Afraid-Regionalism — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12.4K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.0%

Resolved

1,468

Trades

10,084

lifetime

Volume

$428.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-24 03:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 155 days

Categories

Other

54% 41% -$6,017

Sports

39% 44% -$4,538

Crypto

7% 33% -$2,037

Politics

0% 33% +$79

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$78

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 585 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	283	$16.3K	867,858	852,920	+14,938	No	-$272	02-20 17:30
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	73	$11.1K	706,754	706,749	+5	No	-$183	01-02 16:03
nfl ne den 2026 01 25	119	$9.8K	8,553	8,546	+6	Patriots	+$1,041	01-26 00:22
atp mensik sinner 2026 02 19	65	$6.9K	5,535	4,254	+1,281	Mensik	-$165	02-19 21:44
nfl sf phi 2026 01 11	26	$6.8K	5,013	5,413	-400	49ers	+$1,352	01-12 00:56
will indiana win the 2026 college football national championship	105	$6.3K	7,649	7,228	+421	Yes	+$241	01-09 18:43
cfb mia ohiost 2025 12 31	71	$5.4K	4,943	4,528	+415	Miami	-$383	01-01 03:14
atp jodar shapova 2026 08 15	90	$4.9K	6,562	1,974	+4,587	Rafael Jodar	-$585	08-16 02:04
mwoh can fin 2026 02 20	57	$4.0K	2,766	2,766	+0	Canada	+$295	02-20 18:11
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	53	$3.5K	31,181	30,874	+307	No	-$342	02-20 05:01
Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Alina Charaeva	53	$3.5K	3,242	2,386	+856	Anna Bondar	+$501	09-24 05:45
nba gsw min 2026 01 25	9	$3.4K	1,404	2,107	-703	Warriors	+$58	01-26 01:47
nba den lac 2026 02 19	51	$3.3K	3,460	1,943	+1,517	Clippers	-$823	02-20 05:59
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels	54	$3.1K	2,798	2,383	+415	Athletics	-$601	05-21 04:26
atp jodar nakashi 2026 08 12 set 2 winner Jodar vs Nakashima	41	$3.0K	2,451	1,851	+600	Nakashima	+$117	08-13 00:20
atp musetti djokovi 2026 01 28	27	$2.8K	3,590	2,355	+1,236	Djokovic	+$309	01-28 05:52
cfb miss ga 2026 01 01 spread home 6pt5	115	$2.6K	2,580	2,692	-112	Ole Miss	-$336	01-02 03:58
nba cha okc 2026 01 05	41	$2.5K	1,600	1,431	+169	Hornets	+$307	01-06 02:55
atp alcaraz minaur 2026 01 27	20	$2.5K	2,000	1,000	+1,000	Alcaraz	+$200	01-27 04:43
atp zverev norrie 2026 08 15	32	$2.5K	1,777	1,777	+0	Alexander Zverev	+$424	08-16 05:58
wta wa vandewi 2026 08 14	29	$2.3K	2,627	2,503	+124	Xinyu Wang	+$294	08-14 21:48
will carlos alcaraz win the 2026 australian open	3	$2.3K	1,565	1,565	+0	Yes	+$21	02-01 01:17
wta svitoli swiatek 2026 08 12	15	$2.1K	3,400	387	+3,013	Iga Swiatek	-$475	08-13 02:33
atp alcaraz khachan 2026 02 19	11	$2.1K	1,200	1,200	+0	Alcaraz	+$159	02-19 21:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 00:10 UTC	153	$2.1K	2,900	809	+2,091	Up	-$230	04-02 00:14
wta swiatek rybakin 2026 08 13	26	$2.1K	3,539	227	+3,312	Iga Swiatek	-$437	08-13 23:06
atp holmgre draxl 2026 07 23	62	$2.0K	3,314	1,736	+1,577	Liam Draxl	+$191	07-24 01:26
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	38	$2.0K	1,601	1,676	-75	Canadiens	+$357	05-22 01:38
nfl sf phi 2026 01 11 spread home 7pt5	15	$2.0K	1,310	1,310	+0	49ers	+$457	01-12 00:23
cbb ark okl 2026 01 27	41	$2.0K	1,787	1,545	+242	Arkansas Razorbacks	+$19	01-28 01:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 03:05:15	Lightning vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	SELL	117	89¢	$104	0x767853…
10-24 00:40:33	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	75	81¢	$61	0xa7ac89…
10-23 23:55:48	Spread: Spurs (-12.5)	Spurs	BUY	31	28¢	$9	0x43d9f9…
10-23 23:55:47	Spread: Spurs (-12.5)	Spurs	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0xd2e837…
10-23 23:55:47	Spread: Spurs (-12.5)	Spurs	BUY	34	28¢	$10	0x22ee9e…
10-23 23:55:06	Spread: Spurs (-4.5)	Spurs	BUY	400	52¢	$208	0xbd8ef6…
10-23 23:52:18	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	300	64¢	$192	0x1b913b…
10-23 23:51:21	Lightning vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	300	53¢	$159	0x4ba84c…
10-23 22:53:36	Timberwolves vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x4bb9ca…
10-23 22:53:20	Spread: Spurs (-5.5)	Spurs	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x4ef75e…
10-23 22:52:38	Knicks vs. Celtics	Knicks	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x9ec303…
10-23 22:51:00	Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Lorenzo Musetti	Luca Van Assche	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xcb0a17…
10-23 22:51:00	Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Lorenzo Musetti	Luca Van Assche	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0xae9785…
