Failing-Part — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$74

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 09-25 13:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 92% -$1

Other

20% 100% +$2

Politics

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 380 399	1	$87	87	+87	No	+$0	01-04 03:25
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 240 259	1	$87	87	+87	No	+$0	02-01 07:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?	1	$86	86	+86	No	+$0	05-17 08:44
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?	1	$86	86	+86	Yes	+$0	04-26 06:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?	1	$86	86	+86	Yes	+$0	05-07 09:40
bitcoin above 92k on january 30	1	$86	86	+86	No	+$0	01-30 07:38
will the us next strike iran on january 17 2026 et 219	1	$86	86	+86	No	+$0	01-18 09:24
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on april 22	1	$86	86	+86	No	+$0	04-22 13:03
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 23?	1	$86	86	+86	No	+$0	05-23 01:49
ethereum above 2700 on january 9	1	$86	86	+86	Yes	+$0	01-08 09:25
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 3?	1	$86	86	+86	No	+$0	05-03 10:58
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 12?	1	$86	86	+86	No	+$0	05-12 11:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?	1	$86	86	+86	Yes	+$0	05-28 12:15
bitcoin above 56k on june 8 2026	1	$86	86	+86	Yes	+$0	06-08 06:51
bitcoin above 80k on april 17	1	$86	86	+86	No	+$0	04-17 12:19
will the price of ethereum be between 3100 3200 on february 6	1	$86	86	+86	No	+$0	02-05 12:53
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 10	1	$86	86	+86	No	+$0	04-09 10:42
bitcoin above 84k on january 14	1	$86	86	+86	Yes	+$0	01-13 09:45
bitcoin above 94k on january 23	1	$86	86	+86	No	+$0	01-23 08:52
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 400 419	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	03-16 09:20
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 1	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	03-01 03:21
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	03-30 09:50
ethereum above 2300 on march 10	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	03-10 08:31
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 320 339	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	04-03 07:02
bitcoin above 60k on march 4	1	$85	85	+85	Yes	+$0	03-04 06:11
ethereum above 1500 on march 14	1	$85	85	+85	Yes	+$0	03-13 12:39
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 20	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	03-19 11:41
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 180 199	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	03-07 07:38
ethereum above 1900 on march 26	1	$85	85	+85	Yes	+$0	03-26 07:18
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 22	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	03-22 07:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-25 13:21:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x002342…
09-25 13:18:15	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xf85c0e…
08-01 05:13:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on August 1?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4bfa7b…
06-08 06:51:28	bitcoin above 56k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x814acb…
05-28 12:15:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x079c7f…
05-23 01:49:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 23?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x6514cc…
05-17 08:44:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x91dd6f…
05-12 11:23:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 12?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x5cd995…
05-07 09:40:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x49a52d…
05-03 10:58:24	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 3?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0xace440…
04-26 06:38:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x017bc0…
04-22 13:03:38	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on april 22	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x7610fb…
04-17 12:19:28	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x527b8d…
04-09 10:42:13	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 10	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x060446…
04-03 07:02:47	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 320 339	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xdfc394…
03-30 09:50:08	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x64fc7e…
03-26 07:18:57	ethereum above 1900 on march 26	Yes	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x2164b9…
03-22 07:11:03	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 22	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x77e4f3…
03-19 11:41:05	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 20	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x4ff012…
03-16 09:20:33	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 400 419	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xb04a28…
03-13 12:39:53	ethereum above 1500 on march 14	Yes	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xa809ef…
03-10 08:31:33	ethereum above 2300 on march 10	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x9d2b6e…
03-07 07:38:17	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 180 199	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x50d8b2…
03-04 06:11:19	bitcoin above 60k on march 4	Yes	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x1a0bd7…
03-01 03:21:39	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 1	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x83da56…
03-01 03:20:51	ethereum above 1500 on march 1	No	BUY	950	0¢	$2	0xa8e252…
02-05 12:53:13	will the price of ethereum be between 3100 3200 on february 6	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0xa8499e…
02-01 07:41:58	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 240 259	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xc72caf…
01-30 07:38:10	bitcoin above 92k on january 30	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x567bcc…
01-23 08:52:32	bitcoin above 94k on january 23	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x91e931…
01-18 09:24:02	will the us next strike iran on january 17 2026 et 219	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x2f499e…
01-13 09:45:23	bitcoin above 84k on january 14	Yes	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x013abf…
01-08 09:25:43	ethereum above 2700 on january 9	Yes	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x927468…
01-08 09:25:21	will the price of bitcoin be less than 82000 on january 9	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0x75d296…
01-04 03:25:09	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 380 399	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x611162…