Tough-Calendar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$48

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 07-19 21:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

87% 44% $-5

Tech

6% — —

Politics

4% 0% $-1

Crypto

2% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	03-15 16:44
Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$3	4	2	+3	open	—	05-16 21:41
Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$2	26	0	+26	No	$-2	05-12 21:15
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	2	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	07-19 21:13
chatgpt outage by march 27	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	03-19 17:57
Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$2	7	0	+7	open	—	05-14 18:35
Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$1	200	0	+200	open	—	05-12 21:09
Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$1	111	0	+111	Yes	$-1	05-12 20:35
Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	05-16 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	$-1	05-07 17:39
Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$1	20	0	+20	No	$-1	05-12 21:18
Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$1	38	0	+38	open	—	05-12 21:09
Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	05-14 21:15
Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-14 18:29
Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$1	61	0	+61	open	—	05-14 18:33
Will United Kingdom be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	17	0	+17	open	—	05-16 21:01
Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-16 22:14
Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-16 21:00
Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$1	6	0	+6	Yes	$-1	05-12 20:32
Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$1	45	0	+45	Yes	$-1	05-12 20:30
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	05-16 21:00
Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-12 21:08
Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-14 19:15
Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-12 21:10
Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	05-16 21:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	05-08 17:47
Will Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	13	0	+13	open	—	05-16 21:43
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-12 21:08
Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-14 18:23
Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$1	8	0	+8	Yes	$-1	05-12 20:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 21:13:45	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x9f2edd…
07-19 21:13:39	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe49421…
05-16 22:14:36	Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0534f6…
05-16 21:44:18	Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x60e54a…
05-16 21:44:07	Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x92801d…
05-16 21:43:20	Will Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0xb760f8…
05-16 21:42:59	Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb15c53…
05-16 21:41:30	Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x99b041…
05-16 21:41:25	Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x447a4b…
05-16 21:41:16	Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4b0e0b…
05-16 21:01:17	Will United Kingdom be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe3e58a…
05-16 21:00:54	Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x364539…
05-16 21:00:38	Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe1bc51…
05-14 21:15:46	Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1f00e2…
05-14 19:15:54	Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x2f8ec4…
05-14 18:35:07	Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc86647…
05-14 18:33:17	Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	61	2¢	$1	0x3e9c92…
05-14 18:32:37	Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x08b1a5…
05-14 18:29:29	Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x374c01…
05-14 18:25:02	Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x752853…
05-14 18:24:14	Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x749519…
05-14 18:23:46	Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x84f24c…
05-12 21:18:50	Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x02f342…
05-12 21:15:56	Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xd82d6b…
05-12 21:10:27	Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xfb20ef…
05-12 21:09:44	Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xda2862…
05-12 21:09:33	Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x1baf8e…
05-12 21:08:58	Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x0f5184…
05-12 21:08:28	Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x4e60cd…
05-12 20:52:49	Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x111033…
05-12 20:37:23	Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbcbd17…
05-12 20:35:50	Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x099736…
05-12 20:35:19	Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf05055…
05-12 20:32:34	Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x1d7294…
05-12 20:32:03	Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xb2becf…
05-12 20:31:03	Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xba4ff1…
05-12 20:30:09	Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xe0d647…
05-12 20:29:32	Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4b9f22…
05-08 17:47:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xec69a6…
05-07 17:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdae340…
03-19 17:57:35	chatgpt outage by march 27	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x9ef91c…
03-18 17:27:45	chatgpt outage by march 27	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc51ec0…
03-15 16:44:37	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xa15db2…
03-14 16:16:21	chatgpt outage by march 15	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1fd511…