Realized P&L (90d)
-$345
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
11.3%
Resolved (90d)
89
Trades (90d)
1,131
1,131 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$9.26K
$9.26K lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$115
14 positions
First seen
2026-09-06
last 10-28 14:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Other
72% 15% -$262
Politics
13% 0% -$41
Tech
11% 20% -$24
Crypto
2% 0% -$8
Pop-Culture
1% 33% -$5
Sports
0% 0% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 138 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? No +50 $30 68¢ $34 +$4 10-23 02:25
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +40 $23 68¢ $28 +$5 10-24 22:49
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +20 $15 98¢ $20 +$4 10-11 01:32
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? Yes +50 $18 32¢ $16 -$1 10-22 17:31
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +40 $16 32¢ $13 -$3 10-27 09:38
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +2 $1 90¢ $2 +$1 10-01 19:49
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +2 $5 82¢ $1 -$3 10-07 22:11
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? Yes +3 $2 52¢ $1 -$1 10-23 15:34
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? No +20 $5 2¢ $0 -$4 10-11 06:55
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? Yes +2 $1 18¢ $0 -$1 10-07 21:46
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +0 $1 88¢ $0 $0 10-13 21:13
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +1 $5 10¢ $0 -$5 09-30 13:04
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29? No +0 $1 13¢ $0 -$1 10-18 14:03
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? No +0 $0 12¢ $0 $0 10-13 10:40