10-23 22:51:00	Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Lorenzo Musetti	Luca Van Assche	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x7a6c94…
10-23 22:50:17	Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Lorenzo Musetti	Luca Van Assche	BUY	69	46¢	$32	0xd800fe…
10-23 22:50:17	Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Lorenzo Musetti	Luca Van Assche	BUY	31	46¢	$14	0x9e4b5f…
10-23 22:50:14	Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Lorenzo Musetti	Luca Van Assche	BUY	80	48¢	$38	0x791949…
10-23 22:49:51	Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Lorenzo Musetti	Luca Van Assche	BUY	62	51¢	$31	0x905b9f…
10-23 22:49:27	Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Lorenzo Musetti	Luca Van Assche	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0xe1beb4…
10-22 10:37:06	Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov	Tomas Machac	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xefd6f2…
10-22 08:22:32	Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci	Mattia Bellucci	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x781476…
10-22 08:22:20	Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci	Mattia Bellucci	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x93d0c0…
10-22 08:22:18	Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci	Mattia Bellucci	BUY	19	72¢	$13	0x9986db…
10-22 08:10:33	Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci	Terence Atmane	BUY	60	22¢	$13	0xe4a666…
10-22 08:08:51	Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci	Mattia Bellucci	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xaaa8aa…
10-22 08:08:44	Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci	Mattia Bellucci	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0x849930…
10-22 07:56:51	Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci	Terence Atmane	BUY	58	14¢	$8	0xb31e51…
10-22 07:56:32	Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci	Terence Atmane	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0x1279bf…
10-22 07:56:30	Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci	Terence Atmane	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0x500c8a…
10-22 07:34:48	Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci	Terence Atmane	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0x873d4a…
10-22 07:12:50	Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci	Mattia Bellucci	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x457e50…
10-22 07:12:41	Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci	Mattia Bellucci	BUY	60	57¢	$34	0xa2cb98…
10-22 07:12:41	Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci	Mattia Bellucci	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x9242d3…
10-22 07:12:38	Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci	Mattia Bellucci	BUY	70	63¢	$44	0x5170c4…
10-22 07:11:56	Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci	Mattia Bellucci	BUY	70	73¢	$51	0x957805…
10-22 07:11:36	Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci	Mattia Bellucci	BUY	23	76¢	$17	0x0e7b49…
10-22 07:11:23	Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci	Mattia Bellucci	BUY	17	76¢	$13	0x93d6c6…
10-22 07:11:18	Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci	Mattia Bellucci	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x7158df…
10-22 07:10:15	Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci	Terence Atmane	BUY	18	19¢	$3	0xcb80e0…
10-22 07:07:38	Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci	Mattia Bellucci	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0x0ea8bd…
10-22 07:05:33	Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci	Mattia Bellucci	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0x99d9a7…
10-22 07:04:18	Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci	Mattia Bellucci	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xfbc99c…
10-22 07:03:50	Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci	Mattia Bellucci	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xab9b60…
10-22 07:03:29	Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci	Mattia Bellucci	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0xa481a5…
10-17 22:23:41	Alabama vs. Tennessee	Alabama	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0xced76e…
10-17 22:03:50	Alabama vs. Tennessee	Alabama	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x8cf075…
10-17 22:02:33	Alabama vs. Tennessee	Alabama	BUY	23	55¢	$13	0x851188…
10-17 22:02:06	Alabama vs. Tennessee	Alabama	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0xf8430e…
