Arid-Cannibal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 06-05 08:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 80% $-14

Other

28% — —

Politics

4% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bnb reach 1200 in february	2	$100	100	+100	open	—	02-07 09:46
Zama auction clearing price above $0.04?	2	$80	100	+100	open	—	01-24 09:22
xrp above 1pt1 on march 3	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	03-03 07:32
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C or below on April 27?	1	$70	70	+70	open	—	04-26 04:36
ethereum above 2100 on april 23	2	$60	60	+60	open	—	04-23 02:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?	1	$53	53	+53	Yes	+$0	05-09 04:33
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 14?	2	$50	50	+50	open	—	05-14 07:04
ethereum above 1700 on march 13	2	$40	40	+40	open	—	03-13 06:57
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	2	$40	40	+40	open	—	03-23 04:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	1	$40	40	+40	open	—	06-02 07:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	1	$32	32	+32	open	—	05-14 07:02
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 26?	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	04-26 04:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	05-14 07:02
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$30	32	+32	open	—	03-31 01:12
bitcoin above 72k on april 24	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	04-24 04:15
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	03-31 01:12
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 9?	1	$30	30	+30	Yes	+$0	05-09 04:19
solana above 50 on june 5 2026	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	06-05 08:24
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	03-06 01:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	05-19 07:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	1	$25	25	+25	open	—	04-28 08:16
ethereum above 1900 on february 9	1	$25	25	+25	open	—	02-09 07:42
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$25	26	+26	open	—	01-30 02:37
ethereum above 2100 on april 22	2	$22	22	+22	open	—	04-22 06:31
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	1	$22	22	+22	open	—	03-31 01:12
will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	2	$21	21	+21	open	—	02-03 03:03
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 13°C or below on April 27?	2	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-26 04:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	05-13 03:58
bitcoin above 60k on march 9	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	03-09 01:52
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	03-30 02:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 08:24:24	solana above 50 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xbd76c2…
06-02 07:52:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xe9f91d…
06-01 04:23:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5f7e8f…
05-19 07:31:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x9c2909…
05-14 07:04:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc4b26f…
05-14 07:04:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xdfaa3d…
05-14 07:02:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xb51f52…
05-14 07:02:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xa9c620…
05-13 03:58:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x5cc034…
05-13 03:58:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc519a8…
05-09 04:33:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0xf19fbb…
05-09 04:19:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3e78bf…
05-08 08:02:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x3c616c…
04-28 08:16:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xd95f1d…
04-27 02:58:26	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on April 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x56a114…
04-26 04:36:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C or below on April 27?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x64d7fd…
04-26 04:35:10	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 26?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xeb8163…
04-26 04:27:06	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 13°C or below on April 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x17453a…
04-26 04:26:32	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 13°C or below on April 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x95c8c9…
04-24 04:15:40	bitcoin above 72k on april 24	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x45f6fe…
04-24 04:15:00	nhl col lak 2026 04 23	Avalanche	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xcda9a2…
04-23 02:03:36	ethereum above 2100 on april 23	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xbbaaba…
04-23 02:02:52	ethereum above 2100 on april 23	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe23c39…
04-22 06:31:04	ethereum above 2100 on april 22	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb0e653…
04-22 06:29:56	ethereum above 2100 on april 22	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x19d638…
04-22 06:29:24	ethereum above 2300 on april 22	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6bdd1b…
04-19 06:51:30	ethereum above 2200 on april 19	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x56fbbd…
04-10 03:30:09	ethereum above 2000 on april 10	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xdfd329…
04-08 02:27:21	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x917aa3…
04-08 02:26:53	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9dce46…
04-07 07:37:41	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on april 7	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5a865f…
04-07 07:37:25	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 7	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x004645…
04-05 08:08:47	will the price of xrp be between 1pt20 1pt30 on april 5	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x2887cc…
04-05 08:07:33	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x13fbc3…
04-04 02:33:45	highest temperature in shanghai on april 5 2026 19c	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1e41be…
04-04 02:33:27	highest temperature in shanghai on april 5 2026 18corbelow	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x614eb8…
