Loathsome-Itinerary — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$953

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

70.7%

Resolved

Trades

375

lifetime

Volume

$29.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$77

Open exposure

$36

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 11-03 21:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Politics

35% 67% +$235

Sports

28% 45% +$40

Other

28% 38% +$509

Tech

9% 60% +$173

Crypto

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US recession by end of 2026?	Yes		-700	-$35	4¢	$-32	+$4	11-03 21:01
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes		+53	$20	8¢	$4	-$16	05-23 11:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran meeting by february 13 2026	5	$3.7K	2,934	2,934	+0	Yes	+$451	02-06 14:33
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	4	$2.4K	1,686	1,686	+0	Yes	+$190	02-09 19:58
us x iran meeting by february 13 2026 452	13	$2.0K	1,706	1,706	+0	No	-$8	02-10 09:48
will there be at least 1100 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 285 136	16	$1.4K	1,683	1,442	+242	Yes	+$593	02-20 18:55
will italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	24	$1.2K	1,908	1,712	+195	No	-$155	02-19 21:20
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	14	$1.2K	1,333	1,333	+0	Yes	+$291	03-03 20:39
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	3	$1.2K	744	744	+0	Yes	+$200	02-15 21:41
will the united states win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	13	$1.2K	966	966	+0	Yes	+$31	02-19 21:27
will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 239	3	$1.2K	696	696	+0	Yes	+$164	02-13 20:24
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	9	$1.1K	947	462	+485	Yes	-$369	02-28 01:54
will the united states win the second most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	6	$1.1K	730	730	+0	Yes	+$89	02-20 11:08
Will the US strike Somalia next?	2	$1.0K	620	620	+0	Yes	+$20	02-08 13:27
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	3	$999	516	516	+0	No	+$23	02-12 10:22
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	14	$940	585	585	+0	Yes	+$54	02-11 16:38
winter games 2026 will usa or norway earn more medals	8	$724	425	425	+0	Norway	+$84	02-16 04:33
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	9	$703	826	826	+0	No	-$97	02-28 20:08
will google gemini score at least 45 on humanitys last exam	4	$700	806	0	+806	Yes	+$106	02-13 20:25
will netherlands win the third most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	6	$604	520	520	+0	No	-$96	02-18 11:03
us strikes iran by february 10 2026	5	$585	300	300	+0	No	+$9	02-10 09:43
will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 8	8	$557	823	823	+0	Yes	-$163	02-09 03:53
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	2	$462	280	280	+0	No	+$62	04-23 12:51
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	2	$402	203	203	+0	No	+$2	02-10 03:08
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	3	$364	249	249	+0	Yes	+$58	02-19 18:50
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	3	$354	1,538	1,538	+0	No	-$46	04-22 20:30
will there be at least 1200 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 152 495 466 979 817	8	$339	912	912	+0	No	+$59	02-14 20:31
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	13	$260	500	500	+0	No	-$10	02-08 04:45
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$249	151	151	+0	Yes	+$49	04-27 17:51
will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	6	$218	2,257	2,257	+0	No	-$62	03-06 14:40
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	3	$204	973	973	+0	No	-$29	02-16 11:14
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$197	167	167	+0	No	-$3	02-08 15:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 21:01:57	US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	700	5¢	$35	0x5efa2b…
05-23 11:13:43	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x0d7434…
05-11 11:04:46	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	141	78¢	$110	0xbd4871…
05-08 18:28:06	Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	4¢	$4	0xaa532f…
05-08 18:27:59	Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	64	2¢	$1	0x79e5c3…
05-08 14:14:23	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	SELL	200	52¢	$104	0x48f451…
04-27 17:51:12	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	151	99¢	$149	0xc01614…
04-23 13:23:56	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	151	66¢	$100	0x6d20b6…
04-23 12:51:44	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	280	94¢	$262	0xa4ba40…
04-22 20:30:04	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	1,538	10¢	$154	0x85b147…
04-22 20:24:40	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	769	13¢	$100	0x10ac76…
04-22 20:23:54	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	769	13¢	$100	0x90a064…
