Expert-Ferryboat — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

77 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$106

$1.40K lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 10-27 10:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Other

77% 100% +$1

Crypto

20% 100% +$0

Tech

4% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump out as President by September 30?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	09-21 02:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	09-16 23:43
will anthropic ipo by june 30 2026	2	$36	18	18	+0	No	+$0	06-28 01:23
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 460 479	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	04-18 02:50
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	06-18 06:07
highest temperature in munich on april 10 2026 21c	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	04-09 09:03
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	10-27 10:38
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 16?	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	09-15 04:27
highest temperature in seoul on april 14 2026 15c	1	$27	28	0	+28	No	+$0	04-13 04:19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 59°F or below on October 29?	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	10-27 10:33
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	2	$26	13	13	+0	No	+$0	08-14 05:21
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or below on August 12?	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	08-10 04:18
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C or below on August 11?	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	08-10 04:17
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 23?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	07-22 07:42
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 27?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	10-27 10:33
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 11?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	08-10 04:17
highest temperature in mexico city on april 13 2026 19c	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	04-13 04:19
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on July 24?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	07-22 07:43
solana above 60 on march 31	1	$21	21	0	+21	Yes	+$0	03-30 08:13
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 27?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	10-27 10:37
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 10 2026 24c	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	04-09 09:02
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C or higher on July 24?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-22 07:42
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 23?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-22 07:43
ethereum above 3500 on january 30	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	01-29 08:24
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	06-17 03:44
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on May 15?	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	05-14 03:06
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 15?	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	09-15 04:27
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 11	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	03-11 03:28
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on february 9	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	02-08 09:48
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	06-17 03:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 10:38:06	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x0dd842…
10-27 10:37:11	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 27?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x18cc07…
10-27 10:33:24	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 27?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6b780c…
10-27 10:33:08	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 59°F or below on October 29?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xd4b021…
09-21 02:55:53	Trump out as President by September 30?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x5420a6…
09-16 23:43:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x1c919e…
09-15 04:27:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 15?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xc3c072…
09-15 04:27:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 16?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xcb2b61…
09-15 04:23:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x5cc730…
09-15 04:22:27	Trump out as President by September 30?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xe3c6fa…
08-14 05:21:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x4c1088…
08-10 04:19:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb981a6…
08-10 04:18:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or below on August 12?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x5b13e3…
08-10 04:17:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C or below on August 11?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x276cda…
08-10 04:17:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or higher on August 10?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x1898ad…
08-10 04:17:00	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 11?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xee61e8…
07-22 07:43:42	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on July 24?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x59f2b5…
07-22 07:43:04	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 23?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1243b1…
07-22 07:42:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 22?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xdda0f5…
07-22 07:42:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C or higher on July 24?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xea47a3…
07-22 07:42:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 23?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x83f013…
06-28 01:23:10	will anthropic ipo by june 30 2026	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xb2d509…
06-18 06:07:04	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xc9900f…
06-17 03:47:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x835c28…
06-17 03:46:17	will anthropic ipo by june 30 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xebed6c…
06-17 03:45:26	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x9f4752…
06-17 03:44:47	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xcd2172…
06-17 03:44:34	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7e6ccc…
06-17 03:44:17	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5c4d15…
05-14 03:06:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on May 15?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x1279c6…
05-14 03:05:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 14?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x017acd…
05-14 03:05:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on May 15?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x14099e…
05-14 03:05:01	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 14?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb5160a…
04-18 02:50:06	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 460 479	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x803a1d…
04-18 02:49:16	highest temperature in mexico city on april 18 2026 24c	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x144a7d…
04-18 02:48:22	highest temperature in london on april 18 2026 21corhigher	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x464387…
04-15 04:07:20	highest temperature in london on april 16 2026 21c	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x67d053…
04-15 04:04:52	highest temperature in mexico city on april 16 2026 23c	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x81038c…
04-15 04:04:36	highest temperature in mexico city on april 15 2026 17c	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x974569…
04-13 04:19:55	highest temperature in seoul on april 14 2026 15c	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0xa0f16b…
04-13 04:19:31	highest temperature in mexico city on april 14 2026 19c	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb7e337…
04-13 04:19:11	highest temperature in mexico city on april 13 2026 19c	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x25a290…
04-09 09:03:31	highest temperature in munich on april 10 2026 21c	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xa3fa52…
04-09 09:02:45	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 10 2026 24c	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x89ea18…
04-09 09:02:27	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 9 2026 30c	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x48f337…
04-01 10:35:33	highest temperature in singapore on april 3 2026 26c	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe48ab4…
04-01 10:35:17	highest temperature in singapore on april 2 2026 26c	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x004296…
04-01 10:35:09	highest temperature in singapore on april 1 2026 36corhigher	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x5be92f…
03-30 08:13:20	solana above 140 on april 1	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2bbc63…
03-30 08:13:04	solana above 60 on march 31	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xd127c8…
03-24 09:34:43	highest temperature in miami on march 24 2026 92forhigher	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x261ce4…
03-24 09:34:21	highest temperature in miami on march 25 2026 92forhigher	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb43b06…
03-24 09:34:03	highest temperature in london on march 24 2026 19corhigher	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8d57e1…
03-24 09:33:47	highest temperature in london on march 25 2026 15corhigher	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5a4d35…
03-19 13:47:21	elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 240plus	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdfba1f…
03-19 13:46:51	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 80 99	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3faba0…
03-19 13:46:39	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 160 179	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x405458…
03-19 13:46:27	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 420 439	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1d0e08…
03-11 03:28:17	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 11	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x52183e…
03-11 03:27:45	ethereum above 1700 on march 11	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4de7c0…
03-11 03:27:31	solana above 70 on march 11	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xbf09aa…
02-19 08:53:18	will artemis ii launch by february 28	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x5b7920…
02-19 08:52:54	will spacex have exactly 6 launches in february	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xdccda1…
02-19 08:52:28	will nvda dip to 108 in february	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x97db32…
02-19 08:51:34	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa8b5b8…
02-08 09:50:47	will xrp dip to 0pt9 february 2 8	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x2f5715…
02-08 09:49:35	will ethereum reach 2600 february 2 8	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x59a075…
02-08 09:48:49	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on february 9	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x615bf5…
02-08 09:48:13	ethereum above 2400 on february 8	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc43a20…
01-29 08:27:06	will the price of xrp be greater than 2pt40 on january 30	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x86e95c…
01-29 08:26:18	will the price of ethereum be greater than 3400 on january 30	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x043b17…
01-29 08:25:16	ethereum above 3500 on january 31	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x1d70fd…
01-29 08:24:56	ethereum above 3500 on january 30	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3c4e84…
01-12 07:17:44	will the price of solana be between 90 100 on january 14	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x774e2c…
01-12 07:17:32	will the price of solana be between 100 110 on january 13	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf02840…
01-12 07:16:52	solana above 110 on january 14	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x13e9b0…
01-12 07:16:30	solana above 110 on january 13	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4ef755…