Quintessential-Asymmetry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

116

lifetime

Volume

$1.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 05-30 12:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

40% 100% +$0

Other

30% — —

Politics

29% 100% +$4

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	1	$151	151	+151	open	—	05-30 12:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	1	$130	141	+141	open	—	05-19 01:38
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$129	130	+130	Yes	+$0	05-04 20:36
Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$127	138	+138	open	—	05-16 08:32
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$125	127	+127	open	—	05-15 14:44
Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$119	125	+125	open	—	05-14 18:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$116	120	+120	No	+$4	05-09 09:20
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	1	$90	91	+91	open	—	05-01 03:26
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$24	24	+24	open	—	04-13 23:41
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$11	11	+11	Yes	+$0	05-05 12:48
will solana dip to 60 in january 2026	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	01-06 15:15
will ethena reach 0pt28 in march	3	$8	8	+8	open	—	03-24 14:33
will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	02-20 23:07
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	3	$6	7	+7	open	—	04-16 22:59
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in April?	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	04-29 16:43
will ethereum dip to 1400 in january 2026 585	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	01-07 09:29
will ethereum reach 4200 in february 2026	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	02-20 19:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	2	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-06 08:45
Will Z.ai have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$5	5	+5	open	—	04-13 06:40
gc hit 3000 low jan 2026 687 416 415 372	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	01-23 20:49
gc hit 3600 low jan 2026 392 134 138 444	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	01-08 16:54
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	01-10 05:33
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	05-07 19:48
will xrp dip to 0pt2 in january 2026	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	01-14 15:50
Will XRP reach $2.60 in April?	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	04-10 05:48
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	05-18 09:50
will silver si hit high 170 by end of february 258 575 377	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	02-21 08:30
Will BNB reach $900 in April?	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	04-17 07:49
Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	04-15 17:56
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	04-11 11:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 12:49:36	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0xef9c97…
05-28 21:31:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6d5b6b…
05-28 16:01:06	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x67f4e2…
05-25 02:22:04	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x9d404f…
05-19 23:27:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xc894f9…
05-19 01:38:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	141	92¢	$130	0x9b26b7…
05-18 09:50:27	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa5e951…
05-18 01:43:34	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb2ed32…
05-16 08:32:50	Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	138	92¢	$127	0xdcf802…
05-15 14:44:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	127	99¢	$125	0x4662cc…
05-14 18:46:49	Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	125	95¢	$119	0xc5888b…
05-09 21:43:36	Will Solana dip to $20 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc769f6…
05-09 09:20:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	120	96¢	$116	0xb1e25c…
05-08 22:33:45	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc2d467…
05-07 19:48:36	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc8542a…
05-07 14:36:38	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x145313…
05-06 08:45:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x14a26b…
05-05 12:48:46	Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe413a1…
05-04 20:36:28	Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	130	100¢	$129	0x7c1b6e…
05-03 04:15:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x779735…
05-02 20:56:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xaf8147…
05-01 03:26:14	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$90	0x7dac49…
04-29 16:43:16	Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in April?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xa9310e…
04-19 02:20:44	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $250 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xafdcdc…
04-18 21:34:10	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xeda59d…
04-17 17:43:04	Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd948ee…
04-17 07:49:42	Will BNB reach $900 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x454bd3…
04-17 04:02:04	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.00 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x49755f…
04-16 23:34:02	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x43dee8…
04-16 22:59:46	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa80204…
04-15 17:56:14	Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x74e088…
04-15 13:55:10	Will XRP reach $2.20 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0xbe76d9…
04-15 01:43:34	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2df518…
04-14 16:26:23	Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0x5e1451…
04-13 23:41:35	Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0xb6590f…
04-13 06:40:13	Will Z.ai have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5b6a8d…
04-13 03:32:39	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x7c2df4…
04-11 20:11:07	Will Solana reach $160 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb68680…
04-11 18:43:01	Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x388f87…
04-11 11:25:07	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xdd5f9f…
04-11 00:15:11	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6e4741…
04-10 05:48:09	Will XRP reach $2.60 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xf1031f…
04-08 14:24:33	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x75a086…
04-06 01:26:09	Will Z.ai have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf0f8df…
04-05 18:51:05	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbe182b…
04-05 15:35:01	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf1d6ce…
03-31 12:39:47	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x36c58f…
03-30 12:35:24	will deepseek have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf39cab…
03-30 08:23:02	will ethereum dip to 1400 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2dd109…
03-28 19:51:44	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x45853f…
03-27 16:06:17	googl above 250 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5c8780…
03-26 18:40:03	will chainlink dip to 6 in march	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x4be5fb…
03-26 02:31:31	nvda above 130 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4752a6…
03-25 17:57:31	will hyperliquid dip to 16 in march	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xc4be63…
03-25 11:18:25	will xrp dip to 0pt4 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2eff46…
03-24 14:33:23	will ethena reach 0pt28 in march	No	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0x1d4072…
03-23 19:20:59	will chainlink reach 18 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x40533a…
03-23 04:21:23	nflx above 20 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3edf36…
03-23 02:00:37	will ethena reach 0pt28 in march	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x186d06…
03-21 16:52:35	will amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xbafda3…
03-21 12:06:03	will ethena reach 0pt28 in march	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0298b1…
03-21 06:02:25	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0d096e…
03-11 11:59:23	will amazon be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7ab7c6…
03-10 15:15:45	will chainlink reach 20 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8f5e15…
03-10 03:48:07	msft above 495 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbdd5e9…
03-09 21:08:41	amzn above 270 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9fcafa…
03-09 19:05:49	will zai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 189	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8ddb52…
03-09 04:44:35	nflx above 200 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf29b77…
03-09 02:51:25	will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x887363…
03-09 00:50:51	will meituan have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe23685…
03-08 17:09:15	will mistral have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x68bb32…
03-08 00:06:53	will mistral have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb2fd1b…
03-07 11:53:33	will the ecb announce a 50 bps decrease at the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa092bd…
03-07 07:18:35	msft above 315 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9a5c02…
03-06 21:05:53	will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdb4430…
03-06 10:31:13	will chainlink reach 20 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x452d73…
03-05 23:13:31	will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x37a70e…
03-05 18:50:37	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x874bd8…
03-05 13:10:31	will mistral have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 494	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa83414…
03-05 08:54:19	will tesla be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4ad616…
03-05 05:20:19	will oracle be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf671d5…
03-04 17:33:31	will solana dip to 20 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x20592a…
03-04 15:35:47	will moonshot have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x29befa…
03-04 11:46:17	msft above 465 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa621f3…
03-03 20:46:25	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x45c8eb…
03-03 16:54:47	bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa9648f…
03-03 02:19:07	will xrp reach 3 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x48e581…
03-03 02:06:43	will solana dip to 30 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6f116c…
03-03 00:50:51	amzn above 270 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x72ad85…
02-24 09:15:48	will silver si hit high 180 by end of february 127 147	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa312b0…
02-24 02:03:24	will microsoft be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb8fbbf…
02-23 16:39:42	will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x923de3…
02-23 14:57:20	aapl above 240 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa95d65…
02-23 14:40:12	will nvidia be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x65571a…
02-22 23:58:30	will ethereum reach 3400 in february 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd15eaf…
02-21 18:26:58	will solana reach 180 in february 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf0c198…
02-21 08:30:44	will silver si hit high 170 by end of february 258 575 377	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xef05da…
02-21 07:52:42	nvda above 240 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x51d857…
02-20 23:07:30	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8915b9…
02-20 19:05:10	will ethereum reach 4200 in february 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x63772f…