Merry-Constant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.82K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.9%

Resolved

4,741

Trades

32,853

lifetime

Volume

$144.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 08-21 20:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 57% -$1,824

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 299 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 01:15 UTC	220	$2.2K	2,140	2,122	+18	Up	+$118	02-24 01:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 01:15 UTC	454	$1.9K	2,150	2,136	+15	Up	-$135	03-01 01:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 20:45 UTC	299	$1.7K	1,740	1,717	+23	Down	+$70	03-07 20:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 00:15 UTC	186	$1.6K	1,246	1,222	+24	Down	+$313	03-02 00:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 23:00 UTC	355	$1.5K	2,036	1,224	+812	Up	-$230	03-07 23:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 00:45 UTC	411	$1.4K	1,752	1,737	+14	Down	-$44	03-09 00:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 19:45 UTC	337	$1.4K	1,567	1,187	+380	Down	-$100	03-08 19:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 19:30 UTC	277	$1.4K	1,217	1,211	+5	Up	-$5	03-08 19:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 00:45 UTC	331	$1.3K	1,305	1,208	+97	Down	-$31	03-02 00:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 12:15 UTC	358	$1.3K	1,298	1,217	+82	Down	-$63	04-06 12:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 12:30 UTC	291	$1.0K	1,065	958	+107	Up	-$11	04-06 12:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 11:30 UTC	203	$974	2,080	0	+2,080	Up	-$74	02-24 11:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 03:00 UTC	247	$955	1,016	874	+142	Up	+$32	03-01 03:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 11:30 UTC	263	$939	1,051	987	+64	Up	-$21	04-06 11:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 20:15 UTC	251	$931	1,273	655	+618	Down	-$269	03-01 20:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 20:15 UTC	259	$925	1,146	944	+201	Down	-$103	03-08 20:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 11:15 UTC	188	$919	2,438	0	+2,438	Down	-$54	02-24 11:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 22:00 UTC	76	$885	679	664	+14	Up	+$4	04-21 22:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 13:00 UTC	186	$878	1,762	0	+1,762	Up	-$75	02-24 13:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 10:00 UTC	243	$872	985	810	+175	Up	-$63	03-01 10:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 12:00 UTC	177	$856	1,728	0	+1,728	Up	+$10	02-24 12:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 15:15 UTC	212	$825	928	758	+171	Down	-$27	03-01 15:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 23:15 UTC	188	$815	1,388	420	+968	Up	-$353	03-07 23:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 22:45 UTC	124	$745	1,006	100	+906	Down	+$231	03-01 22:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 09:45 UTC	253	$731	918	902	+16	Up	-$32	03-01 09:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 22:15 UTC	54	$718	501	490	+10	Down	+$15	04-21 22:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 19:15 UTC	113	$655	470	458	+11	Up	+$9	03-08 19:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 20:00 UTC	55	$646	1,290	0	+1,290	Up	+$9	02-28 20:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 15:15 UTC	108	$640	1,269	0	+1,269	Up	-$16	02-27 15:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 07:15 UTC	121	$564	1,373	0	+1,373	Down	-$57	02-24 07:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-21 20:24:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x86e4c6…
08-20 15:49:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x0c81d1…
08-20 10:03:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	22	21¢	$5	0x8da183…
08-20 10:02:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0x81cce7…
08-20 09:57:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	21	61¢	$13	0x7289f7…
08-20 09:57:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	21	54¢	$11	0xb9ad23…
08-20 09:57:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x6aeb40…
08-20 09:47:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	21	68¢	$14	0x9085c8…
08-20 09:43:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x881233…
08-20 09:39:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xed233e…
08-20 09:31:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	21	85¢	$18	0xcac4ef…
08-20 09:28:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	20	82¢	$17	0xe8bd67…
08-20 09:27:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x86e2b1…
08-20 09:23:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0x024af4…
08-20 09:21:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x338920…
08-20 09:17:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x73add2…
08-20 09:11:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x027142…
08-20 09:11:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0x60506c…
08-20 09:04:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$10	0x83989a…
08-20 09:04:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x7f5efb…
08-20 09:03:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xa0cfc0…
08-20 09:03:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x9909b9…
08-20 09:03:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x4e83d9…
08-20 09:03:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x32068e…
08-20 09:03:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0xcec171…
08-20 09:02:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xa90313…
