Realized P&L
+$3.70K
Unrealized P&L
-$60
Hit rate
88.6%
Resolved
183
Trades
716
lifetime
Volume
$22.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$4.08K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-30 01:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Other
63% 85% +$58
Politics
26% 80% +$3,639
Sports
10% 100% +$1
Tech
1% 80% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 148 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +4,364 $922 24¢ $1.0K +$103 10-29 13:09
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +768 $638 80¢ $611 -$27 10-28 18:48
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +449 $447 99¢ $446 -$1 10-28 18:36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +390 $381 99¢ $388 +$7 10-28 18:30
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? No +241 $239 98¢ $237 -$2 10-29 00:21
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +232 $183 78¢ $182 -$1 10-26 12:14
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +132 $130 99¢ $130 $0 10-22 03:46
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +329 $177 33¢ $107 -$69 10-27 22:43
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +93 $92 97¢ $91 -$1 10-27 22:53
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +91 $90 100¢ $90 $0 10-29 02:28
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +95 $92 78¢ $74 -$18 10-29 09:49
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +72 $72 99¢ $72 +$0 10-26 16:00
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +90 $84 75¢ $67 -$16 10-28 15:48
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +85 $73 76¢ $65 -$8 10-25 01:27
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +64 $62 98¢ $63 +$0 10-22 02:46
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +106 $70 46¢ $49 -$21 10-25 01:27
Will there be no Gemini Carbon release by January 3, 2027? No +40 $38 100¢ $40 +$3 10-29 07:38
Will Alexander Volkanovski be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? No +44 $42 86¢ $38 -$4 10-29 12:37
Will Delcy Rodríguez win the next Venezuelan presidential election? No +41 $37 84¢ $34 -$3 10-27 02:35
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $33 97¢ $33 +$0 10-14 04:22
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +39 $31 86¢ $33 +$2 10-26 02:36
Will Karoline Leavitt be the next White House Press Secretary? No +30 $29 97¢ $29 $0 10-26 16:22
Will Marseille win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? No +28 $28 99¢ $28 +$0 10-29 08:28
Will Zeka have the most kills at Worlds 2026? No +26 $25 100¢ $26 +$0 10-15 21:31
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +25 $25 99¢ $25 +$0 10-27 01:47
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +23 $22 94¢ $22 $0 10-21 02:17
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be less than $1.25T? No +22 $22 90¢ $20 -$2 10-29 12:37
Will Red Bull Salzburg win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 $0 10-29 04:36
Will Midtjylland win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship? No +17 $17 98¢ $17 $0 10-29 17:32
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +17 $17 97¢ $17 $0 10-22 02:04