Testy-Measurement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.94K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

4.9%

Resolved

Trades

297

lifetime

Volume

$193.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$650

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 07-14 23:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Politics

39% 50% +$7

Sports

32% 27% -$1,840

Other

28% 27% -$110

Crypto

1% 100% +$1

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	10	$12.9K	6,481	6,481	+0	No	-$6	05-05 11:24
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	6	$7.2K	3,642	3,642	+0	No	-$2	05-10 05:57
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	8	$7.1K	3,567	3,567	+0	No	-$4	06-22 04:49
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$5.9K	2,944	2,944	+0	No	-$1	03-28 17:47
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	6	$5.6K	2,816	2,816	+0	open	—	06-08 10:20
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?	4	$4.5K	2,268	2,268	+0	open	—	05-02 04:05
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$4.3K	2,175	2,175	+0	open	—	05-07 10:53
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$4.3K	2,151	2,151	+0	No	-$2	05-09 09:31
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$4.3K	2,151	2,151	+0	open	—	05-10 03:15
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$4.2K	2,109	2,109	+0	open	—	05-04 07:11
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?	4	$3.8K	1,933	1,933	+0	No	-$2	05-21 05:15
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	5	$3.8K	1,888	1,888	+0	No	$0	03-25 10:34
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$3.7K	1,873	1,872	+0	open	—	06-09 03:12
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$3.6K	1,817	1,817	+0	open	—	06-02 03:47
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$3.4K	2,015	1,355	+660	No	-$1	03-04 18:32
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$3.2K	1,596	1,596	+0	No	-$2	03-21 05:49
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$3.2K	1,587	1,587	+0	open	—	06-02 07:08
Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$3.1K	1,551	1,551	+0	No	-$2	03-20 10:47
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	2	$3.0K	1,517	1,517	+0	No	-$2	03-22 06:54
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$3.0K	1,485	1,485	+0	No	-$1	03-12 05:07
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2.9K	1,475	1,475	+0	No	-$1	03-22 09:22
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2.9K	1,455	1,455	+0	No	-$1	03-21 14:17
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2.9K	1,441	1,441	+0	No	-$1	03-25 08:42
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	4	$2.8K	1,394	1,394	+0	open	—	06-29 07:56
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$2.4K	1,217	1,217	+0	No	-$2	03-17 08:56
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2.4K	1,205	1,205	+0	No	-$1	04-30 09:07
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$2.4K	1,177	1,177	+0	No	-$1	05-01 10:11
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$2.3K	1,178	1,178	+0	open	—	06-03 11:08
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?	2	$2.3K	1,156	1,156	+0	No	-$1	05-02 09:06
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$2.3K	1,135	1,135	+0	No	-$1	03-15 15:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 23:46:49	Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	193	100¢	$192	0x4ba164…
07-14 21:07:46	Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	193	100¢	$192	0xb1e53e…
07-10 23:24:19	Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0x515eed…
07-10 19:00:35	Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x5627b9…
07-09 09:23:55	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	185	99¢	$184	0x33d8ab…
07-09 05:59:20	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	185	99¢	$184	0x450ba9…
07-08 07:59:14	Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	215	99¢	$213	0x56684e…
07-08 06:08:56	Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	215	99¢	$213	0x2fe0ba…
07-07 07:02:01	Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	165	99¢	$164	0x4792ab…
07-07 04:58:34	Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	165	99¢	$164	0x3be998…
07-03 06:49:59	Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	142	100¢	$141	0xa85ce3…
07-03 03:53:26	Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	142	100¢	$141	0x8911b0…
07-02 10:40:28	Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	162	100¢	$161	0x28fbf1…
07-02 07:06:50	Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	162	100¢	$161	0xd0efe6…
06-30 08:59:58	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	396	99¢	$392	0x156320…
06-30 06:03:47	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	396	99¢	$393	0xbe7954…
06-30 02:51:50	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	313	99¢	$310	0x883a54…
06-30 01:44:46	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	313	99¢	$310	0xadeef9…
06-29 09:40:44	Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	364	100¢	$362	0x8a2dfc…
06-29 07:59:34	Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	364	100¢	$363	0x8da0f0…
06-29 07:56:38	Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	392	99¢	$388	0x09829e…
06-29 05:50:11	Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	392	99¢	$389	0x735fcc…
06-29 05:47:07	Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	353	100¢	$352	0x88e82e…
06-29 01:33:41	Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	353	100¢	$352	0x567dd7…
06-24 08:11:43	Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	384	100¢	$383	0x29bfc2…
06-24 03:49:13	Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	384	100¢	$384	0x7b0e0c…
06-23 09:23:44	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	336	100¢	$335	0xc3593f…
06-23 07:57:37	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	336	100¢	$335	0xba5b11…
06-23 04:05:01	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	461	99¢	$458	0xd60a57…
06-23 01:45:23	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	461	99¢	$458	0xfd73d5…
06-22 08:49:22	Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	364	99¢	$361	0xea0a99…
06-22 07:08:38	Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	364	99¢	$361	0x0a6a13…
