Better-Darkness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$71

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.2%

Resolved

Trades

106

lifetime

Volume

$1.92K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 09-12 22:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Politics

71% 22% -$35

Other

29% 39% -$35

Crypto

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	11	$536	341	341	+0	No	+$28	04-01 15:33
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	8	$378	303	303	+0	Yes	+$10	04-05 12:52
will trump say biden during monday news conference	2	$127	63	63	+0	Yes	$0	04-06 18:31
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in April?	4	$120	128	125	+3	No	+$8	04-13 19:32
will the us invade iran by march 31	7	$80	330	199	+131	No	-$30	03-26 08:26
russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 23	4	$65	63	63	+0	No	-$22	03-22 19:26
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	2	$56	214	214	+0	No	-$4	05-08 14:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	4	$55	71	70	+2	No	-$5	04-08 05:15
will gold gc hit low 4700 by end of march	3	$54	31	31	+0	Yes	+$8	03-19 17:52
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	5	$53	152	152	+0	No	-$7	04-08 04:59
russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 27	3	$50	52	27	+25	Yes	+$3	03-24 12:00
will iran strike iraq again in march	2	$46	33	33	+0	Yes	-$4	03-20 10:50
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	2	$37	65	65	+0	Yes	-$3	04-06 22:14
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in April?	2	$36	41	40	+1	No	-$3	04-09 08:43
will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of march 479 558	2	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	+$2	03-27 19:30
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	3	$23	24	24	+0	No	+$1	03-19 20:05
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	2	$22	234	234	+0	No	-$8	05-21 19:06
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	2	$19	40	40	+0	No	-$1	04-06 22:14
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$16	19	19	+0	Yes	-$4	04-13 19:32
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$15	71	0	+71	No	-$15	09-12 22:39
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	2	$12	404	404	+0	No	-$4	04-13 19:32
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	2	$12	18	18	+0	Yes	+$2	05-21 19:06
russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 20	1	$10	22	0	+22	Yes	+$12	03-18 13:24
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	1	$10	22	0	+22	Yes	-$10	04-07 13:22
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	2	$10	23	23	+0	No	$0	04-06 22:14
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$10	29	29	+0	No	$0	05-21 19:06
Another US Joint Chiefs of Staff member out by April 30?	2	$9	14	14	+0	No	-$1	04-06 22:15
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	2	$6	19	19	+0	No	-$4	04-08 04:59
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	1	$5	135	0	+135	No	-$5	05-07 22:07
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	2	$4	45	45	+0	No	+$0	04-09 13:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-12 22:39:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	71	21¢	$15	0x79c902…
05-21 19:06:51	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	234	3¢	$7	0xc4bb23…
05-21 19:06:11	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	18	40¢	$7	0x293daa…
05-21 19:06:07	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	29	17¢	$5	0xbd8b6a…
05-19 00:31:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0x5a1af7…
05-11 20:09:13	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	234	6¢	$15	0x5fed0b…
05-08 14:22:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	95	2¢	$2	0xd8cf7c…
05-08 14:18:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	214	12¢	$26	0xc8028d…
05-08 12:57:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	214	14¢	$30	0x98d6b7…
05-08 12:56:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0x24c230…
05-07 22:07:58	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	135	4¢	$5	0x602462…
05-07 22:02:06	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	29	18¢	$5	0x83fa3d…
05-07 22:00:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x07f460…
04-13 19:32:47	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in April?	No	SELL	89	46¢	$41	0x2eb01a…
04-13 19:32:43	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	Yes	SELL	404	1¢	$4	0xb59155…
04-13 19:32:39	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	19	33¢	$6	0x6420d8…
04-09 13:33:37	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	Yes	BUY	404	2¢	$8	0xdade3a…
04-09 13:32:53	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	SELL	45	5¢	$2	0x106b52…
04-09 08:45:29	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in April?	No	BUY	92	40¢	$37	0xf7fb2d…
04-09 08:43:45	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in April?	No	SELL	40	40¢	$16	0x416166…
04-09 08:43:01	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in April?	Yes	SELL	36	60¢	$22	0xf9d4b2…
04-08 12:37:23	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x75ae18…
04-08 11:14:57	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in April?	No	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xce1e6f…
04-08 05:15:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	SELL	21	11¢	$2	0x21a445…
04-08 04:59:23	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	Yes	SELL	23	6¢	$1	0x92948e…
04-08 04:59:17	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	19	7¢	$1	0x7e4c9c…
04-07 13:22:37	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x02d9fc…
04-07 12:24:45	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	BUY	45	4¢	$2	0x1fd17e…
04-07 12:20:25	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x2a659a…
04-07 12:20:05	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x75d5ce…
04-06 22:17:57	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in April?	Yes	BUY	37	55¢	$20	0x52a9f8…
04-06 22:17:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xe4364e…
04-06 22:15:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	SELL	49	46¢	$23	0xb292d8…
04-06 22:15:41	will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	Yes	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0x24d4ba…
04-06 22:15:39	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	Yes	SELL	129	17¢	$21	0x29b573…
04-06 22:15:05	Another US Joint Chiefs of Staff member out by April 30?	Yes	SELL	14	28¢	$4	0x9a6d73…
