Unwelcome-Bifocals — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$35

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 06-03 17:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

56% 44% $-10

Other

23% 100% +$45

Sports

11% — —

Politics

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	2	$258	191	191	+0	open	—	05-31 22:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?	2	$221	134	134	+0	open	—	06-01 12:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$196	184	184	+0	Up	+$96	05-11 20:03
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)	2	$161	115	115	+0	open	—	05-25 03:36
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	2	$151	106	106	+0	open	—	05-24 16:18
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	2	$145	226	226	+0	open	—	06-01 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$125	220	0	+220	Up	+$24	05-12 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$100	286	0	+286	Down	$-100	05-12 14:31
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	2	$85	91	91	+0	Gujarat Titans	+$45	05-12 16:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	3	$65	72	50	+22	Up	+$15	05-12 14:43
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5	1	$62	138	0	+138	open	—	05-26 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$50	26	26	+0	open	—	05-26 19:05
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	1	$50	172	0	+172	open	—	05-25 08:04
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	1	$50	91	0	+91	open	—	06-02 07:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	4	$49	35	35	+0	Up	+$19	05-12 14:39
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	2	$49	160	160	+0	open	—	05-31 23:51
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 107.5	1	$49	102	0	+102	open	—	05-24 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	3	$40	56	21	+34	open	—	05-24 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$40	77	0	+77	open	—	06-01 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$32	139	139	+0	open	—	06-01 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$30	706	0	+706	Down	$-30	05-12 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$29	19	19	+0	open	—	06-01 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$27	22	22	+0	open	—	05-23 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$25	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	05-23 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$25	131	0	+131	Down	$-25	05-12 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$25	119	0	+119	open	—	06-01 00:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$25	74	0	+74	open	—	05-26 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$25	64	0	+64	open	—	05-26 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$25	45	0	+45	open	—	05-26 19:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$25	45	0	+45	open	—	06-01 21:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 17:17:39	Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x3faed3…
06-03 17:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0x650d6f…
06-03 15:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3?	Up	SELL	145	13¢	$18	0xb455f2…
06-02 18:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x0488ff…
06-02 17:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0xb75a49…
06-02 17:35:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 2?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xb631df…
06-02 07:47:27	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x45baa5…
06-01 22:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x864336…
06-01 22:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	39	52¢	$20	0x25e8df…
06-01 21:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xb28e26…
06-01 21:14:37	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	SELL	226	11¢	$25	0x688d8c…
06-01 17:24:26	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	226	53¢	$120	0x81dd5b…
06-01 13:31:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x28ee2a…
06-01 12:33:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	134	98¢	$131	0x9ca196…
06-01 01:16:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	134	67¢	$90	0x787f9c…
06-01 00:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x6bf5be…
06-01 00:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	139	5¢	$7	0x8c146f…
06-01 00:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0x1af785…
06-01 00:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x82de06…
06-01 00:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x04a6eb…
06-01 00:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x7d9a18…
05-31 23:51:52	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	160	2¢	$4	0xbcf436…
05-31 22:21:29	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	160	29¢	$46	0xf29588…
05-31 22:14:13	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	191	94¢	$179	0x7c107e…
05-26 19:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x587b6d…
05-26 19:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xadcd0c…
05-26 19:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0x28268e…
05-26 19:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xbb723e…
05-26 18:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x289082…
05-26 16:52:36	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5	No	BUY	138	45¢	$62	0xe81849…
05-26 03:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x978631…
05-26 03:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0xd1567c…
05-25 08:04:41	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0x4407a3…
05-25 06:16:25	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	191	41¢	$79	0x78e920…
05-25 03:36:30	Spread: Spurs (-11.5)	Spurs	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0x73ec68…
05-25 01:32:48	Spread: Spurs (-11.5)	Spurs	BUY	115	40¢	$46	0x49383c…
05-24 17:30:13	Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 107.5	Over	BUY	102	48¢	$49	0xcb7850…
05-24 16:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x260295…
05-24 16:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xbad2e2…
05-24 16:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0xd4c8de…
05-24 16:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x822164…
05-24 16:18:03	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	SELL	106	95¢	$101	0x923a9f…
05-24 08:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x23b545…
05-24 08:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x9a0ba0…
05-24 08:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xfafdaa…
05-24 08:28:53	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xc8af36…
05-23 05:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xcd7ade…
05-23 05:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x3404b2…
05-23 04:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xe30d61…
05-23 04:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x575d60…
05-12 16:47:07	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	Gujarat Titans	SELL	91	72¢	$65	0xf8497e…
05-12 14:51:35	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	Gujarat Titans	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x03cfed…
05-12 14:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x2ca44d…
05-12 14:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	206	12¢	$25	0x800bd5…
05-12 14:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x94a98c…
05-12 14:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	50	71¢	$36	0x3edb4d…
05-12 14:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xb13e1e…
05-12 14:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	35	99¢	$34	0x61928d…
05-12 14:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xafde5e…
05-12 14:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xe94b21…
05-12 14:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x20ab1f…
05-12 14:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x0f0f81…
05-12 14:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	131	19¢	$25	0xaa94db…
05-12 06:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x3e4539…
05-12 06:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0xcb46d3…
05-12 04:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x4c8d58…
05-11 20:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	184	79¢	$146	0x2e9dc1…
05-11 20:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	184	27¢	$50	0x2e3a97…
05-11 19:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	25¢	$4	0x8da6af…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	42	$43.1K	1,358	06-03 17:40
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	33	$13.6K	2,034	06-03 17:14
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	33	$10.2K	1,521	06-03 17:14
(anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7	31	$16.5K	2,574	06-03 17:14
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	31	$12.1K	639	06-03 17:12
(anonymous) 0xd9ca…f253	31	$10.9K	1,882	06-03 17:14
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	31	$10.3K	2,874	06-03 17:14
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	31	$9.70K	2,749	06-03 17:14