Stimulating-Gem — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

1,357 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$5.77K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-25 07:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 90% +$7

Other

2% 29% -$20

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 24?	2	$28	15	15	+0	No	+$1	10-24 15:07
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 24?	2	$27	14	14	+0	Yes	+$0	10-24 04:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 02:10 UTC	2	$25	13	13	+0	Down	+$1	07-21 02:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 03:00 UTC	3	$23	15	15	+0	Up	-$6	07-21 03:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 12:30 UTC	4	$22	12	12	+0	Up	$0	08-24 12:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 11:25 UTC	3	$21	21	0	+21	Down	+$1	07-22 11:29
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	06-03 04:28
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 09:05 UTC	3	$19	12	12	+0	Up	-$3	07-22 09:07
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:05 UTC	3	$19	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	09-30 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$19	12	11	+2	Up	-$4	07-21 10:24
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 12:50 UTC	4	$19	14	10	+4	Up	-$3	08-24 12:53
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 08:15 UTC	3	$19	10	10	+0	Down	$0	08-24 08:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 09:35 UTC	2	$18	12	12	+0	Down	-$4	07-22 09:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 13:30 UTC	3	$18	10	10	+0	Up	$0	09-30 13:34
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 22:00 UTC	4	$17	12	9	+3	Down	-$3	09-28 22:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 21:30 UTC	2	$16	9	8	+0	Down	+$0	09-28 21:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 06:30 UTC	7	$16	11	9	+3	Up	+$1	01-01 06:43
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 24?	2	$16	11	11	+0	Yes	+$6	10-25 07:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:05 UTC	3	$16	11	11	+0	Down	-$4	08-25 00:09
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 07:20 UTC	2	$14	11	5	+6	Down	-$6	07-22 07:24
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 11:45 UTC	2	$14	9	6	+3	Down	$0	09-30 11:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 04:05 UTC	1	$14	14	0	+14	Down	-$14	07-21 04:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:10 UTC	3	$14	9	9	+0	Up	-$3	08-25 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$14	10	6	+4	Up	-$1	07-21 08:24
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 10:25 UTC	2	$13	14	0	+14	Up	+$1	07-22 10:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	6	$13	15	15	+0	Down	-$1	06-03 12:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 02:45 UTC	1	$13	16	0	+16	Down	+$3	07-21 02:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 04:00 UTC	1	$13	14	0	+14	Up	+$1	07-21 04:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	6	$13	15	15	+0	Up	$0	06-03 10:07
Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$13	17	0	+17	Down	-$3	08-24 05:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 07:58:54	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0xc3d027…
10-25 07:29:42	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x6e15b2…
10-25 07:29:27	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	25	17¢	$4	0xdadc19…
10-25 07:29:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$1	0x630606…
10-25 07:23:30	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 24?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x541e79…
10-24 16:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x6beb4d…
10-24 16:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x7f65e4…
10-24 15:39:51	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x9bf61e…
10-24 15:07:09	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 24?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x9c6521…
10-24 04:50:45	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 24?	No	BUY	15	90¢	$13	0x3cdb12…
10-24 04:49:26	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	14	97¢	$13	0x45985d…
10-24 02:25:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0x001492…
10-23 20:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7c8ec2…
10-23 13:28:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 23?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4da72e…
10-23 08:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x220864…
10-23 08:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x35e0b1…
10-23 06:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe4d5ec…
10-23 05:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xafec01…
10-23 04:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x216a7b…
10-23 03:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfb4de4…
10-22 10:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x766d14…
10-22 10:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0x84ca6c…
10-22 07:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0xd30162…
10-22 06:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x839560…
10-22 00:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0x82bcf5…
10-21 23:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb63be1…
10-21 22:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0xe97453…
10-21 21:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0xb41ac1…
10-21 21:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0x2e8e19…
10-21 20:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xa8ed3e…
10-21 20:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0xfe0573…
10-21 20:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x7e393e…
10-21 15:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0x50fcd5…
10-21 15:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0xf7330c…
10-21 14:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0xae31d0…
10-21 14:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x0203ea…
10-21 13:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8ab4ec…
10-21 12:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbffea6…
10-21 11:07:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x3c55f8…
10-21 06:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd13fff…
10-21 01:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe321bc…
10-21 01:37:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe856a8…
10-21 01:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x761e22…
10-20 23:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x0f1d00…
10-20 23:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1466de…
10-20 23:17:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x250f3e…
10-20 22:57:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe8818e…
10-20 22:52:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2b6c32…
10-20 22:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xbb5e61…
10-20 22:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x58b504…
10-20 21:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2e6f7b…
10-20 21:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa5d17b…
10-20 20:48:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x24bd0a…
10-20 20:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x7721e7…
10-20 16:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa7808a…
10-20 15:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x028bce…
10-20 14:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xfb1dba…
10-20 14:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xca1161…
10-20 13:51:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x388c23…
10-20 12:48:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x92563a…
10-20 12:37:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0xdb6958…
10-20 12:27:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x522055…
10-20 12:12:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x0b3ac2…
10-20 10:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x126b36…
10-20 10:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x0decbe…
10-20 09:24:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x806706…
10-20 09:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xfebc4a…
10-20 08:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xebbfad…
10-20 06:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x9d64fd…
10-20 06:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0xa85fe9…
10-20 05:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc8bac6…
10-20 05:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4dae38…
10-20 05:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x1353c5…
10-20 03:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x75fc20…
10-20 01:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9bc9fd…
10-19 22:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc360ec…
10-19 22:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8dc325…
10-19 19:27:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0xa12bca…
10-19 18:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xed6b6a…
10-19 18:11:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe353ee…
10-19 18:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x42f6e6…
10-19 17:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x10d4c9…
10-19 17:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4e6791…
10-19 17:23:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x5ce99a…
10-19 15:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x736323…
10-19 14:31:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x5bb292…
10-19 14:02:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x9e8885…
10-19 13:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0xdb9a6f…
10-19 13:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x0c243c…
10-19 13:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x013e17…
10-19 10:38:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xaa0e49…
10-19 10:31:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xc09fb6…
10-19 10:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x666d69…
10-19 10:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x25a8cf…
10-19 07:38:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x645679…
10-19 06:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x1f32f2…
10-19 06:07:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x3ba7cc…
10-19 05:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x1f6337…
10-19 04:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x46f057…
10-19 03:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xe25b67…