Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$604

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.8%

Resolved

3,181

Trades

5,262

lifetime

Volume

$20.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-15

last 10-18 08:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 78 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 65% -$604

Other

1% 100% +$0

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 564 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Brentford qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?	4	$98	80	80	+0	open	—	10-15 07:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 19:05 UTC	31	$75	140	0	+140	Up	-$15	09-24 19:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	34	$67	140	0	+140	Down	-$12	09-12 20:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 18:20 UTC	3	$58	73	0	+73	Down	+$14	08-01 18:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 18:00 UTC	25	$58	113	0	+113	Down	+$5	09-24 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	22	$57	85	0	+85	Up	-$2	09-12 20:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 15:35 UTC	22	$54	110	0	+110	Down	-$9	09-26 15:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 18:15 UTC	1	$53	55	0	+55	Down	+$2	08-01 18:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:45 UTC	2	$51	60	0	+60	Down	+$9	10-15 07:46
bitcoin up or down september 27 2026 8pm et	2	$50	60	0	+60	Down	+$10	09-28 00:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:15 UTC	2	$50	60	0	+60	Down	+$10	10-15 08:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:20 UTC	4	$48	60	0	+60	Down	-$48	10-15 08:23
bitcoin up or down september 28 2026 9am et	2	$48	60	0	+60	Up	-$18	09-28 13:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 09:10 UTC	21	$40	80	0	+80	Down	$0	09-25 09:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 15:50 UTC	19	$39	97	0	+97	Up	-$14	09-26 15:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 09:25 UTC	14	$39	70	0	+70	Up	+$1	09-25 09:26
bitcoin up or down august 31 2026 12am et	1	$38	39	0	+39	Down	+$1	08-31 04:53
bitcoin up or down august 31 2026 6am et	1	$37	39	0	+39	Up	+$2	08-31 10:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 09:20 UTC	17	$37	70	0	+70	Up	-$7	09-25 09:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 13:40 UTC	16	$37	70	0	+70	Down	+$3	09-25 13:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 21:45 UTC	16	$36	70	0	+70	Down	+$4	09-24 21:45
bitcoin up or down august 30 2026 10pm et	1	$36	39	0	+39	Down	+$3	08-31 02:52
bitcoin up or down august 30 2026 9pm et	1	$35	39	0	+39	Down	+$3	08-31 01:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:00 UTC	2	$34	35	0	+35	Down	+$1	10-15 08:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 21:50 UTC	16	$34	65	0	+65	Down	-$4	09-24 21:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 13:35 UTC	13	$34	70	0	+70	Up	+$1	09-25 13:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:55 UTC	4	$33	40	0	+40	Up	-$33	10-15 08:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 18:45 UTC	15	$32	64	0	+64	Down	+$3	09-24 18:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 14:30 UTC	2	$31	40	0	+40	Up	-$11	08-25 14:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 22:55 UTC	20	$31	60	0	+60	Up	-$1	09-24 22:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 08:24:48	Will Confluent (CFLT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x642311…
10-18 08:24:48	Will "Magan's Fare" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x5fa435…
10-17 22:56:54	will any contestant beat luke littler	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x6e6297…
10-17 11:20:32	cflt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 10 26 2026 0pt14	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x80bf42…
10-17 10:08:17	will sergio ramos attend the 2026 ballon dor ceremony	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xe633ae…
10-17 06:10:07	will any contestant beat luke littler	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x48b2c3…
10-17 05:44:05	next white house press secretary announced by november 30 2026	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x7a38a1…
10-17 00:40:57	will sergio ramos attend the 2026 ballon dor ceremony	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xa95e36…
10-16 21:06:45	next white house press secretary announced by november 30 2026	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x5d37e2…
10-15 15:09:40	will magans fare be nominated for best live action short film at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xa9adf4…
10-15 08:56:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0x2295ba…
10-15 08:56:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x69ada6…
10-15 08:56:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x3a1f4d…
10-15 08:56:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:55 UTC	Down	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0xafc36a…
10-15 08:25:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0xea0166…
10-15 08:23:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x526506…
10-15 08:22:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x84a20c…
10-15 08:22:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$4	0x7e563d…
10-15 08:22:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	19	81¢	$16	0x4a6f2e…
10-15 08:16:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x817f77…
10-15 08:16:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x316524…
10-15 08:10:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x5ab2fc…
10-15 08:08:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x9c6bb2…
10-15 08:03:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3019d8…
10-15 08:03:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x92f56f…
10-15 07:56:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x5a55b3…
10-15 07:53:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x12c8d9…
10-15 07:53:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xea2f8f…
10-15 07:53:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x4a01c0…
10-15 07:46:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0xa97a08…
10-15 07:46:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x372e7a…