04-20 19:17:44	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	280	72¢	$200	0xf3d915…
03-12 10:18:31	will japan win the 2026 world baseball classic	Yes	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0xd0f9f5…
03-06 14:40:09	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	SELL	1,903	3¢	$57	0x68570b…
03-06 14:35:15	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	1,529	4¢	$60	0x8c6ff4…
03-03 20:40:13	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	126	16¢	$20	0x5568a4…
03-03 20:39:49	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	SELL	732	60¢	$440	0xa09c16…
03-03 20:32:05	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xec198b…
03-03 20:32:05	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	SELL	7	65¢	$4	0x00f330…
03-03 20:32:01	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x07a668…
03-03 20:31:59	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xef68da…
03-03 20:31:55	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	SELL	346	65¢	$225	0xb5219a…
02-28 20:09:07	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	248	16¢	$40	0x5a9f82…
02-28 20:08:41	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	Yes	SELL	331	22¢	$73	0xbf9225…
02-28 01:54:01	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0xc6c9fc…
02-28 01:53:37	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x79067c…
02-28 01:53:07	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x11e192…
02-28 01:51:17	will elon musks net worth be between 670b and 680b on february 28	Yes	SELL	1,087	0¢	$1	0x1bebe1…
02-28 01:51:07	will elon musks net worth be between 670b and 680b on february 28	Yes	SELL	362	0¢	$0	0xfc2ed4…
02-27 20:36:57	will elon musks net worth be between 670b and 680b on february 28	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x06c5f3…
02-27 20:36:13	will elon musks net worth be between 670b and 680b on february 28	Yes	BUY	91	5¢	$4	0x22b779…
02-27 20:29:33	will elon musks net worth be between 670b and 680b on february 28	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x7df5f8…
02-27 20:20:31	will elon musks net worth be between 670b and 680b on february 28	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x7d97dd…
02-27 20:08:47	will elon musks net worth be between 670b and 680b on february 28	Yes	BUY	72	5¢	$4	0xa249ac…
02-27 20:07:51	will elon musks net worth be between 670b and 680b on february 28	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x9f522a…
02-27 20:06:21	will elon musks net worth be between 670b and 680b on february 28	Yes	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0x61da55…
02-27 20:02:09	will elon musks net worth be between 670b and 680b on february 28	Yes	BUY	106	5¢	$5	0xa30544…
02-27 20:02:09	will elon musks net worth be between 670b and 680b on february 28	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x9d0f18…
02-27 20:02:07	will elon musks net worth be between 670b and 680b on february 28	Yes	BUY	70	5¢	$3	0x616f29…
02-27 19:59:39	will elon musks net worth be between 670b and 680b on february 28	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xb4b4f7…
02-27 19:58:09	will elon musks net worth be between 670b and 680b on february 28	Yes	BUY	303	5¢	$14	0xe174d0…
02-27 19:52:35	will elon musks net worth be between 670b and 680b on february 28	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x32ff97…
02-27 19:52:23	will elon musks net worth be between 670b and 680b on february 28	Yes	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0x5ad688…
02-27 19:52:13	will elon musks net worth be between 670b and 680b on february 28	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x8c3ce9…
02-27 19:49:45	will elon musks net worth be between 670b and 680b on february 28	Yes	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0x4234b0…
02-27 19:49:27	will elon musks net worth be between 670b and 680b on february 28	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x4d5c3e…
02-27 19:33:03	will elon musks net worth be between 670b and 680b on february 28	Yes	BUY	186	5¢	$9	0xeeb469…
02-27 19:31:07	will elon musks net worth be between 670b and 680b on february 28	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0x2d399e…
02-23 22:20:40	will elon musks net worth be between 670b and 680b on february 28	Yes	BUY	49	31¢	$15	0xec4c86…
02-23 22:03:12	will elon musks net worth be between 670b and 680b on february 28	Yes	BUY	40	31¢	$12	0x84733a…
02-23 20:03:54	will elon musks net worth be between 670b and 680b on february 28	Yes	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x481aa5…
02-23 19:14:36	will elon musks net worth be between 670b and 680b on february 28	Yes	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0xf96f67…
02-23 15:27:54	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	462	81¢	$374	0xa68ff6…
