Determined-Pants — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-09 08:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 100% +$1

Other

12% — —

Tech

7% — —

Politics

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	1	$100	100	+100	open	—	04-24 03:55
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	1	$100	100	+100	open	—	03-17 01:49
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$90	90	+90	open	—	03-31 04:34
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	3	$80	80	+80	open	—	01-21 02:18
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 7?	1	$70	70	+70	Yes	+$0	05-07 07:42
xrp above 1pt2 on april 4	2	$60	60	+60	open	—	04-04 01:44
ethereum above 1700 on february 22	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	02-22 08:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	05-14 06:51
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	05-28 08:38
will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	01-05 01:50
ethereum above 2100 on april 17	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-17 06:51
ethereum above 1800 on march 27	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	03-27 08:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 15?	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	05-14 06:51
bitcoin above 60k on march 29	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	03-29 02:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	05-29 06:42
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 340 359	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-07 06:24
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 14?	1	$40	40	+40	open	—	05-14 06:51
solana above 80 on april 17	1	$40	40	+40	open	—	04-17 06:51
xrp above 1pt2 on april 5	1	$40	40	+40	open	—	04-05 07:37
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	1	$40	40	+40	open	—	04-29 07:44
ethereum above 1800 on march 23	1	$31	31	+31	open	—	03-23 02:42
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	02-23 08:56
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	03-31 04:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	1	$30	30	+30	Yes	+$0	05-13 03:29
bitcoin above 60k on march 9	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	03-09 03:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 16?	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	05-14 06:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?	1	$30	30	+30	Yes	+$0	05-09 05:13
bitcoin above 66k on march 20	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	03-20 04:35
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	02-10 04:39
bitcoin above 64k on march 19	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	03-19 03:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 08:41:45	bitcoin above 60k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa97f8a…
06-09 08:41:37	bitcoin above 58k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x16d9b3…
06-09 08:41:30	bitcoin above 56k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd5ec99…
06-08 02:47:28	dota2 vpp balu 2026 06 08	VP.Prodigy	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x1a5a9f…
06-04 02:28:46	bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xff94f8…
06-04 02:28:34	ethereum above 1500 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2d2243…
06-04 02:28:21	ethereum above 1600 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4c4460…
06-04 02:28:13	ethereum above 1500 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x602a5c…
06-01 04:19:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0bef40…
06-01 04:19:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x00dffd…
05-29 06:42:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb3b99f…
05-28 08:38:25	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x50ac45…
05-27 03:19:33	Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1ed623…
05-14 06:51:53	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x0e7a22…
05-14 06:51:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd67c86…
05-14 06:51:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2243e6…
05-14 06:51:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xaf40cb…
05-13 03:29:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x79395b…
05-09 05:13:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xbb5673…
05-07 07:42:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0xead55b…
04-29 07:44:00	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x06fe87…
04-27 02:51:34	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x43c954…
04-24 03:55:40	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x027d18…
04-24 03:54:06	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x4ad9db…
04-22 05:31:42	USD.AI FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf206a9…
04-21 04:18:00	bitcoin above 72k on april 21	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x3ba8ae…
04-17 06:51:58	ethereum above 2100 on april 17	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9c97ec…
04-17 06:51:12	solana above 80 on april 17	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xbe3092…
04-14 09:04:01	lol dnsc t1a 2026 04 14	DN SOOPers Challengers	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x3f2c73…
04-13 02:10:31	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9dadaf…
04-09 02:52:59	xrp above 1pt4 on april 9	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe17d5f…
04-07 06:24:45	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 340 359	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x78735d…
04-05 07:40:47	Will Solana reach $120 in April?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf27621…
04-05 07:37:21	xrp above 1pt2 on april 5	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x263ab7…
04-04 01:45:07	nba tor mem 2026 04 03	Raptors	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9a12ae…
04-04 01:44:41	xrp above 1pt2 on april 4	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x72e590…
04-04 01:38:27	xrp above 1pt2 on april 4	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6c0d2c…
