Mealy-Lapdog — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

18.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$203

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 08-21 16:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 11% $-8

Other

18% 0% $-7

Politics

16% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down on May 1?	3	$33	27	27	+0	open	—	05-01 05:50
Trump out as President by May 31?	2	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	05-08 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$20	144	144	+0	open	—	04-30 21:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$16	31	31	+0	open	—	05-07 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	3	$12	151	10	+141	open	—	04-30 21:23
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$7	13	13	+0	open	—	04-30 20:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$6	29	29	+0	open	—	05-06 11:11
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$5	25	0	+25	open	—	04-30 20:53
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$5	50	0	+50	open	—	04-30 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$5	23	0	+23	open	—	04-30 21:16
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore	1	$5	11	0	+11	Lucknow Super Giants	$-5	05-07 15:47
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	2	$5	200	200	+0	open	—	05-20 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	05-01 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	3	$4	117	0	+117	open	—	05-01 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 16:04
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans	3	$4	25	12	+12	open	—	05-16 17:44
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$3	21	0	+21	open	—	05-08 14:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$3	111	0	+111	open	—	05-01 08:14
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	1	$3	10	0	+10	open	—	08-21 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-01 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$3	4	4	+0	open	—	05-01 07:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-01 07:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-01 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$2	55	0	+55	Down	$-2	05-07 15:58
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Riders	1	$2	11	0	+11	Kolkata Knight Riders	$-2	05-08 15:34
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	1	$2	22	0	+22	open	—	04-30 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$2	15	0	+15	Down	$-2	05-07 16:14
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$2	15	0	+15	open	—	05-04 21:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	2	$2	53	53	+0	open	—	05-16 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	05-01 07:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-21 16:57:37	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x008390…
05-20 09:24:54	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0xec9291…
05-16 17:44:35	Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans	Gujarat Titans	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x4f7779…
05-16 17:42:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	Yes	SELL	53	1¢	$1	0xfa0642…
05-16 17:35:43	Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans	Gujarat Titans	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0x626816…
05-16 16:56:18	Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans	Gujarat Titans	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x52d994…
05-16 16:52:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x8bcdcf…
05-08 15:34:39	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Riders	Delhi Capitals	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xab4c26…
05-08 14:44:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xfd9ad5…
05-08 14:40:07	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x43a158…
05-08 14:37:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x463b15…
05-08 14:36:51	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x37366b…
05-08 14:33:54	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xf8fd76…
05-07 16:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xb11034…
05-07 16:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc8ebe6…
05-07 16:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xdc7b25…
05-07 16:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2a4d3f…
05-07 15:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5934d9…
05-07 15:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x61f274…
05-07 15:49:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x36d622…
05-07 15:47:38	Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore	Royal Challengers Bangalore	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x7015de…
05-07 15:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x4eb8ad…
05-07 15:37:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	31	34¢	$11	0x32191d…
05-06 11:13:00	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x8b1543…
05-06 11:11:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	15¢	$4	0xa8deaa…
05-04 21:17:18	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xe30feb…
05-04 21:12:32	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xc9bb30…
05-04 21:12:18	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x3faa29…
05-04 21:09:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xddfb54…
05-04 21:08:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xcb65a1…
05-04 18:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x127e4a…
05-04 13:25:10	LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	HANJIN BRION	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd72c92…
05-04 06:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x9ec7bd…
05-01 08:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x96339d…
05-01 08:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x6ee491…
05-01 08:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6b69b0…
05-01 08:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x67291f…
05-01 08:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x683766…
05-01 07:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xbe493a…
05-01 07:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5212d6…
05-01 07:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x9d54b3…
05-01 07:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xaba8a4…
05-01 07:49:28	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x409f3d…
05-01 07:47:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa7e6e4…
05-01 07:47:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	Yes	BUY	127	1¢	$1	0xa497e2…
05-01 07:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0x3da6f2…
05-01 07:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x0fcc59…
05-01 07:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0x38f0fb…
05-01 07:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xcf50c4…
05-01 07:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xadc86b…
05-01 07:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xcdb29e…
05-01 07:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x96ccd6…
05-01 06:38:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x0e2a76…
05-01 06:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xfdf43b…
05-01 06:11:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xe8993e…
05-01 05:50:14	Ethereum Up or Down on May 1?	Up	SELL	27	74¢	$20	0xeef6b2…
04-30 21:27:26	Ethereum Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x7111a1…
04-30 21:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xd1fd56…
04-30 21:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x7bd720…
04-30 21:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x11fc5c…
04-30 21:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x655e51…
04-30 21:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	144	10¢	$15	0xc21a80…
04-30 21:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	144	3¢	$5	0xe751fd…
04-30 21:08:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x01be29…
04-30 21:01:58	Ethereum Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9ea8e2…
04-30 20:58:46	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	13	23¢	$3	0xe8cacf…
04-30 20:58:42	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	28¢	$4	0xddbd88…
04-30 20:53:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xe8d742…
04-30 20:49:28	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xa80a04…