Realized P&L (30d)
+$3.70K
Unrealized P&L
-$497
Hit rate
88.9%
Resolved (30d)
189
Trades (30d)
684
716 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$21.7K
$22.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$3.75K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-30 01:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 26 days
Categories
Other
63% 86% +$65
Politics
26% 81% +$3,639
Sports
10% 100% +$1
Tech
1% 80% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 148 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +768 $638 98¢ $749 +$111 10-28 18:48
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +4,364 $922 12¢ $502 -$420 10-29 13:09
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +449 $447 99¢ $446 -$1 10-28 18:36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +390 $381 91¢ $354 -$27 10-28 18:30
Will Brayden Burries win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +277 $277 100¢ $277 $0 10-27 04:16
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +232 $183 78¢ $180 -$3 10-26 12:14
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +132 $130 99¢ $130 $0 10-22 03:46
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +329 $177 37¢ $121 -$56 10-27 22:43
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +99 $99 100¢ $99 +$0 10-28 16:52
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +93 $92 97¢ $91 -$1 10-27 22:53
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +91 $90 100¢ $90 +$0 10-29 02:28
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +95 $92 78¢ $74 -$18 10-29 09:49
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +72 $72 99¢ $72 +$0 10-26 16:00
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +64 $62 98¢ $63 +$0 10-22 02:46
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +90 $84 60¢ $54 -$29 10-28 15:48
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +85 $73 62¢ $53 -$20 10-25 01:27
Will Alexander Volkanovski be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? No +44 $42 93¢ $41 -$1 10-29 12:37
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +106 $70 38¢ $40 -$31 10-25 01:27
Will Delcy Rodríguez win the next Venezuelan presidential election? No +41 $37 82¢ $34 -$3 10-27 02:35
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $33 97¢ $33 +$0 10-14 04:22
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +39 $31 86¢ $33 +$2 10-26 02:36
Will Karoline Leavitt be the next White House Press Secretary? No +30 $29 99¢ $30 +$0 10-26 16:22
Will Marseille win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? No +28 $28 98¢ $27 $0 10-29 08:28
Will the Florida Panthers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? No +28 $26 94¢ $26 +$0 10-24 01:11
Will Nate Ament win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +26 $26 100¢ $26 $0 10-27 04:16
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +25 $25 100¢ $25 +$0 10-27 01:47
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be less than $1.25T? No +22 $22 97¢ $22 -$1 10-29 12:37
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +23 $22 93¢ $22 $0 10-21 02:17
Will Red Bull Salzburg win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? No +20 $20 98¢ $20 $0 10-29 04:36
Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? No +18 $18 100¢ $18 +$0 10-30 01:05