Merry-Constant — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$4

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

84.6%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

69 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$456

$456 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$14

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 22:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 83% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up		+12	$9	96¢	$12	+$3	05-05 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up		+6	$3	44¢	$3	$-1	05-05 22:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	7	$43	75	+75	open	—	05-05 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$22	24	+24	open	—	05-05 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	2	$20	33	+33	open	—	05-05 09:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$19	26	+26	open	—	05-05 10:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$19	28	+28	open	—	05-05 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	3	$19	48	+48	open	—	05-05 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	2	$17	34	+34	open	—	05-05 11:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$16	33	+33	open	—	05-05 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$16	32	+32	open	—	05-05 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	1	$16	16	+16	Up	+$0	05-05 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	1	$15	16	+16	Down	+$1	05-04 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	1	$14	16	+16	open	—	05-05 10:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	1	$13	17	+17	Down	+$4	05-05 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	1	$11	16	+16	Down	+$5	05-05 04:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	1	$11	16	+16	open	—	05-05 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	1	$11	12	+12	open	—	05-05 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	1	$11	17	+17	Down	$-11	05-05 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	3	$10	21	+21	open	—	05-05 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	1	$10	16	+16	open	—	05-05 09:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	1	$10	16	+16	open	—	05-05 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$10	24	+24	open	—	05-05 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$10	26	+26	open	—	05-05 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	2	$9	12	+12	open	—	05-05 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	3	$8	19	+19	open	—	05-05 18:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	1	$8	12	+12	open	—	05-05 07:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$7	12	+12	open	—	05-05 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	1	$7	16	+16	open	—	05-05 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	1	$6	17	+17	open	—	05-05 07:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	05-05 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-05 16:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 22:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x90668f…
05-05 22:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x9e5f8f…
05-05 22:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x9f69a8…
05-05 21:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0x1684ae…
05-05 21:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	32	50¢	$16	0x2d5ca9…
05-05 20:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0x56fb10…
05-05 19:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0xfa805c…
05-05 19:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0x0b9bbe…
05-05 19:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xa450ca…
05-05 19:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x099a16…
05-05 19:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x6ec5d7…
05-05 19:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xea14de…
05-05 19:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x3e2af3…
05-05 19:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x3b7baf…
05-05 18:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xa86b9a…
05-05 18:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0x92be7b…
05-05 18:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	63¢	$8	0x9571e3…
05-05 18:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0xcc22db…
05-05 18:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xecd673…
05-05 18:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0xdb3512…
05-05 18:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x316294…
05-05 18:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf5d704…
05-05 18:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x55b1e3…
05-05 18:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x94c74b…
05-05 18:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x50ff82…
05-05 18:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x84fc7c…
05-05 18:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$3	0x4a1a50…
05-05 17:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xcb941d…
05-05 17:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x77396d…
05-05 17:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x6cddf3…
05-05 16:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xdd7951…
05-05 16:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xf5b869…
05-05 15:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xc70982…
05-05 15:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xe252e0…
05-05 15:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x3fe230…
05-05 15:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x607628…
05-05 15:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x2201e5…
05-05 15:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	32¢	$4	0x3cd11b…
05-05 15:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xd0926a…
05-05 15:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x2c3eec…
05-05 14:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0xa2f8d2…
05-05 14:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	66¢	$11	0x480438…
05-05 14:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x5d85fd…
05-05 13:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	41¢	$7	0x31dc8c…
05-05 13:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0xf1f7b5…
05-05 13:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$11	0x08edc5…
05-05 12:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	18¢	$3	0x3f6bba…
05-05 11:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	56¢	$9	0x0be874…
05-05 11:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	44¢	$8	0x310278…
05-05 11:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xef78ed…
05-05 10:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0xe62fac…
05-05 10:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x21dfab…
05-05 10:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	84¢	$14	0xfba07d…
05-05 09:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x52339c…
05-05 09:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xb2919b…
05-05 09:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x7b0fda…
05-05 08:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	74¢	$12	0x1d7fa1…
05-05 08:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	21¢	$4	0x56b4b3…
05-05 08:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xc50168…
05-05 07:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x34d296…
05-05 07:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x836af3…
05-05 07:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0xbbc675…
05-05 06:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x1d0d62…
05-05 04:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0x850236…
05-05 02:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	63¢	$11	0xcf3e09…
05-05 02:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x7fe931…
05-05 01:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	77¢	$13	0x510d10…
05-05 00:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x05846c…
05-04 22:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x9653c7…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	47	$993	259	05-05 22:25
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	45	$13.3K	337	05-05 22:25
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	43	$1.94K	141	05-05 22:25
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	37	$1.10K	121	05-05 22:09
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	35	$7.32K	289	05-05 22:25
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	35	$586	116	05-05 22:25
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	34	$6.50K	175	05-05 22:25
(anonymous) 0x5e2b…9101	30	$568	88	05-05 20:50