Each-Drawbridge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$69

Unrealized P&L

+$14

Hit rate

4.4%

Resolved

Trades

293

lifetime

Volume

$6.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$40

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 06-09 13:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

88% — —

Other

9% 0% $-5

Sports

3% 0% $-76

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% 100% +$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	+500	$11	4¢	$22	+$11	06-09 13:28
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	No	+144	$9	9¢	$13	+$4	05-29 19:48
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	+200	$5	2¢	$5	$-0	06-05 21:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	5	$1.2K	675	675	+0	open	—	03-03 15:49
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	12	$813	6,570	8,170	-1,600	open	—	05-25 22:49
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	18	$632	694	498	+196	open	—	03-08 18:30
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	2	$519	526	526	+0	open	—	05-25 23:20
will uae strike iran by march 31	8	$479	1,283	808	+475	open	—	03-25 07:51
will qatar strike iran by march 31	7	$439	684	684	+0	open	—	03-22 18:20
iran closes its airspace by june 8	14	$303	1,264	1,264	+0	open	—	06-07 22:43
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	19	$211	45,310	7,310	+38,000	open	—	05-31 19:43
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	17	$163	6,500	500	+6,000	open	—	05-31 22:47
Iran leadership change by May 31?	26	$163	9,582	3,712	+5,871	open	—	05-31 18:23
epl mun cry 2026 03 01 mun	2	$161	100	100	+0	open	—	03-01 15:42
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	7	$142	6,000	3,000	+3,000	open	—	02-25 01:19
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	18	$105	3,261	3,260	+1	open	—	05-25 22:11
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	2	$97	130	0	+130	open	—	03-03 14:02
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	5	$84	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-30 17:05
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	6	$83	3,500	3,295	+205	open	—	05-22 09:07
us strikes iran by january 27 2026 458 884 547 617 932	12	$78	6,833	0	+6,833	open	—	01-27 23:15
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	2	$78	401	401	+0	open	—	05-25 21:58
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$73	118	118	+0	open	—	05-23 10:34
fif bra egy 2026 06 06 spread home 1pt5	2	$57	100	50	+50	open	—	06-06 23:49
Iran leadership change by June 30?	6	$53	800	300	+500	open	—	06-09 13:28
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	1	$53	3,300	0	+3,300	open	—	02-21 08:05
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	2	$46	7,000	0	+7,000	open	—	02-25 18:29
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	2	$44	314	0	+314	open	—	05-23 10:34
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	1	$42	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	02-18 18:01
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	2	$42	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	02-26 22:39
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	6	$39	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	02-23 00:00
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	1	$36	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	02-01 14:36
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	4	$34	1,253	0	+1,253	open	—	01-23 18:52
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	2	$32	1,027	0	+1,027	open	—	02-28 06:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 13:28:07	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x68e917…
06-09 13:26:58	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	271	4¢	$10	0x646b57…
06-09 03:24:45	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0x78a1ce…
06-09 03:24:43	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	SELL	70	7¢	$5	0x3b1ce1…
06-09 03:21:15	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x30f8a7…
06-09 03:15:12	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x6652b8…
06-07 22:43:00	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	399	6¢	$22	0x69eff9…
06-07 22:40:49	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x50c7ab…
06-07 22:40:48	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x63847c…
06-07 22:35:39	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x6d6998…
06-07 22:32:03	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x771a66…
06-07 21:58:15	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x1980da…
06-07 21:07:10	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	89	6¢	$5	0xde069c…
06-07 21:07:07	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x06b9bc…
06-07 18:51:58	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	109	4¢	$5	0x493c38…
06-07 18:51:51	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	110	4¢	$5	0xd53a39…
06-07 18:45:04	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	430	41¢	$176	0x8e7696…
06-07 18:38:30	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0xe5dcbc…
06-07 17:31:21	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	74	10¢	$8	0xf326a9…
06-07 17:30:58	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	260	10¢	$27	0xe54a4e…
06-06 23:49:45	fif bra egy 2026 06 06 spread home 1pt5	Brazil	SELL	50	38¢	$19	0xe5f568…
06-06 22:56:25	fif bra egy 2026 06 06 spread home 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x3f4064…
06-06 22:47:07	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	484	3¢	$16	0xbf5cee…
06-05 21:36:13	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$5	0xec7d52…
06-05 21:35:58	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	110	4¢	$4	0xe08119…
06-05 21:33:43	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	250	7¢	$17	0x91a5b8…
05-31 22:47:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	142	1¢	$1	0x1d9118…
05-31 22:46:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	858	1¢	$9	0x1b48e4…
05-31 21:35:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,641	1¢	$32	0xbb9239…
05-31 21:09:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	39	1¢	$0	0x1ac30a…
05-31 21:06:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	500	2¢	$11	0x852901…
05-31 19:54:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	893	2¢	$19	0x69f0e3…
05-31 19:43:03	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x25f48a…