08-20 08:52:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	21	88¢	$18	0xe17bcb…
08-20 08:51:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	21	62¢	$13	0x91539b…
08-20 08:50:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x1ed27b…
08-20 08:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	19¢	$4	0x191880…
08-20 08:41:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xb858ba…
08-20 08:41:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x9013c7…
08-20 08:01:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	21	55¢	$12	0x104285…
08-20 07:58:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x301bfc…
08-20 07:57:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20	82¢	$17	0x25d631…
08-20 07:55:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0x606367…
08-20 07:51:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xaa38d1…
08-20 07:51:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xdba679…
08-20 07:51:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x370cd9…
08-20 07:49:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	21	87¢	$18	0xc15d0a…
08-20 07:49:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x856a97…
08-20 07:49:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0x76606b…
08-20 07:48:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	21	69¢	$14	0x5e45d4…
08-20 07:48:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x7a6715…
08-20 07:47:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x637b21…
08-20 07:47:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	21	70¢	$14	0x2e319a…
08-20 07:46:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	82¢	$17	0xfa38d1…
08-20 07:43:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x37b69f…
08-20 07:42:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x1a2e2c…
08-20 07:39:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x0772cb…
08-20 07:39:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x68b707…
08-20 07:39:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x0b2364…
08-20 07:39:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xcf4354…
08-20 07:38:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xc9fe0f…
08-20 07:38:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x357665…
08-20 07:36:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xbf985d…
08-20 07:35:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x70ebd8…
08-20 07:25:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x6a3715…
08-20 07:12:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x30c403…
08-20 07:11:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x175cc8…
08-20 07:10:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x863efd…
08-20 07:07:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xef47ae…
08-20 07:03:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x7add38…
08-20 07:03:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x2e0ce6…
08-20 06:58:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xf22919…
08-20 06:57:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xe00895…
08-20 06:55:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x8743ff…
08-20 06:55:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	21	27¢	$6	0x1d3be7…
08-20 06:45:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xb9bd88…
08-20 06:45:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xf0fbb4…
08-20 06:43:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x7c88d2…
08-20 06:41:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	21	78¢	$16	0x0ee36f…
08-20 06:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0x00b699…
08-20 06:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0x3c036f…
08-20 06:06:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	21	31¢	$7	0x74ef10…
08-20 06:05:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x77f1fe…
08-20 06:03:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	28	8¢	$2	0x8dd78b…
08-20 06:03:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	91¢	$19	0x8484ed…
08-20 06:03:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x0e2006…
08-20 06:03:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xcf173b…
08-20 06:02:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x72d4eb…
08-20 05:58:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xac4dfe…
08-20 05:57:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x50a669…
08-20 05:56:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x947266…
08-20 05:56:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20	77¢	$16	0xa1c49a…
08-20 05:56:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xb892b2…
08-20 05:56:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x4badbd…
08-20 05:52:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xd9cab6…
08-20 05:51:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x6595ab…
08-20 05:46:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	21	75¢	$15	0x35484d…
08-20 05:45:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x3e0afb…
08-20 05:45:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xd25cf0…
08-20 05:44:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xb2782c…
08-20 05:43:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x840c77…
08-20 05:43:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x5a7554…
08-20 05:40:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x49ff89…
08-20 05:38:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x8d9304…
08-20 05:37:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	21	20¢	$4	0x575058…
08-20 05:37:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	21	16¢	$3	0x70abc9…
08-20 05:29:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0xca3805…