10-17 21:58:11	Alabama vs. Tennessee	Tennessee	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x6c2640…
10-17 21:57:21	Alabama vs. Tennessee	Tennessee	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x274f90…
10-17 21:41:39	Spread: Michigan (-3.5)	Penn State	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0xf28235…
10-17 21:41:27	Spread: Michigan (-3.5)	Penn State	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x909552…
10-17 21:41:15	Spread: Michigan (-3.5)	Penn State	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x315f77…
10-17 21:40:35	Spread: Michigan (-3.5)	Penn State	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x7a2843…
10-17 21:39:18	Auburn vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	70	61¢	$43	0xbddbc6…
10-17 21:39:00	Penn State vs. Michigan	Penn State	BUY	60	47¢	$28	0xd5d10d…
10-17 21:36:05	Spread: Georgia (-5.5)	Georgia	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x4f840b…
10-17 21:33:20	Spread: Georgia (-5.5)	Georgia	BUY	24	49¢	$12	0x4738ae…
10-17 21:33:18	Spread: Georgia (-5.5)	Georgia	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x72ee7e…
10-17 21:26:39	Alabama vs. Tennessee	Tennessee	BUY	23	37¢	$9	0x38d8d8…
10-17 21:26:26	Alabama vs. Tennessee	Tennessee	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x89b1dc…
10-17 21:25:32	Alabama vs. Tennessee	Alabama	BUY	51	58¢	$29	0x37436f…
10-17 21:23:29	Spread: Georgia (-5.5)	Georgia	BUY	122	50¢	$61	0x265510…
10-17 21:23:02	Spread: Georgia (-5.5)	Georgia	BUY	41	50¢	$20	0xf80434…
10-17 21:22:12	Spread: Georgia (-5.5)	Georgia	BUY	102	50¢	$51	0x546fe1…
10-17 21:21:53	Penn State vs. Michigan	Penn State	BUY	51	55¢	$28	0x9ce4f0…
10-17 19:22:35	Ohio State vs. Indiana	Ohio State	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x9d5104…
10-17 02:18:21	Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina	Coastal Carolina	BUY	93	60¢	$56	0x0e3264…
10-17 02:18:18	Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina	Coastal Carolina	BUY	4	60¢	$3	0x843655…
10-17 02:18:18	Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina	Coastal Carolina	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x192c3c…
10-17 01:44:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:30 UTC	Down	SELL	204	92¢	$187	0x9b8e2b…
10-17 01:42:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:30 UTC	Down	SELL	67	86¢	$58	0xede94b…
10-17 01:42:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:30 UTC	Down	SELL	63	86¢	$54	0xf8572a…
10-17 01:42:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:30 UTC	Down	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xb2ece0…
10-17 01:39:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	82¢	$5	0xf23a05…
10-17 01:39:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	43	82¢	$36	0xb0462c…
10-17 01:39:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	35	77¢	$27	0xa84e77…
10-17 01:39:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x3cf8ae…
10-17 01:39:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x3c753e…
10-17 01:37:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x0b5112…
10-17 01:36:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	40	67¢	$27	0x6d0f58…
10-17 01:35:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0xfaf942…
10-17 01:35:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	25	72¢	$18	0x7886ac…
10-17 01:35:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x2c3200…
10-17 01:35:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	77¢	$8	0x36d652…
10-17 01:35:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x80d0f1…
10-17 01:35:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	37	77¢	$28	0x199acf…
10-17 01:31:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	70	54¢	$38	0xa356eb…
10-17 01:31:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	103	56¢	$58	0xf5059d…
10-17 01:30:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	107	1¢	$1	0x3561ef…
10-17 01:28:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x68fbfe…
10-17 01:27:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x7f06f0…
10-17 01:27:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x326cc9…
10-17 01:27:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xef27b2…
10-17 01:27:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb856e0…
10-17 01:27:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x1ca4ca…
10-17 01:27:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xc23501…
10-17 01:27:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x2b5ac4…
10-17 01:27:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x02700f…
10-17 01:27:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xc8ed7b…