05-31 19:42:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	153	2¢	$2	0xdf73c5…
05-31 18:23:33	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	192	0¢	$1	0x12f47b…
05-31 14:29:03	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	808	0¢	$4	0xc7426d…
05-31 14:01:03	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x793cfa…
05-30 22:46:54	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0xd4aceb…
05-30 20:49:58	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa497f9…
05-30 20:02:15	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0xa3c4c2…
05-30 20:01:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	75	5¢	$3	0x5ee9ac…
05-30 19:52:27	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x945fbe…
05-30 19:08:07	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	65	0¢	$0	0x60f832…
05-30 18:31:36	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xf1817e…
05-30 17:27:39	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	1,275	1¢	$12	0xb39ac6…
05-30 17:21:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	298	5¢	$14	0x30a7fd…
05-30 17:10:24	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	270	1¢	$4	0x274950…
05-30 17:05:16	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x5f5fa5…
05-30 17:01:52	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0x9d6f22…
05-30 16:12:39	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	150	9¢	$14	0xb93853…
05-30 15:57:03	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xa3d78c…
05-30 15:28:26	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	185	0¢	$1	0x16493e…
05-30 15:24:23	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xedfde4…
05-30 14:30:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	129	4¢	$5	0xaa5db8…
05-30 14:09:34	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$12	0xfa9787…
05-30 14:08:49	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x8dcb1c…
05-30 13:11:21	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0xb7d220…
05-30 12:12:19	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	154	4¢	$7	0x2e88eb…
05-30 12:12:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	46	4¢	$2	0x143304…
05-30 06:59:59	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6,000	0¢	$18	0x15e31a…
05-30 06:59:01	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$6	0x7f1b2a…
05-29 22:01:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	3,020	0¢	$6	0x2e44b2…
05-29 20:51:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$8	0x2bbee3…
05-29 20:34:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xa8f6f0…
05-29 20:05:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$7	0xedb3c5…
05-29 20:02:00	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	713	2¢	$14	0xeb8744…
05-29 19:48:13	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xa8fedb…
05-29 17:25:11	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,310	1¢	$9	0xd24a06…
05-29 16:41:24	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$8	0xc9435f…
05-29 15:11:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	71	5¢	$3	0xbe219a…
05-29 15:10:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$9	0xac5b20…
05-29 13:36:06	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$9	0x0b901b…
05-29 11:45:04	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	182	1¢	$2	0x99fc0b…
05-29 11:33:06	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	201	1¢	$2	0xa7a882…
05-29 11:33:06	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	317	1¢	$3	0x471da7…
05-29 11:02:41	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	290	1¢	$3	0xef616d…
05-29 10:46:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	400	5¢	$21	0xe4b18b…
05-29 10:23:24	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,380	0¢	$4	0x6643cc…
05-29 10:23:19	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,620	0¢	$5	0xc7eaab…
05-29 10:23:19	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$8	0x16246a…
05-29 09:50:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	300	6¢	$17	0x54ca3c…
05-29 09:48:54	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	212	1¢	$2	0x234b15…
05-29 08:44:52	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	310	0¢	$1	0x4d09bc…
05-29 08:44:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xeb7791…
05-29 08:44:07	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$12	0x34eb21…
05-29 08:43:28	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$5	0x88dea5…
05-28 14:18:30	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6,000	1¢	$44	0x30ba1b…
05-28 14:18:23	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	300	7¢	$21	0x8fcca3…
05-28 14:18:17	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2,999	1¢	$30	0xf4a55b…
05-28 11:42:03	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,000	1¢	$20	0x4413fd…
05-28 11:39:13	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$8	0x025493…
05-28 06:39:56	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,168	1¢	$9	0xd55086…
05-27 21:09:35	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	No	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0xa60137…
05-27 21:04:48	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3,131	1¢	$25	0x0c975d…
05-25 23:20:44	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	SELL	526	97¢	$509	0x66ab98…
05-25 22:49:21	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	2,175	9¢	$199	0x0e4a0c…
05-25 22:45:16	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	1,995	12¢	$239	0x3858cf…
05-25 22:44:14	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	2,000	9¢	$180	0x52d443…
05-25 22:11:54	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x1d99c9…
05-25 22:11:36	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	102	1¢	$1	0x9cf8d1…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	46	$514.0K	6,719	06-09 16:16
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	43	$105.8K	773	06-08 20:17
Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35	38	$2.19M	7,916	06-07 22:43
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	37	$112.3K	9,229	06-09 23:36
Naive-Waterwheel 0x10b2…4ceb	37	$13.1K	968	06-08 12:26
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	35	$12.6M	15,947	06-08 14:08
Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8	34	$928.1K	3,286	06-09 17:02
Ready-Progression 0xa9ac…c5d1	33	$168.9K	656	06-08 23:25