	0x00e3c4…