Unnatural-Shine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$253

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

19.3%

Resolved

Trades

226

lifetime

Volume

$1.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 08-26 00:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

36% 0% -$173

Crypto

35% 36% -$70

Politics

29% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	11	$180	335	335	+0	open	—	05-27 07:02
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	14	$153	917	917	+0	No	-$30	08-26 00:09
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	6	$134	5,867	5,867	+0	open	—	05-20 00:22
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	3	$64	99	99	+0	Yes	-$13	05-16 06:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	7	$56	1,060	60	+1,000	Up	+$7	05-24 02:10
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	2	$50	228	0	+228	No	-$50	05-19 22:44
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?	4	$40	29,026	0	+29,026	Yes	-$40	05-28 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	3	$35	59	59	+0	Down	-$25	05-09 11:09
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	2	$30	89	89	+0	No	-$2	05-21 03:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$30	49	0	+49	Up	+$19	05-09 10:53
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?	3	$29	535	535	+0	No	-$7	05-21 23:03
Kash Patel out by June 30?	2	$29	48	48	+0	No	-$1	05-19 03:26
US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?	2	$27	35	35	+0	No	-$13	05-21 20:37
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	2	$24	170	170	+0	No	-$10	07-14 15:04
XRP all time high by September 30, 2026?	2	$24	226	226	+0	No	-$14	05-21 23:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	16	$23	26	22	+5	Up	-$3	05-25 22:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$20	45	0	+45	Down	-$20	05-09 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	14	$20	22	20	+3	Up	+$0	05-21 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	12	$18	21	9	+12	Down	-$4	05-20 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	3	$16	41	10	+31	Down	+$0	05-09 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	12	$16	17	17	+0	Down	-$4	05-21 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	11	$14	18	18	+0	Up	-$4	05-25 22:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	12	$13	26	26	+0	Down	-$9	05-20 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	11	$11	19	0	+19	Down	+$8	05-21 22:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	10	$11	23	22	+0	Up	-$5	05-20 22:47
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	10	$10	42	0	+42	Down	-$10	05-19 23:42
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$10	9,500	0	+9,500	No	-$10	05-09 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	9	$9	18	0	+18	Down	+$9	05-20 23:04
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$9	3,734	0	+3,734	No	-$9	05-09 10:42
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	2	$8	69	69	+0	No	-$2	07-22 01:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-26 00:09:07	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	SELL	391	2¢	$7	0x14ef48…
07-27 11:24:10	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	SELL	69	5¢	$4	0x312f05…
07-26 22:43:49	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	209	6¢	$13	0xf2e402…
07-23 16:15:03	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	88	11¢	$9	0xf9cb4c…
07-22 01:33:06	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	39	8¢	$3	0x6dbf54…
07-22 01:32:40	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	SELL	69	5¢	$3	0x7af7fe…
07-20 23:49:30	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	69	7¢	$5	0xc7bcc5…
07-20 23:48:28	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	SELL	73	7¢	$5	0x691545…
07-14 15:04:49	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	111	6¢	$7	0xf04cc5…
07-14 15:04:20	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	170	4¢	$7	0x2b62f9…
07-14 01:38:40	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	86	8¢	$7	0x72311b…
07-09 22:47:17	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	170	10¢	$17	0x4efc86…
07-09 22:45:46	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	SELL	301	6¢	$18	0x689bab…
07-08 23:20:58	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	189	5¢	$10	0x7f2e5f…
06-26 01:29:08	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	112	10¢	$11	0x9de4c2…
05-28 04:14:17	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?	No	BUY	7,640	0¢	$8	0x9fd11f…
05-28 04:11:39	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?	No	BUY	20,500	0¢	$20	0x6937f2…
05-27 22:56:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?	No	BUY	815	0¢	$2	0x4111b5…
05-27 07:03:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?	No	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x8234cb…
05-27 07:02:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0xaca43c…
05-25 22:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x2a3ffb…
05-25 22:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x9ed112…
05-25 22:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb34ce3…
05-25 22:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x795da9…
05-25 22:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xdbe423…
05-25 22:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	53¢	$4	0x2dfa61…
05-25 22:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x87128a…
05-25 22:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x166d60…
05-25 22:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xdeb8b9…
05-25 22:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x25ca6e…
05-25 22:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	45¢	$5	0x1807a7…
05-25 22:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xcdee46…
05-25 22:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9ce2b8…
05-25 22:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x96d3ac…
05-25 22:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4b87eb…
05-25 22:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x18c764…
05-25 22:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0xb2726b…
05-25 22:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x5bb9a9…
05-25 22:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0xfd4892…
05-25 22:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xecd5a5…
05-25 22:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe8a455…
05-25 22:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4ec80d…
05-25 22:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xae7125…
05-25 22:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa6222f…
05-25 22:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x74af59…
05-25 22:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa8f560…
05-25 22:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x484533…
05-25 22:33:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xe25537…
05-24 02:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x3b83b0…
05-24 02:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x3c29bf…
05-24 02:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	9	74¢	$7	0x6c9729…
05-24 02:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xcfc715…
05-24 02:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	51	48¢	$24	0x5c6d86…
05-24 02:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0x8f05ba…
05-24 02:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x18a754…
05-24 00:58:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	62	16¢	$10	0x82da77…
05-23 01:05:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	62	29¢	$18	0x7566f0…
05-23 01:04:38	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	SELL	54	34¢	$18	0x98fc3c…
05-21 23:03:10	XRP all time high by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	226	2¢	$5	0xc096b8…
05-21 23:03:03	Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	535	2¢	$11	0xb9fae2…
05-21 23:02:33	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0xf11870…
05-21 23:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x7df29d…
05-21 23:02:14	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x6461e4…
05-21 23:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x256b8f…
05-21 23:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x75ca92…
05-21 22:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x24c071…
05-21 22:58:09	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf534b3…
05-21 22:58:09	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x995e1f…
05-21 22:58:05	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb2b0a8…
05-21 22:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x192f57…
05-21 22:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xcd3ff2…
05-21 22:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xcb655d…
05-21 22:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf762d8…
05-21 22:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0xa469a2…
05-21 22:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xa13683…
05-21 22:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7d7008…
05-21 22:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x48bd2a…
05-21 22:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xfcfc28…
05-21 22:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa74f3d…
05-21 22:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6561ec…
05-21 22:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9e1dd7…
05-21 22:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8bfb73…
05-21 22:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x42bcfb…
05-21 22:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe9a83c…
05-21 22:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9eeca5…
05-21 22:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x71e26d…
05-21 22:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2fed74…
05-21 22:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x188f00…
05-21 22:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	11	32¢	$4	0x034868…
05-21 22:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0xf5783c…
05-21 22:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x20ef16…
05-21 22:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x2899e9…
05-21 22:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe0ed83…
05-21 22:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x90d7cd…
05-21 22:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x8fbed4…
05-21 22:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0c843e…
05-21 22:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x322831…
05-21 22:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1b1a21…
05-21 22:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x79be93…
05-21 22:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbdaaea…