Subtle-Commotion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$744

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.7%

Resolved

1,778

Trades

7,120

lifetime

Volume

$52.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 08-22 01:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 56% +$744

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 1121 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 14:30 UTC	17	$146	139	139	+0	Down	-$2	08-12 14:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 14:05 UTC	16	$140	136	136	+0	Up	+$8	08-12 14:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 01:45 UTC	16	$130	126	126	+0	Up	-$2	08-21 01:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 13:40 UTC	13	$129	126	126	+0	Up	-$3	08-19 13:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:00 UTC	18	$127	126	126	+0	Up	-$5	08-19 21:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 15:40 UTC	20	$124	129	129	+0	Down	-$8	08-19 15:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 01:30 UTC	16	$124	122	122	+0	Up	-$1	08-21 01:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	13	$122	119	119	+0	Up	+$5	05-04 15:40
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 13:50 UTC	18	$122	128	128	+0	Down	-$10	08-10 13:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 00:50 UTC	14	$121	115	115	+0	Down	-$2	08-21 00:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	12	$120	130	130	+0	Down	+$0	05-04 15:07
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 13:40 UTC	15	$118	127	127	+0	Down	-$14	08-10 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	14	$117	125	125	+0	Up	-$3	05-26 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	13	$116	130	130	+0	Up	-$4	05-23 08:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 02:15 UTC	14	$115	133	128	+5	Down	+$0	04-21 02:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 01:50 UTC	13	$112	109	109	+0	Down	+$2	08-21 01:52
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 22:15 UTC	14	$111	106	105	+1	Down	+$1	08-09 22:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 03:15 UTC	11	$107	152	152	+0	Down	-$3	08-21 03:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 19:45 UTC	18	$106	106	106	+0	Down	-$4	08-19 19:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 19:00 UTC	15	$105	103	99	+4	Down	+$7	04-20 19:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 00:20 UTC	14	$105	100	100	+0	Up	-$2	08-21 00:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 20:45 UTC	7	$104	126	126	+0	Up	+$38	08-08 20:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 03:00 UTC	11	$103	110	110	+0	Down	-$7	08-21 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	12	$99	105	105	+0	Up	-$1	05-04 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	11	$98	125	125	+0	Up	-$2	05-06 06:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 17:25 UTC	14	$97	166	166	+0	Down	-$13	08-19 17:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 13:50 UTC	12	$97	149	131	+18	Down	-$3	08-10 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	10	$96	100	100	+0	Down	-$1	05-21 17:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:15 UTC	10	$95	83	83	+0	Down	+$8	08-21 02:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	11	$93	100	100	+0	Down	-$4	05-27 17:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-22 01:00:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 01:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0xcbb61f…
08-22 01:00:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x4d19e7…
08-22 00:55:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 00:55 UTC	Up	SELL	21	50¢	$10	0x2c38a5…
08-22 00:55:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x78c715…
08-22 00:51:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 00:50 UTC	Down	SELL	22	58¢	$13	0x74fa41…
08-22 00:51:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x06f7bf…
08-22 00:51:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 00:50 UTC	Down	SELL	22	42¢	$9	0xe37958…
08-22 00:51:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0xace88d…
08-22 00:48:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 00:45 UTC	Down	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x8759b5…
08-22 00:48:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 00:45 UTC	Down	SELL	13	85¢	$11	0x2d3b06…
08-22 00:48:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0xa428ad…
08-22 00:13:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 00:10 UTC	Down	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x157892…
08-22 00:13:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xd51775…
08-21 06:50:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:50 UTC	Down	SELL	21	47¢	$10	0xfd77ea…
08-21 06:50:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0x569e94…
08-21 06:50:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:50 UTC	Up	SELL	22	45¢	$10	0xa70218…
08-21 06:50:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x4a5390…
08-21 06:41:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:40 UTC	Down	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xaf46ef…
08-21 06:41:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xf35ecd…
08-21 06:36:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:35 UTC	Up	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x92b30f…
08-21 06:36:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:35 UTC	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x633c79…
08-21 06:36:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:35 UTC	Up	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x51c6e9…
08-21 06:35:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x0c3565…
08-21 06:35:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:35 UTC	Down	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xf4ad88…
08-21 06:35:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xc2e989…
08-21 06:30:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:30 UTC	Up	SELL	22	53¢	$12	0x5bdaf1…
08-21 06:30:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x68a418…
08-21 06:10:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:10 UTC	Down	SELL	21	64¢	$13	0x9fd09f…
08-21 06:10:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xaf732b…
08-21 06:09:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:05 UTC	Up	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x600e77…
08-21 06:09:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xc99b8c…
08-21 06:08:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:05 UTC	Down	SELL	15	59¢	$9	0x813ce7…
08-21 06:08:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:05 UTC	Down	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x59350c…
08-21 06:08:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xc29773…
