Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

51.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$162

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$21

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 07-21 16:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

52% 67% -$7

Tech

20% 33% -$2

Politics

17% 40% -$6

Crypto

10% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-21).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SBF released from custody in 2026?	No		-11	-$11	98¢	$-11	$0	06-02 11:30
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No		-11	-$10	97¢	$-11	$0	07-21 16:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	6	$29	41	26	+15	Yes	-$9	04-18 15:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$20	11	11	+0	No	+$2	04-26 16:32
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	2	$14	0	15	-15	Yes	-$1	06-10 13:19
SBF released from custody in 2026?	1	$11	0	11	-11	open	—	06-02 11:30
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	1	$10	0	11	-11	open	—	07-21 16:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	2	$10	7	7	+0	Yes	+$0	04-30 02:33
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$9	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	04-20 11:07
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-04 14:55
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$8	12	0	+12	Yes	-$3	02-28 19:42
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$6	3	3	+0	No	+$0	03-24 20:36
will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$1	04-13 09:04
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	02-28 19:43
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	1	$5	0	5	-5	No	$0	05-04 14:08
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	07-21 16:36
Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$5	5	5	+0	No	-$4	04-14 06:06
Will Sassuolo be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$1	04-14 06:51
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?	1	$4	0	5	-5	open	—	04-28 14:34
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	2	$2	9	9	+0	No	$0	03-11 21:07
Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	3	$1	5	0	+5	Yes	-$1	04-15 20:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 16:37:13	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0xca5ee3…
07-21 16:36:45	Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x216f70…
06-10 13:19:22	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x2424b9…
06-10 09:56:01	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0xb5506f…
06-02 11:30:05	SBF released from custody in 2026?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x52d9dd…
05-04 14:55:30	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xd63498…
05-04 14:08:12	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1c7ae9…
04-30 02:33:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x8f1ccd…
04-28 14:34:48	Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?	No	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x702ca9…
04-26 16:32:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x3b09a1…
04-20 11:07:28	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x68f774…
04-18 15:08:50	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	1	63¢	$1	0x09df21…
04-18 15:06:08	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0xa436ad…
04-15 21:09:54	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x717360…
04-15 20:49:26	Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xdecb75…
04-15 20:45:28	Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x2ac5da…
04-15 20:43:48	Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x790c51…
04-14 15:13:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x3af1ff…
04-14 06:51:23	Will Sassuolo be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x2c5d80…
04-14 06:06:43	Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x512f37…
04-13 15:31:05	Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x3f4d2b…
04-13 12:42:19	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xa8922e…
04-13 09:46:47	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x0994ee…
04-13 09:04:59	will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x0a4fcd…
04-12 20:13:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x6d02a6…
04-12 20:07:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x5bcd9f…
04-12 10:05:05	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	Yes	SELL	9	39¢	$3	0x4a77fb…
04-12 09:50:45	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	Yes	SELL	17	39¢	$6	0x51330c…
04-12 08:24:13	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xc97a65…
03-24 20:36:55	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x9412d3…
03-11 21:07:57	Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0x34a82d…
02-28 19:43:35	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x266762…
02-28 19:42:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1bf506…
02-28 18:47:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd2e1f7…
02-28 18:45:11	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xbb3364…
02-28 18:28:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x1ad2ee…
02-28 18:28:01	Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x69c6bb…