Tense-Microphone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.07K

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

93.0%

Resolved

6,260

Trades

7,683

lifetime

Volume

$170.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

$203

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 10-28 18:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 214 days

Categories

Other

95% 96% +$1,214

Crypto

5% 52% -$140

Tech

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No		+103	$100	99¢	$102	+$2	10-26 05:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	No		+102	$99	100¢	$102	+$2	10-26 08:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in milan on march 19 2026 18corhigher	11	$1.5K	1,822	154	+1,668	Yes	+$204	03-19 13:55
highest temperature in milan on april 16 2026 23c	2	$1.5K	1,534	0	+1,534	No	+$34	04-16 13:51
highest temperature in milan on april 10 2026 20c	4	$1.4K	1,381	0	+1,381	No	+$19	04-10 14:25
highest temperature in milan on april 3 2026 21c	4	$1.1K	1,138	0	+1,138	No	+$51	04-03 13:52
highest temperature in milan on april 23 2026 20c	2	$1000	1,944	0	+1,944	No	-$495	04-23 13:20
highest temperature in milan on april 8 2026 23c	3	$1000	1,041	0	+1,041	No	+$41	04-08 13:52
highest temperature in milan on april 15 2026 22c	2	$834	883	0	+883	Yes	+$48	04-15 16:22
highest temperature in milan on march 29 2026 17c	5	$813	895	0	+895	No	+$82	03-29 14:25
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 17?	1	$800	834	0	+834	No	+$34	07-17 13:20
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 20?	1	$800	841	0	+841	No	+$41	06-20 14:20
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 20?	1	$800	925	0	+925	No	+$125	05-20 14:20
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 11?	1	$741	818	0	+818	No	+$78	05-11 13:20
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on April 27?	1	$668	720	0	+720	No	+$52	04-27 14:20
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 13?	1	$649	690	0	+690	No	+$41	05-13 12:50
highest temperature in milan on april 24 2026 24c	1	$646	694	0	+694	No	+$48	04-24 14:20
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 19?	1	$503	510	0	+510	No	+$7	07-19 12:50
highest temperature in milan on april 16 2026 24c	1	$500	505	0	+505	Yes	+$5	04-16 15:53
highest temperature in milan on april 19 2026 23c	1	$500	528	0	+528	No	+$28	04-19 13:50
highest temperature in milan on march 30 2026 17c	1	$500	524	0	+524	No	+$24	03-30 11:50
highest temperature in milan on april 14 2026 18c	1	$500	607	0	+607	No	+$107	04-14 14:20
highest temperature in milan on april 14 2026 19corhigher	1	$500	642	0	+642	Yes	+$142	04-14 14:20
highest temperature in milan on march 23 2026 15c	1	$500	514	0	+514	No	+$14	03-23 13:50
highest temperature in milan on april 23 2026 21c	1	$500	552	0	+552	No	+$52	04-23 14:50
highest temperature in milan on april 15 2026 21c	1	$500	519	0	+519	No	+$19	04-15 14:20
highest temperature in milan on april 15 2026 20c	1	$500	508	0	+508	No	+$8	04-15 12:50
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on May 10?	5	$500	516	0	+516	No	+$16	05-10 09:05
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 26?	13	$500	516	0	+516	No	+$16	05-26 08:43
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 26?	14	$500	516	0	+516	No	+$16	05-26 08:43
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on April 27?	1	$496	528	0	+528	Yes	+$32	04-27 14:20
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on May 28?	1	$486	526	0	+526	No	+$41	05-28 13:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 18:51:19	AC Milan vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x711dd8…
10-28 18:42:17	Pisa SC vs. Palermo FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xce09d9…
10-28 16:44:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	102	97¢	$99	0x04c769…
10-28 11:40:49	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C or higher on October 30?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x361e21…
10-28 11:31:52	Kashima Antlers vs. FC Pohang Steelers: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x4ae8dc…
10-27 21:34:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 28?	No	BUY	101	98¢	$99	0x49b013…
10-27 21:22:41	1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0x87e74a…
10-27 20:38:42	Mantova 1911 vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x6098cf…
10-27 20:37:08	Virtus Entella vs. US Avellino 1912: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	44	37¢	$16	0x7af6be…
10-27 20:35:41	Cesena FC vs. Empoli FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xa5f064…
10-27 20:33:15	Virtus Entella vs. US Avellino 1912: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0xcbe555…
10-27 20:23:02	Cesena FC vs. Empoli FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x025203…
10-27 19:31:09	Al-Shamal vs. Al Hilal SFC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xd34add…
10-27 18:39:05	Hamburger SV vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xb88f71…
10-27 18:25:36	GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. HNK Rijeka: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x755e37…
10-27 17:14:27	NK Radomlje vs. Mura Murska Sobota: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x9c2d98…
10-27 14:58:18	Inter Milano U23 vs. Scafatese Calcio 1922: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xcacb22…
10-27 13:37:42	Beijing Guoan vs. Jeonbuk FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x21527d…
10-27 13:25:29	Beijing Guoan vs. Jeonbuk FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x73815b…
10-27 11:21:51	Johor Darul Ta'zim vs. Port FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xdad833…
10-27 11:06:48	Shanghai Port FC vs. Cong An Ha Noi FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0xc42b8a…
10-27 10:44:21	Shanghai Port FC vs. Cong An Ha Noi FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x8b1866…
10-26 22:41:17	CF Universidad de Chile vs. Everton de Viña del Mar: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xcff588…
10-26 09:31:38	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on October 26?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xbd1240…
10-26 08:47:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	No	BUY	102	97¢	$99	0x118d29…
10-26 05:52:20	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x53a06e…
10-25 03:51:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	103	96¢	$99	0x07a501…
10-24 15:46:11	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	104	95¢	$99	0x35cc2a…
10-24 12:51:03	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xc4e3eb…
10-24 03:22:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xad0b4f…
10-23 15:31:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$99	0xeebc24…
10-23 03:29:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	102	97¢	$99	0x03f988…
10-22 23:01:11	US Gov confirms PHP2Shell exploited by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x27374d…
10-22 23:01:08	Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0x3275b8…
10-22 23:01:03	Will Jynxzi beat the Elden Ring DLC by October 25?	No	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0x9c6065…