04-06 22:14:45	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	SELL	65	27¢	$17	0x218d03…
04-06 22:14:37	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	40	22¢	$9	0xe5425c…
04-06 22:14:33	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	Yes	SELL	23	22¢	$5	0xb61262…
04-06 18:33:05	will trump say power or strength during monday news conference	No	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x319def…
04-06 18:31:05	will trump say biden during monday news conference	Yes	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0xd636e0…
04-06 18:30:21	will trump say biden during monday news conference	Yes	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x69eba5…
04-06 14:39:59	will trump say power or strength during monday news conference	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc6385b…
04-06 14:38:31	Another US Joint Chiefs of Staff member out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x465334…
04-06 00:00:01	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x4054e1…
04-05 12:52:19	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xb59aba…
04-05 05:41:49	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x96daa2…
04-04 10:30:17	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xfa5af5…
04-04 10:08:37	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	Yes	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0x232e25…
04-03 06:31:09	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0x257ae3…
04-02 19:15:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xc43485…
04-02 16:13:27	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	65	58¢	$38	0x4bfcd7…
04-02 12:57:37	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x9b069c…
04-02 09:32:01	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x7ae17f…
04-02 09:27:59	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x8357c1…
04-02 08:16:43	will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x7a1199…
04-01 21:22:41	will iran strike oman again in march	Yes	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0x583870…
04-01 21:20:59	will trump say kharg or island during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xb6d258…
04-01 21:19:59	will trump say fake news during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x192040…
04-01 21:19:45	will trump say maga or make america great again during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x0ed99a…
04-01 15:38:17	will iran strike oman again in march	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe7752f…
04-01 15:33:47	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	148	100¢	$148	0xe59b5b…
04-01 15:33:39	ukraine hits moscow by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x6b231f…
03-27 23:57:47	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	148	84¢	$124	0x3b3045…
03-27 23:53:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	193	58¢	$112	0x22bf7c…
03-27 19:30:37	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of march 479 558	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xa5b0f0…
03-27 08:45:47	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of march 479 558	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xb1d54a…
03-26 08:26:59	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	147	60¢	$88	0x37fc1f…
03-26 08:26:23	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x623f45…
03-26 08:25:59	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	133	78¢	$103	0xc9766e…
03-25 15:43:05	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	46	57¢	$26	0x35d7fb…
03-24 18:48:27	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x4f0327…
03-24 18:47:27	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	101	20¢	$20	0x606496…
03-24 12:33:21	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x6f6ea9…
03-24 12:02:51	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	199	13¢	$25	0x4a25ab…
03-24 12:00:21	russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 27	Yes	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0xbc58e9…
03-24 07:29:41	russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 27	Yes	SELL	27	53¢	$14	0xbed7fd…
03-24 00:09:37	russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 27	Yes	BUY	27	81¢	$22	0x6f8c82…
03-22 19:26:29	russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 23	Yes	SELL	31	31¢	$10	0xa246e1…
03-22 13:09:01	russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 23	Yes	SELL	31	38¢	$12	0x24f3ca…
03-21 23:34:45	russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 23	Yes	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0xfc93bf…
03-21 23:34:23	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0xff1c2d…
03-20 10:50:59	russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 23	Yes	BUY	52	71¢	$37	0xc92052…
03-20 10:50:39	will iran strike iraq again in march	Yes	SELL	33	64¢	$21	0xaa28cc…
03-20 09:37:25	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during trophy presentation	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xbb0b3a…
03-20 09:37:01	will trump say khamenei or ayatollah during trophy presentation	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf2ff59…
03-19 20:28:49	will iran strike iraq again in march	Yes	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xd768b4…
03-19 20:05:13	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	24	50¢	$12	0x5806c9…
03-19 17:52:27	will gold gc hit low 4700 by end of march	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xc15408…
03-19 17:17:55	will gold gc hit low 4700 by end of march	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xc935ce…
03-19 09:10:55	will gold gc hit low 4700 by end of march	Yes	BUY	31	74¢	$23	0x356935…
03-19 08:46:19	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	84	16¢	$13	0x8c0ed0…
03-19 08:45:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x08b1ea…
03-19 08:41:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x9a12c9…
03-19 08:34:21	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	45	16¢	$7	0x174b24…
03-18 22:12:07	ukraine hits moscow by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x1b15a8…
03-18 22:07:51	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x8e4138…
03-18 22:07:35	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0x976cee…
03-18 22:03:35	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	32	26¢	$8	0xcebb60…
03-18 18:30:29	will jd vance say fake news during michigan visit 551	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x9d0882…