Conscious-Gnat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$60

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$366

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 11-03 14:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

97% 30% +$70

Other

3% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$110	100	100	+0	Yes	+$90	02-28 09:29
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	2	$81	71	71	+0	Yes	+$61	02-28 09:29
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	1	$30	830	0	+830	No	-$30	11-03 14:42
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	1	$30	3,229	0	+3,229	No	-$30	01-18 18:11
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	1	$25	83	0	+83	Yes	+$58	02-19 10:13
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	1	$25	385	0	+385	No	-$25	02-19 09:50
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	1	$25	208	0	+208	No	-$25	02-19 09:50
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	1	$10	100	0	+100	No	-$10	01-18 21:53
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	1	$10	77	0	+77	No	-$10	05-16 09:52
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	2	$10	183	0	+183	No	-$10	05-16 09:52
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$5	455	0	+455	No	-$5	05-16 09:46
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$5	100	0	+100	No	-$5	05-16 09:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 14:42:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes	BUY	830	4¢	$30	0x234fa7…
05-16 09:52:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xe5addd…
05-16 09:52:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x07eb42…
05-16 09:48:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x98a2ab…
05-16 09:47:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x8bc188…
05-16 09:46:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	455	1¢	$5	0x364b8f…
02-28 09:29:13	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0x822dfb…
02-28 09:29:07	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xa0ea48…
02-26 15:37:08	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xfc3ea5…
02-26 15:37:00	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xa26e4e…
02-19 10:13:38	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x1e7376…
02-19 09:50:18	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	Yes	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0x6bf2b2…
02-19 09:50:08	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	Yes	BUY	385	6¢	$25	0xf5201c…
01-18 21:53:24	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xf77411…
01-18 18:11:04	us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	Yes	BUY	3,229	1¢	$30	0x7dbc93…