Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 11?
open
Total volume
$206
$1,396 in 24h
Trades
33
Unique wallets
31
Liquidity
$390
Latest YES mid
85¢
Latest NO mid
15¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-11 12:49
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 29 | $82 | $87 | $5 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $1 | $8 | $6 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $8 | $5 | +$3 |
| Median | 5 | $2 | $15 | $12 |
| Below median | 12 | $12 | $64 | $52 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $7 | $1 | +$6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $1 | $5 | $4 |
| unranked | 1 | $50 | — | +$50 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wild-Styling 0x6f15…b3fb | Yes | +120 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-10 14:57 |
| Unwilling-Hut 0xca5f…1e74 | No | +52 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 05-11 11:23 |
| Damp-Innocence 0x9d3e…2c6b | Yes | +32 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-11 09:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x966c…087f | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 08:15 |
| Reliable-Recollection 0x07d6…64fb | Yes | +12 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-11 12:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x6fd4…5cfc | No | +12 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-10 13:25 |
| Hairy-Chives-Soy 0x4167…f99a | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-10 01:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xba6e…e245 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-11 08:10 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 16:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x0db1…6272 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 14:07 |
| Bowed-Postbox 0x099c…18e8 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 06:11 |
| Jealous-Quote 0xb07e…e682 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 09:19 |
| Illustrious-Oxford 0x558b…f41b | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 09:14 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 02:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x6e65…1c87 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 17:19 |
| Costly-Bore 0xe537…a0cf | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 00:30 |
| Sparkling-Script 0xd629…4c72 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 15:16 |
| Proud-Enquiry 0xd491…8b55 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 12:00 |
| Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 09:21 |
| Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 10:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xac44…f420 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 10:32 |
| Complete-Cough 0x4cfe…1bc6 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 07:52 |
| Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 23:22 |
| Wide-Eyed-Bookend 0x2174…44ff | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 09:53 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 12:49:37 | Reliable-Recollection 0x07d6…64fb | Yes | BUY | 12 | 53¢ | $6 | 0xb579c8… |
| 05-11 11:23:17 | Unwilling-Hut 0xca5f…1e74 | No | BUY | 52 | 75¢ | $39 | 0xe6c1a9… |
| 05-11 10:56:22 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x5e6b4b… |
| 05-11 10:32:02 | (anonymous) 0xac44…f420 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 37¢ | $1 | 0xd0692c… |
| 05-11 09:53:50 | Wide-Eyed-Bookend 0x2174…44ff | No | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0x852d24… |
| 05-11 09:15:04 | Damp-Innocence 0x9d3e…2c6b | Yes | BUY | 32 | 26¢ | $8 | 0x37c31c… |
| 05-11 08:15:18 | (anonymous) 0x966c…087f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x1ea6d1… |
| 05-11 08:10:09 | (anonymous) 0xba6e…e245 | No | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0xc39058… |
| 05-11 02:34:37 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x54ad8d… |
| 05-11 02:34:33 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 7 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x00a043… |
| 05-11 00:30:25 | Costly-Bore 0xe537…a0cf | No | BUY | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x366ce5… |
| 05-10 23:50:33 | Untidy-Television 0x21b1…ba4a | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x2aeeb9… |
| 05-10 23:32:09 | (anonymous) 0xc457…1675 | No | SELL | 8 | 79¢ | $6 | 0x9ce43f… |
| 05-10 23:22:05 | Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | No | BUY | 2 | 75¢ | $1 | 0xaf52ec… |
| 05-10 23:21:39 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | SELL | 6 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x42ce39… |
| 05-10 23:21:23 | Remorseful-Relish 0x2a87…a55a | Yes | SELL | 17 | 28¢ | $5 | 0xa446fe… |
| 05-10 17:05:53 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xc74c84… |
| 05-10 16:01:42 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 8 | 68¢ | $5 | 0xf13d9a… |
| 05-10 15:16:34 | Sparkling-Script 0xd629…4c72 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x3cde10… |
| 05-10 14:57:28 | Wild-Styling 0x6f15…b3fb | Yes | BUY | 120 | 42¢ | $50 | 0xc30e62… |
| 05-10 14:07:37 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 35¢ | $3 | 0xf90d31… |
| 05-10 14:07:36 | (anonymous) 0x0db1…6272 | No | BUY | 8 | 66¢ | $5 | 0xd510bf… |
| 05-10 13:25:55 | (anonymous) 0x6fd4…5cfc | No | BUY | 12 | 65¢ | $8 | 0x84b493… |
| 05-10 12:20:58 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 33¢ | $5 | 0x424ff3… |
| 05-10 12:00:52 | Proud-Enquiry 0xd491…8b55 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x9151f4… |
| 05-10 09:21:53 | Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $4 | 0x5e4a13… |
| 05-10 09:19:55 | Jealous-Quote 0xb07e…e682 | No | BUY | 7 | 68¢ | $5 | 0xfcca96… |
| 05-10 09:14:26 | Illustrious-Oxford 0x558b…f41b | No | BUY | 7 | 69¢ | $5 | 0x221a9d… |
| 05-10 07:52:31 | Complete-Cough 0x4cfe…1bc6 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 31¢ | $1 | 0xe1ba8a… |
| 05-10 06:11:37 | Bowed-Postbox 0x099c…18e8 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x6f7ec7… |
| 05-10 06:08:00 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x6c991a… |
| 05-10 01:10:53 | Hairy-Chives-Soy 0x4167…f99a | No | BUY | 10 | 75¢ | $8 | 0x835934… |
| 05-09 17:19:58 | (anonymous) 0x6e65…1c87 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x1de4dd… |