10-15 07:41:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x8fccb7…
10-15 07:23:49	Will Brentford qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?	No	SELL	80	62¢	$50	0x60df95…
10-15 06:41:01	will anthropics frontier output token price be at or above 30 in 2026	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x07bbd1…
10-14 23:55:03	bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x085184…
10-14 13:57:08	bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x48af56…
10-14 03:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xc038a4…
10-13 15:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x0128ee…
10-13 13:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xc4873f…
10-13 12:08:31	Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $30 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0xeff863…
10-13 12:08:31	Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $30 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	36¢	$6	0xbcf8b1…
10-13 04:29:53	Will Escorpiones de Belén be relegated from the 2026-27 Liga FPD (Costa Rica)?	No	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x434988…
10-12 20:29:09	Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $30 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x79f094…
10-12 16:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$14	0xd809d5…
10-12 13:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0xc6ba1b…
10-11 21:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x47383c…
10-11 18:02:52	Will Lionel Messi score 8+ goals during the 2027 MLS Sprint Season window?	Yes	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0xef0907…
10-11 12:08:24	Will Brentford qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xfc0bdd…
10-11 12:08:22	Will Brentford qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xb28fe5…
10-11 12:08:22	Will Brentford qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?	No	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x8a2046…
10-11 09:46:09	Will Lionel Messi score 8+ goals during the 2027 MLS Sprint Season window?	Yes	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xcbbdcd…
10-11 06:29:08	Will Lionel Messi score 8+ goals during the 2027 MLS Sprint Season window?	Yes	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x5eaaae…
10-11 00:07:06	Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or above $30 in 2026?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x756c9e…
10-11 00:00:43	Will Mike Evans have 8.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xf08656…
10-10 18:41:15	Will Escorpiones de Belén be relegated from the 2026-27 Liga FPD (Costa Rica)?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xad0aa9…
10-10 18:28:39	Ethereum tapered issuance burn implemented by December 31, 2028?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xfb00c0…
10-10 18:25:07	Will Lionel Messi score 8+ goals during the 2027 MLS Sprint Season window?	Yes	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0xaff184…
10-10 18:17:46	Ethereum tapered issuance burn implemented by December 31, 2028?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x3dea0a…
10-10 18:12:57	Will Mike Evans have 8.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x2b9aa4…
10-10 14:10:28	Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $30 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xb6d451…
10-09 19:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xcca6af…
10-08 20:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xa8dcc1…
10-08 19:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x00b9bd…
10-08 19:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xff7944…
10-08 19:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xfbd1c8…
10-08 19:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x740955…
10-08 19:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x6dbac7…
10-08 19:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0xc5e133…
10-08 18:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0x203fc6…
10-08 18:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc189a3…
10-08 18:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x612464…
10-08 18:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x380ab4…
10-08 18:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x6fd109…
10-08 18:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x11d61a…
10-08 18:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x30e212…
10-08 18:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x17beb7…
10-08 17:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb4d415…
10-08 17:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe134f0…
10-08 17:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xcbeac8…
10-08 17:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x8e881e…
10-08 17:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xe55921…
10-08 17:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd559e0…
10-08 17:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x381d79…
10-08 17:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x3becc0…
10-08 17:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xd5f97b…
10-08 17:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x5d8e72…
10-08 17:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x22019f…
10-08 17:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xcd5d09…
10-08 17:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x9fb0d7…
10-08 17:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x2259c8…
10-08 17:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x525a2d…
10-08 17:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x194195…
10-08 17:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x2751e0…
10-08 17:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x600fc3…
10-08 17:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x8d1dad…
10-08 17:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x2884e0…
10-08 17:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x23fa9b…
10-08 17:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb5cccf…
10-08 16:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5ba1b6…
10-08 16:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x4982e3…