06-22 04:49:55	Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	312	100¢	$311	0xc2a49a…
06-22 03:46:17	Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	312	100¢	$311	0x129352…
06-22 03:32:37	Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	400	99¢	$397	0xbdf7cc…
06-22 01:44:01	Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	400	99¢	$397	0x471d85…
06-20 09:56:05	Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	271	99¢	$269	0xc1f230…
06-20 08:51:47	Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	271	99¢	$269	0x913351…
06-18 03:44:13	Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	286	100¢	$285	0x24033e…
06-18 01:51:05	Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	286	100¢	$286	0x39b96e…
06-17 07:15:34	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	509	99¢	$504	0xf8dea7…
06-17 05:23:40	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	509	99¢	$505	0xd49c5e…
06-17 02:50:55	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	575	99¢	$570	0x021e25…
06-17 01:40:14	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	575	99¢	$571	0x19966e…
06-15 10:04:36	Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	588	99¢	$584	0x7068c9…
06-15 07:58:19	Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	588	99¢	$585	0x9fca83…
06-15 07:11:49	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	596	99¢	$591	0xb74549…
06-15 04:24:15	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	596	99¢	$592	0x740ec4…
06-15 03:48:51	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	648	99¢	$642	0xb3ccc6…
06-15 01:45:27	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	648	99¢	$643	0xb63c04…
06-14 14:28:55	Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	588	99¢	$584	0x153759…
06-14 05:33:39	Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	588	99¢	$584	0x71bbbc…
06-13 18:56:21	Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	545	99¢	$541	0xb8c64d…
06-13 06:05:01	Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	545	99¢	$541	0xd620fe…
06-13 03:38:06	will ethereum reach 2800 in june 2026	No	BUY	281	100¢	$280	0x1b19c8…
06-10 03:20:54	Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	970	99¢	$963	0xd16c92…
06-10 01:49:18	Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	970	99¢	$964	0x6443f3…
06-09 10:57:16	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	609	99¢	$604	0x55fcea…
06-09 05:22:57	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	609	99¢	$605	0x7f5617…
06-09 03:12:19	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1,010	99¢	$1,003	0x334c86…
06-09 01:39:45	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,010	99¢	$1,004	0xc87485…
06-08 10:20:34	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	825	99¢	$819	0x4512b4…
06-08 08:57:06	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	825	99¢	$820	0xb5e6c8…
06-08 07:45:04	Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	640	99¢	$634	0x64624a…
06-08 05:27:24	Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	640	99¢	$635	0xcd76d2…
06-08 03:49:28	Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	915	100¢	$911	0x1aed02…
06-08 02:00:54	Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	915	100¢	$912	0x71050e…
06-07 08:36:33	Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	975	100¢	$970	0x9e6f83…
06-07 02:55:27	Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	975	100¢	$971	0xe6aad1…
06-06 10:31:40	Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	873	99¢	$866	0xb78420…
06-06 07:19:03	Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	873	99¢	$866	0xaca973…
06-04 06:34:21	mlb tor atl 2026 06 04	Atlanta Braves	BUY	115	64¢	$74	0xf7df36…
06-03 11:08:47	Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	828	99¢	$822	0x28872b…
06-03 09:08:10	Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	828	99¢	$823	0xc75857…
06-03 07:29:06	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	862	99¢	$856	0xc9e9a6…
06-03 03:48:41	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	862	99¢	$857	0xd46299…
06-02 07:08:17	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	837	99¢	$830	0x07dad3…
06-02 05:39:14	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	837	99¢	$831	0x4bd06c…
06-02 05:20:04	Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals	Miami Marlins	BUY	153	50¢	$76	0x950f49…
06-02 03:47:04	Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	764	99¢	$759	0xe61644…
06-02 02:25:43	Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	764	99¢	$760	0xe3c724…
06-01 07:54:45	Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	350	99¢	$348	0xe946a4…
06-01 05:43:29	Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	350	99¢	$348	0x492db7…
06-01 04:21:42	Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	541	99¢	$537	0x35243d…
06-01 02:12:17	Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	541	99¢	$538	0x8b5ebe…
05-31 03:59:52	Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	520	99¢	$516	0x1e8880…
05-31 03:04:02	Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	520	99¢	$517	0xcab511…
05-28 03:36:08	Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	612	99¢	$607	0x2332e5…
05-28 02:07:42	Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	612	99¢	$608	0xc2065b…
05-27 09:05:43	Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	624	99¢	$620	0x4fee61…
05-27 08:33:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xb8d9bb…
05-27 06:49:12	Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	624	99¢	$620	0x1d1b07…
05-27 03:50:03	Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	549	99¢	$545	0x38513d…
05-27 02:07:14	Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	549	99¢	$545	0xd51532…
05-26 10:58:38	Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	548	99¢	$543	0x8daf47…
05-26 08:51:57	Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	548	99¢	$544	0xef52f3…
05-25 07:15:40	Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	544	100¢	$542	0xbe4e73…
05-25 06:32:16	Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	544	100¢	$543	0x74bdf0…
05-25 04:59:45	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	432	100¢	$430	0x86a74d…
05-25 03:45:45	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	432	100¢	$430	0xaa8a13…