Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.44K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.5%

Resolved

1,350

Trades

6,031

lifetime

Volume

$24.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 05-04 09:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 73% -$967

Politics

32% 35% -$492

Other

4% 89% +$24

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-04).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	51	$1.0K	1,118	1,108	+10	Yes	-$158	04-08 10:58
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	56	$596	591	591	+0	Yes	+$24	04-22 09:23
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	20	$466	401	401	+0	Yes	-$19	04-23 00:42
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	33	$464	624	624	+0	Yes	+$72	04-26 20:13
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	11	$412	425	425	+0	No	-$45	04-24 17:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 13:50 UTC	65	$399	596	0	+596	Down	+$198	04-13 13:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 19:55 UTC	46	$372	476	0	+476	Down	+$105	04-13 19:58
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	133	$360	670	670	+0	No	-$15	04-23 00:42
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	80	$339	456	456	+0	No	-$1	04-26 18:44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	140	$280	429	429	+0	No	-$7	04-23 00:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 13:40 UTC	39	$278	313	0	+313	Up	+$35	04-13 13:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	92	$270	461	461	+0	No	-$9	04-23 00:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	5	$259	237	237	+0	No	+$2	04-12 09:39
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	107	$245	280	278	+2	No	+$62	04-21 13:40
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	9	$238	132	132	+0	Yes	+$8	04-17 00:56
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	6	$229	164	164	+0	No	+$96	04-01 00:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	60	$221	464	464	+0	No	-$27	04-23 00:42
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	9	$218	325	159	+166	Yes	-$94	04-07 19:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 00:30 UTC	9	$212	121	120	+1	Down	+$25	03-23 00:39
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	7	$211	296	20	+275	Yes	-$161	04-07 20:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 19:35 UTC	36	$206	324	0	+324	Up	-$206	04-13 19:39
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	71	$201	203	203	+0	No	-$6	04-19 15:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 17:20 UTC	26	$186	222	0	+222	Down	+$36	04-13 17:24
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	56	$186	172	172	+0	No	-$1	04-23 00:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 07:10 UTC	30	$182	199	0	+199	Down	+$17	04-14 07:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 01:10 UTC	15	$179	367	0	+367	Up	+$63	04-15 01:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 06:25 UTC	53	$177	269	0	+269	Down	+$92	04-13 06:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 22:20 UTC	46	$167	287	0	+287	Up	-$167	04-13 22:23
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	37	$155	176	128	+48	No	-$13	04-21 19:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 13:05 UTC	40	$150	184	0	+184	Down	+$34	04-13 13:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-04 09:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	37	91¢	$34	0xe70076…
05-04 07:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	91¢	$3	0x537d56…
05-04 04:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x97e5fb…
05-04 04:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xdd8b75…
05-04 04:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd9faa8…
05-04 04:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x529838…
05-04 04:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xb5ccdc…
05-04 04:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa281b9…
05-04 03:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3bd1ad…
05-04 03:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbb5500…
05-04 03:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd8949b…
05-04 03:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xc79338…
05-04 03:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x2560f6…
05-04 03:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xfc1fd5…
05-04 02:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xf50f38…
05-04 02:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x3d04d5…
05-04 02:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb134eb…
05-04 02:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x145fce…
05-04 02:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5c5c55…
05-04 02:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3e1756…
05-04 02:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x943735…
05-04 02:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xdba6c9…
05-04 02:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x133759…
05-04 02:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xee572a…
05-04 02:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf5f2af…
05-04 02:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x369774…
05-04 02:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x7ef4a3…
05-04 02:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x896acb…
05-04 02:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x001fd3…
05-04 02:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc0eb74…
05-04 02:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x8214ee…
05-04 01:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x71ae98…
05-04 01:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf18851…
05-04 01:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x06871f…
05-04 01:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9876ca…
05-04 00:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5c9378…
05-04 00:27:50	Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in May?	No	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x72c301…
05-04 00:27:46	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xf21354…
05-04 00:27:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	23¢	$7	0xd557fc…
05-04 00:27:46	Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in May?	Yes	SELL	60	9¢	$5	0xd4b76c…
05-04 00:27:46	Major US official out by May 31?	No	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0xd0fe0b…
05-04 00:27:46	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xb46442…
05-04 00:27:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0x8e3f5e…
05-04 00:27:46	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	No	SELL	17	9¢	$2	0x7daaa4…
05-04 00:27:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x5a1b25…
05-04 00:27:46	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?	No	SELL	5	52¢	$2	0x1f8d6f…
05-04 00:26:44	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	No	SELL	4	12¢	$0	0x8ec81a…
05-04 00:13:38	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	No	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x2048c4…
05-04 00:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7d82b6…
05-04 00:06:16	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	No	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0x17f0b8…
05-04 00:02:16	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	No	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0xfed590…
05-04 00:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x7bd4e7…
05-03 23:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x2d99c6…
05-03 23:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x048a0c…
05-03 23:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa39241…
05-03 23:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x968054…
05-03 23:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd0e322…
05-03 23:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6db5a1…
05-03 23:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xecba2f…
05-03 23:28:02	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	No	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0xaba4c1…
05-03 23:27:20	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xfda297…
05-03 23:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x87a750…
05-03 22:37:00	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0x9ce5b1…
05-03 22:17:10	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	No	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0xd14914…
05-03 21:46:56	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x48f4b7…
05-03 20:59:32	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x7069a1…
05-03 20:56:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x312313…
05-03 20:54:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xb8937d…
05-03 20:52:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xf7048e…
05-03 19:37:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x2de7c3…
05-03 18:08:06	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xd96c63…
05-03 18:06:12	Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in May?	No	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x9c2e67…
05-03 15:21:44	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	No	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x748000…
05-03 14:59:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x3c40d5…
05-03 14:58:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xaf1771…
05-03 14:57:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xd12c57…
05-03 13:43:14	Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in May?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0xdad374…
05-03 13:42:54	Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in May?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xcd13eb…
05-03 13:38:36	Major US official out by May 31?	No	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x67f44a…
05-03 13:27:36	Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in May?	No	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x900c5d…
05-03 13:26:40	Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in May?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x4a991f…
05-03 09:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x939237…
05-03 07:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x54793d…
05-03 03:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	67	7¢	$5	0x80d412…
05-03 03:52:50	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x03230c…
05-03 03:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x3149d2…
05-03 03:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	26¢	$5	0x611994…
05-03 03:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc53ff1…
05-03 03:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xdcefc0…
05-03 03:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x72b0d5…
05-03 03:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0xf3d150…
05-03 03:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x563d58…
05-03 03:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x99a335…
05-03 02:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3?	Down	SELL	17	66¢	$11	0x6e1f4d…
05-03 02:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x7aeffb…
05-03 02:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0x215c8d…
05-03 02:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf411ab…
05-03 02:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x8c2a18…
05-03 02:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x963568…
05-03 02:27:22	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x637bc7…