03-31 04:38:01	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xbfb493…
03-31 04:34:25	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0666a9…
03-31 04:32:27	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x9a7ff4…
03-29 03:20:30	will bitcoin reach 68k on march 28	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x49da40…
03-29 02:27:26	bitcoin above 60k on march 29	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbee300…
03-27 08:37:19	ethereum above 1800 on march 27	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x192da7…
03-26 07:27:55	will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8c60f4…
03-25 04:41:53	will annual inflation increase by 2pt0 in march	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5bf9f4…
03-23 02:42:21	ethereum above 1800 on march 23	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x91fe6e…
03-20 04:35:39	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x451560…
03-19 03:13:29	bitcoin above 64k on march 19	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x2bf134…
03-18 05:26:51	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5a0dd0…
03-17 01:49:15	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdac676…
03-16 02:53:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4471fd…
03-15 03:19:35	will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xbf17c8…
03-14 09:20:31	ethereum above 2000 on march 14	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x8bb2d6…
03-12 08:55:05	dota2 heroic bb4 2026 03 12	BetBoom Team	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x8a4f3b…
03-12 08:54:33	dota2 heroic bb4 2026 03 12	BetBoom Team	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x29414e…
03-11 08:41:23	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x7ce7bd…
03-11 08:40:21	bitcoin above 64k on march 11	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xff8c42…
03-10 03:29:51	bitcoin above 66k on march 10	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x81cb3c…
03-10 03:28:57	bitcoin above 64k on march 10	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0da92a…
03-09 03:05:43	bitcoin above 60k on march 9	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x4174b3…
03-07 08:12:59	dota2 pari yes 2026 03 07	PARIVISION	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xb98f0b…
02-27 05:17:00	ethereum above 1600 on february 27	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x8acb10…
02-24 08:15:44	atp manas sakella 2026 02 22	Manas	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x611e86…
02-23 08:56:38	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x2d7cf2…
02-22 08:11:50	ethereum above 1700 on february 22	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x74204d…
02-22 08:10:48	will xrp reach 3 in february 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x95bd70…
02-10 04:40:01	us strikes iran by february 10 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb5f580…
02-10 04:39:27	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x4f2319…
02-09 08:27:51	Over $500K committed to the Foresee public sale?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x749d6a…
02-07 07:56:33	will silver si hit high 120 by end of february 431 947 594 173 652 316	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xc29492…
02-06 06:44:59	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe56bcb…
02-05 02:25:57	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x984be6…
02-04 04:35:32	Tria FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2b408b…
02-02 02:49:04	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x392240…
01-30 02:28:02	will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1026a5…
01-26 06:45:12	si hit 150 high jan 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3752af…
01-24 09:18:26	will the price of bitcoin be less than 86000 on january 24	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x90a738…
01-23 02:39:52	will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x015954…
01-21 02:18:04	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7e2329…
01-19 02:56:58	Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x1cca81…
01-19 02:53:38	nhl stl edm 2026 01 18	Oilers	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdaff9c…
01-18 04:04:18	us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb826ab…
01-16 05:16:22	nhl tor las 2026 01 15	Maple Leafs	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xf8ba8e…
01-15 11:15:10	atp fokina vachero 2026 01 15	Fokina	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa95245…
01-14 01:32:12	nba chi hou 2026 01 13	Rockets	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x1f7d33…
01-12 10:16:20	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xab2e52…
01-11 06:12:24	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xcb9bbf…
01-11 06:09:00	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x3870c0…
01-10 02:45:20	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbd8c02…
01-08 08:06:21	bitcoin above 88k on january 8	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb22db0…
01-08 08:05:43	wta seidel kartal 2026 01 06	Kartal	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa21fc7…
01-07 10:20:57	bitcoin above 96k on january 7	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6cf296…
01-05 01:50:41	will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc75edc…
01-04 07:33:07	bitcoin above 88k on january 4	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x578f72…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	57	$185.4K	3,331	06-05 15:11
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	51	$6.92K	1,520	06-08 19:11
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	49	$18.7K	7,754	04-26 14:40
Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44	37	$1.48K	1,042	05-15 01:54
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	35	$3.60K	2,305	06-04 17:38
Messy-Lecture 0xff4e…5502	35	$965	2,181	06-09 08:37
Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81	34	$1.34K	424	03-27 20:58
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	33	$2.81K	1,579	06-09 14:59