10-22 23:01:00	Marathon Fusion's "high-rate alchemy" confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x96b3e1…
10-22 23:00:42	Will Jynxzi beat the Elden Ring DLC by October 23?	Yes	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0xce9d3a…
10-22 23:00:39	Will the median home value in the DC Metro be less than $503,000 on December 31?	No	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0x8dcb4d…
10-22 23:00:35	Will Tatyana Ali be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	Yes	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0x500ad1…
10-22 23:00:30	Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?	No	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0xd8d9a4…
10-22 23:00:26	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in September?	Yes	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0xb28027…
10-22 23:00:18	Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$0	0xfe80e1…
10-22 23:00:12	Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0x49582b…
10-22 22:59:51	Will Julia Stiles be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x2d9a49…
10-22 22:59:42	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	No	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0xbf7555…
10-22 22:54:59	Will The Odyssey win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	8	44¢	$4	0xf96b2c…
10-22 22:54:59	Marathon Fusion's "high-rate alchemy" confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	10¢	$5	0xbe0070…
10-22 22:54:59	Will The Odyssey win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	50	49¢	$24	0x9c44f6…
10-22 22:54:59	Will Cashmere launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	52¢	$27	0x8623d2…
10-22 22:54:59	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in September?	Yes	SELL	25	33¢	$8	0x1dddde…
10-22 22:54:57	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	SELL	53	7¢	$4	0xfef2ad…
10-22 22:54:57	Will Team Spirit make a Dota 2 roster change before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x94cc4b…
10-22 22:07:14	marathon fusions high rate alchemy confirmed by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0xdd0b59…
10-22 22:07:12	marathon fusions high rate alchemy confirmed by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	21	46¢	$9	0xf6d71a…
10-22 22:07:12	marathon fusions high rate alchemy confirmed by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x39cb76…
10-22 22:00:11	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xf0681f…
10-22 21:32:17	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	No	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x96cf3e…
10-22 21:20:59	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x40a9f1…
10-22 21:18:44	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in September?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x579f72…
10-22 21:18:44	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in September?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x50352d…
10-22 21:16:26	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	BUY	53	13¢	$7	0x20822d…
10-22 21:13:41	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	No	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0xce7906…
10-22 21:08:44	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xf5660d…
10-22 21:08:39	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xeeb49f…
10-22 19:06:18	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	52	57¢	$30	0xc52a5b…
10-22 16:40:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xc0631e…
10-22 16:07:20	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	52	86¢	$45	0xb488d0…
10-22 14:31:09	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	32	22¢	$7	0x8f4b35…
10-22 14:31:09	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x327dcd…
10-22 14:09:26	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	No	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xaa01ef…
10-22 14:09:24	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x9bd753…
10-22 14:09:24	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x86beb3…
10-22 13:42:17	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x33cef6…
10-22 13:37:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xcae132…
10-22 11:56:21	Will Tatyana Ali be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	Yes	SELL	21	43¢	$9	0xf07aef…
10-22 11:56:21	Will Tatyana Ali be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	Yes	SELL	18	43¢	$8	0x808226…
10-22 11:28:57	Will Tatyana Ali be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	Yes	BUY	0	64¢	$0	0xc08627…
10-22 11:28:57	Will Tatyana Ali be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x1755e9…
10-22 11:28:38	Will Tatyana Ali be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	Yes	BUY	0	64¢	$0	0x83dff7…
10-22 11:28:38	Will Tatyana Ali be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x2f33bc…
10-22 10:33:39	Will Julia Stiles be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	No	SELL	19	89¢	$17	0x8cfa34…
10-22 10:33:32	Will Julia Stiles be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x7842df…
10-22 09:38:54	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x137312…
10-22 06:37:57	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?	No	SELL	52	52¢	$27	0xd3a6c5…
10-22 06:20:26	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	No	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x257653…
10-22 06:12:47	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in September?	Yes	SELL	39	30¢	$12	0xe537f7…
10-22 04:50:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	101	98¢	$99	0x5143a6…
10-22 04:45:54	Will Jenna Dewan be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	Yes	SELL	53	5¢	$3	0xe5546b…
10-22 04:21:32	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in September?	Yes	BUY	52	53¢	$28	0x381632…
10-22 04:05:41	Will Tatyana Ali be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	Yes	SELL	16	38¢	$6	0xe3c52c…
10-22 04:05:41	Will Tatyana Ali be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	Yes	SELL	57	38¢	$22	0x3f4653…
10-22 03:44:54	dwts 35 week 7 elimination jendew	Yes	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0x2e769b…
10-22 02:57:56	Will Tatyana Ali be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	Yes	BUY	53	39¢	$21	0xb74386…
10-22 02:53:24	Will Tatyana Ali be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x424653…
10-22 02:23:45	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in September?	No	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0xdc7914…
10-22 02:07:12	Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 21?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc239fd…
10-22 02:03:42	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in September?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x9ba0d7…
10-22 02:01:03	Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 21?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x5e72e0…
10-22 01:50:59	Paris curfew effectively lifted by November 7?	No	SELL	53	14¢	$7	0x1a6f48…
10-22 01:40:11	Paris curfew effectively lifted by November 7?	No	BUY	53	33¢	$17	0xb22d12…