02-22 23:36:26	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	1,370	1¢	$10	0xeb4ee0…
02-22 23:35:44	will elon musks net worth be between 670b and 680b on february 28	Yes	SELL	14	36¢	$5	0xa9b788…
02-22 17:42:32	will elon musks net worth be between 670b and 680b on february 28	Yes	SELL	7	36¢	$2	0xe088db…
02-22 17:04:00	will elon musks net worth be between 670b and 680b on february 28	Yes	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x912d55…
02-22 16:56:46	will elon musks net worth be between 670b and 680b on february 28	Yes	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x568c0d…
02-20 18:56:18	will there be at least 1150 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 917	Yes	BUY	70	14¢	$10	0xddd17f…
02-20 18:55:40	will there be at least 1100 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 285 136	Yes	BUY	242	41¢	$100	0x938c6d…
02-20 11:08:00	will the united states win the second most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	SELL	239	87¢	$207	0x746971…
02-19 21:31:52	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	270	74¢	$200	0x3e8d26…
02-19 21:27:30	will the united states win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	SELL	375	62¢	$232	0x42e396…
02-19 21:20:28	will italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x71b9d2…
02-19 20:58:12	will italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xe11b69…
02-19 20:58:00	will italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x03114d…
02-19 20:41:00	will the united states win the third most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	82	37¢	$30	0xf61303…
02-19 20:20:32	will italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x08ddc1…
02-19 20:20:08	will italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0xf09b8d…
02-19 19:43:44	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	SELL	66	86¢	$57	0x9be433…
02-19 18:50:46	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	249	85¢	$211	0x293afc…
02-19 18:44:38	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0xdf8dfd…
02-19 18:11:08	will the united states win the second most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	SELL	80	95¢	$76	0x2e3209…
02-18 21:14:50	will elon musks net worth be between 670b and 680b on february 28	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xe05f98…
02-18 21:13:54	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x399430…
02-18 21:13:26	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xee1789…
02-18 19:56:08	will italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	SELL	18	28¢	$5	0x24674d…
02-18 19:50:54	will the united states win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xd5d811…
02-18 19:45:08	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	62	64¢	$40	0x01addf…
02-18 19:44:08	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x717808…
02-18 19:43:50	will italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	SELL	287	28¢	$80	0xde00c1…
02-18 19:22:04	will italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	SELL	330	28¢	$92	0x8730ed…
02-18 19:16:30	will italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	SELL	36	28¢	$10	0xb50540…
02-18 19:15:38	will italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	SELL	18	28¢	$5	0xd4c69b…
02-18 19:14:00	will italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	SELL	32	28¢	$9	0xff8f39…
02-18 19:03:02	will the united states win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	275	73¢	$200	0xb04ed5…
02-18 15:44:16	will italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	81	25¢	$20	0x718e75…
02-18 15:43:56	will italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x964b44…
02-18 15:37:16	will france win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	270	4¢	$10	0xd8723e…
02-18 13:58:52	will france win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	737	1¢	$10	0xbfae64…
02-18 13:53:52	will france win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xaeaca0…
02-18 13:53:52	will france win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x901070…
02-18 13:53:52	will france win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	28	2¢	$0	0x51998e…
02-18 13:52:10	will france win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	292	2¢	$4	0xdd24e7…
02-18 13:51:28	will france win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x0681bc…
02-18 13:48:56	will france win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$0	0xaa96e3…
02-18 13:48:56	will france win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	550	2¢	$8	0x76a0bf…
02-18 13:48:56	will france win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	298	1¢	$4	0x623f7b…
02-18 13:45:34	will france win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	115	1¢	$2	0x2ad442…