Subtle-Commotion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$77

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.7%

Resolved

226

Trades

2,545

lifetime

Volume

$18.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 05-28 06:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% +$77

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 450 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	13	$122	119	119	+0	open	—	05-04 15:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	12	$120	130	130	+0	open	—	05-04 15:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	14	$117	125	125	+0	open	—	05-26 10:34
btc updown 15m 1776737700	14	$115	133	128	+5	open	—	04-21 02:25
btc updown 15m 1776711600	15	$105	103	99	+4	open	—	04-20 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	12	$99	105	105	+0	open	—	05-04 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	11	$98	125	125	+0	Up	$-2	05-06 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	10	$96	100	100	+0	open	—	05-21 17:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	11	$93	100	100	+0	open	—	05-27 17:55
btc updown 15m 1776775500	12	$93	107	102	+4	open	—	04-21 12:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	9	$85	86	86	+0	open	—	05-04 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	8	$85	84	84	+0	open	—	05-22 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	12	$83	81	81	+0	open	—	05-27 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	8	$82	85	84	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 14:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	8	$81	85	85	+0	open	—	05-04 14:12
btc updown 15m 1776756600	10	$80	93	89	+4	open	—	04-21 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	10	$79	86	86	+0	open	—	05-22 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	10	$78	88	87	+0	open	—	05-28 03:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	10	$78	87	87	+0	open	—	05-26 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	9	$77	87	87	+0	open	—	05-23 08:13
btc updown 15m 1776753900	8	$77	83	80	+3	open	—	04-21 06:58
btc updown 15m 1776740400	10	$77	87	83	+3	open	—	04-21 03:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	10	$76	85	85	+0	open	—	05-04 16:48
btc updown 15m 1776783600	11	$73	76	73	+3	open	—	04-21 15:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	9	$72	75	75	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 20:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	16	$72	75	75	+0	open	—	05-04 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	10	$68	95	95	+0	open	—	05-28 04:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	16	$66	72	72	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	11	$66	67	67	+0	open	—	05-21 14:55
btc updown 15m 1776741300	8	$66	79	76	+4	open	—	04-21 03:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 06:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	13	27¢	$3	0xf6f156…
05-28 06:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x613cbb…
05-28 06:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	25	45¢	$11	0x7d5d95…
05-28 06:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x0b7726…
05-28 06:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x49f413…
05-28 06:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0xfe1140…
05-28 06:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0xebaa1b…
05-28 06:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	54¢	$0	0x1cad02…
05-28 06:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xce17b6…
05-28 05:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x100a26…
05-28 05:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe9a941…
05-28 05:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	17	34¢	$6	0xe8b5ae…
05-28 05:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0xc427a2…
05-28 05:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0xea9f12…
05-28 04:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	33	9¢	$3	0x8bacaf…
05-28 04:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x5135b3…
05-28 04:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	20	27¢	$6	0x99d7c5…
05-28 04:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc7ecd5…
05-28 04:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xc8b3c0…
05-28 04:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xa76b93…
05-28 04:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0xaeff75…
05-28 04:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x441fd1…
05-28 04:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0x2151da…
05-28 04:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x5969b3…
05-28 04:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	13	43¢	$5	0x7bf5f6…
05-28 04:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x31a4fd…
05-28 04:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xf10445…
05-28 04:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0xf02ed5…
05-28 04:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	11	61¢	$7	0xe5c6b7…
05-28 04:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xc1002c…
05-28 04:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x314feb…
05-28 04:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	21	42¢	$9	0x5d451a…
05-28 04:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x39db0c…
05-28 04:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	23	39¢	$9	0x4d4d7a…
05-28 04:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xcbe33b…
05-28 04:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	25	45¢	$11	0xe522f1…
05-28 04:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xc1d9a5…
05-28 03:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	49¢	$2	0xbb0ec9…
05-28 03:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	18	49¢	$9	0xb400b5…
05-28 03:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x3362ae…
05-28 03:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	21	50¢	$11	0x074412…
05-28 03:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x0bc20b…
05-28 03:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	23	39¢	$9	0x259e26…
05-28 03:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x070666…
05-28 03:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	18	38¢	$7	0x0ba932…
05-28 03:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xc214dd…
05-28 03:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x16a2b8…
05-28 03:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	21	66¢	$14	0x5aa6dc…
05-28 03:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x2b3a09…
05-28 03:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0xb4155a…
05-28 03:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x54ff6b…
05-28 02:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x1b65ab…
05-28 02:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe4755c…
05-28 02:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0xdb821b…
05-28 02:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xa9380d…
05-28 02:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	14	36¢	$5	0x93ef7b…
05-28 02:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x0e8a48…
05-28 02:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xadc0ff…
05-28 02:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdc4151…
05-28 02:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	21	41¢	$9	0xb7fcfb…
05-28 02:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x33fac2…
05-28 01:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x361676…
05-28 01:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x95bd77…
05-28 01:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	21	43¢	$9	0x0e9d3a…
05-28 01:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xe27df8…
05-28 01:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	22	18¢	$4	0xeb1e90…
05-28 01:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xec5ecd…
05-28 01:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x86a895…
05-28 01:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x7f8cd1…
05-28 01:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0x72ab26…
05-28 01:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x596bd4…
05-28 01:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc8466d…
05-28 01:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0x7dc08c…
05-28 01:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	13	58¢	$8	0x787d01…
05-28 01:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8fa6be…
05-28 01:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x755932…
05-28 01:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xca17c7…
05-27 23:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	54¢	$1	0xcb21d5…
05-27 23:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	19	54¢	$10	0x133e43…
05-27 23:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x4e6ce9…
05-27 22:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	17	64¢	$11	0xa1f57a…
05-27 22:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x63bb3f…
05-27 22:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x96f955…
05-27 22:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	14	31¢	$4	0xb8096a…
05-27 22:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0xc4b93a…
05-27 22:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xbeb5b8…
05-27 22:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	16	53¢	$9	0xf2b374…
05-27 22:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x2c8dfc…
05-27 22:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x72eb02…
05-27 21:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	25	54¢	$13	0xa9b055…
05-27 21:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x7318ec…
05-27 20:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	9	44¢	$4	0xddf711…
05-27 20:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	44¢	$0	0xc2f266…
05-27 20:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	13	41¢	$5	0x228a9a…
05-27 20:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x8a7167…
05-27 19:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xa67b43…
05-27 19:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x31b79a…
05-27 19:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	37¢	$4	0x1af522…
05-27 19:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x97c68e…
05-27 19:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	21	27¢	$6	0x910300…