08-21 06:07:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:05 UTC	Up	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x3956bb…
08-21 06:06:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xdd8807…
08-21 06:05:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:05 UTC	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$2	0xb21bfd…
08-21 06:05:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:05 UTC	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x8b0fdb…
08-21 06:05:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:05 UTC	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x5d98b2…
08-21 06:05:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:05 UTC	Up	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x40dd66…
08-21 06:05:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:05 UTC	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x02d244…
08-21 06:05:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x67bd17…
08-21 06:00:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:00 UTC	Down	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0x165cd8…
08-21 06:00:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:00 UTC	Down	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0x0952b2…
08-21 06:00:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0xe1c796…
08-21 05:50:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:50 UTC	Up	SELL	4	63¢	$3	0xe06d5b…
08-21 05:50:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:50 UTC	Up	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0xa6bf04…
08-21 05:50:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:50 UTC	Up	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x761660…
08-21 05:50:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x6de1ca…
08-21 05:50:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x332ef3…
08-21 05:38:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:35 UTC	Down	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0xf17a67…
08-21 05:38:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:35 UTC	Down	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0xc73b16…
08-21 05:38:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:35 UTC	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x6ec914…
08-21 05:38:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x100cd7…
08-21 05:34:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:30 UTC	Up	SELL	29	32¢	$9	0x049eed…
08-21 05:34:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	29	38¢	$11	0x7b2fd0…
08-21 05:22:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:20 UTC	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x94409f…
08-21 05:22:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xd62d38…
08-21 05:20:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:20 UTC	Up	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0xe68888…
08-21 05:20:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:20 UTC	Up	SELL	12	55¢	$7	0x863e3a…
08-21 05:20:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x85002b…
08-21 05:16:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xd7550d…
08-21 05:16:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:15 UTC	Up	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x3145ff…
08-21 05:16:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0xdb64fe…
08-21 05:16:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:15 UTC	Down	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x8ad292…
08-21 05:16:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xab0a8b…
08-21 04:58:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:55 UTC	Up	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x8c1f95…
08-21 04:57:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x766ec3…
08-21 04:46:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x84cffe…
08-21 04:46:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:45 UTC	Up	SELL	15	68¢	$10	0x716436…
08-21 04:46:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x348f62…
08-21 04:45:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:45 UTC	Down	SELL	22	48¢	$10	0x4937f2…
08-21 04:45:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xa2ebff…
08-21 04:39:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:35 UTC	Down	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0xa8de3f…
08-21 04:39:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:35 UTC	Down	SELL	15	64¢	$10	0x5b5aff…
08-21 04:39:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0xccf9e4…
08-21 04:37:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:35 UTC	Down	SELL	21	38¢	$8	0xe98dab…
08-21 04:37:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x90213b…
08-21 04:30:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:30 UTC	Down	SELL	13	54¢	$7	0x3b0de0…
08-21 04:30:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:30 UTC	Down	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x0240eb…
08-21 04:30:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0x896463…
08-21 04:30:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:30 UTC	Down	SELL	21	45¢	$9	0xddf74a…
08-21 04:30:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x0ab63c…
08-21 04:22:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:20 UTC	Up	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x1c4305…
08-21 04:22:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xbaa5e3…
08-21 04:21:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:20 UTC	Up	SELL	21	36¢	$7	0x3b7fdb…
08-21 04:21:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x5f3af0…
08-21 04:11:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:10 UTC	Down	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0xbb4480…
08-21 04:11:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:10 UTC	Down	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0x20c762…
08-21 04:10:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xf7e6c0…
08-21 04:08:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:05 UTC	Up	SELL	16	66¢	$10	0x30f263…
08-21 04:08:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:05 UTC	Up	SELL	4	39¢	$2	0x70cfab…
08-21 04:08:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:05 UTC	Up	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x434fa4…
08-21 04:00:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:00 UTC	Up	SELL	13	65¢	$8	0xe758f4…
08-21 04:00:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xc3d4af…
08-21 04:00:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x216d87…
08-21 04:00:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x5910da…
08-21 03:55:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 03:55 UTC	Down	SELL	21	60¢	$12	0x31f22c…
08-21 03:55:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0xa7b8f8…
08-21 03:55:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 03:55 UTC	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xeaa940…