04-01 02:58:35	Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc00656…
03-31 01:12:37	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x509fc4…
03-31 01:12:25	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x70550a…
03-31 01:12:11	EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x1b096a…
03-30 02:31:42	cs2 lgc gg5 2026 03 29	Legacy	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xfd762e…
03-30 02:30:30	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6e65f2…
03-26 07:48:07	will silver si hit high 140 by end of march	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x95ce91…
03-23 04:29:11	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd6234f…
03-23 04:28:37	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x58cbb6…
03-20 04:42:51	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x917e2e…
03-20 04:42:33	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x0b742b…
03-20 04:39:31	nhl utah las 2026 03 19	Utah	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x71d7fa…
03-18 04:26:25	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9f492b…
03-18 04:26:05	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb23ef4…
03-17 02:19:15	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2e150b…
03-17 02:19:03	Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x652fd6…
03-16 01:58:13	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5cb3a7…
03-14 09:48:25	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc82acb…
03-14 09:46:05	no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xcea226…
03-14 09:45:51	bank of japan decreases interest rates after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x24bb61…
03-13 06:57:33	ethereum above 1700 on march 13	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x22472a…
03-13 06:57:17	ethereum above 1700 on march 13	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x56e5e7…
03-09 01:52:19	bitcoin above 60k on march 9	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6d5545…
03-08 10:41:53	will iran strike israel on march 6	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x61a4b8…
03-07 08:40:51	will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x713432…
03-07 08:40:05	ethereum above 1700 on march 7	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x449687…
03-06 01:21:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc601b2…
03-03 07:35:57	lol yyg novex 2026 03 03	NOVEX	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xc9c1f9…
03-03 07:34:29	hok we esp 2026 03 03	Team WE	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xed41fe…
03-03 07:32:09	xrp above 1pt1 on march 3	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xdfead2…
02-13 03:08:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xcd9009…
02-10 04:32:03	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x99dd05…
02-09 07:42:19	ethereum above 1900 on february 9	Yes	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x199b3e…
02-07 13:34:05	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0xbc7de1…
02-07 11:14:15	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x8441ec…
02-07 11:14:13	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	BUY	76	0¢	$0	0xdafcae…
02-07 11:14:13	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	BUY	97	0¢	$0	0xd7c61a…
02-07 11:14:13	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x7c31ea…
02-07 11:14:13	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0x583ebb…
02-07 09:46:27	will bnb reach 1200 in february	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x9b302d…
02-07 09:34:37	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	BUY	72	0¢	$0	0x93affa…
02-07 09:22:11	will bnb reach 1200 in february	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0xf3bb66…
02-07 09:10:43	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	BUY	275	0¢	$0	0x6301bf…
02-07 08:05:01	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	BUY	143	0¢	$0	0x9c0995…
02-07 08:04:53	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	BUY	41	0¢	$0	0xa815a1…
02-07 08:04:45	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x370218…
02-07 08:04:39	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	BUY	183	0¢	$0	0x8486a8…
02-07 08:04:39	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x5b23c2…
02-07 08:04:27	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x8b7fcc…
02-07 08:01:05	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xd4afde…
02-06 06:50:15	hok ltg sygami 2026 02 06	SYGaming	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x0c176d…
02-04 04:41:18	Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x358c16…
02-03 03:03:08	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x825fd6…
02-03 03:02:54	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8cbe13…
02-03 02:26:42	will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5f7840…
02-02 03:58:52	us strikes iran by february 2 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf608ba…
01-30 02:37:42	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x492cd2…
01-26 02:22:00	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xc3883a…
01-25 03:55:52	unp quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 27 2026 2pt87	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x2684b2…
01-24 09:22:10	Zama auction clearing price above $0.04?	Yes	BUY	75	80¢	$60	0x2e0a8c…
01-24 09:21:32	Zama auction clearing price above $0.04?	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xff213b…
01-23 02:45:14	nba gsw dal 2026 01 22	Warriors	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7c874a…
01-22 03:24:32	nba okc mil 2026 01 21	Thunder	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x476690…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	46	$178.4K	3,075	06-02 13:20
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	39	$6.56K	1,331	06-01 21:50
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	36	$10.9K	5,452	04-16 04:29
Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81	31	$1.75K	407	03-26 09:59
Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44	30	$995	773	05-13 15:47
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	29	$4.32K	2,213	05-28 03:35
Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f	29	$872	725	05-16 07:16
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	28	$50.9K	253	04-27 23:41