Miserly-Plier — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$149

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.2%

Resolved

225

Trades

2,720

lifetime

Volume

$9.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 09-21 11:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 58% -$231

Other

24% 90% +$100

Tech

0% 0% -$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	209	$475	876	14	+862	Down	-$86	05-31 09:03
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-17 20:00 UTC	163	$389	771	0	+771	Down	-$3	04-17 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	70	$285	323	232	+91	Up	-$5	04-27 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	91	$271	411	92	+319	Up	+$16	05-04 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	52	$229	197	223	-26	Up	+$6	04-28 21:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	65	$204	287	110	+176	Down	+$25	04-26 19:36
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	56	$203	192	187	+5	Down	-$61	05-17 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	102	$191	375	0	+375	Down	-$32	05-02 10:27
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-14 08:00 UTC	86	$191	362	15	+348	Down	-$13	04-14 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	55	$188	232	137	+95	Up	+$4	05-02 14:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10AM ET	91	$186	362	0	+362	Up	-$9	05-02 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	45	$183	192	150	+42	Down	-$4	04-25 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	42	$179	190	115	+75	Down	-$44	04-28 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	35	$175	121	179	-58	Up	+$12	04-27 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27?	33	$173	127	141	-14	Down	-$15	05-26 21:21
bitcoin up or down on april 13 2026	71	$172	297	38	+260	Up	+$13	04-13 10:06
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	37	$164	133	168	-35	Down	-$8	05-06 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 28?	30	$160	123	149	-26	Down	-$40	05-27 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?	31	$160	98	140	-42	Down	+$30	05-11 19:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	31	$158	120	185	-66	Down	+$0	04-26 09:36
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-14 16:00 UTC	73	$145	290	0	+290	Down	-$2	04-14 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	28	$141	120	140	-20	Up	+$3	04-28 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	8	$135	32	240	-208	Up	+$105	05-18 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	24	$126	91	125	-34	Down	+$9	04-25 15:26
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026?	2	$117	100	100	+0	Yes	+$83	09-04 20:33
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-14 04:00 UTC	50	$115	220	13	+207	Up	+$19	04-14 06:49
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	25	$112	80	145	-65	Down	-$61	05-17 22:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2PM ET	32	$101	132	60	+71	Up	+$9	04-28 18:53
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 340 359	18	$97	92	28	+64	No	+$4	03-23 23:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5AM ET	24	$97	84	60	+24	Down	-$11	05-09 09:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-21 11:20:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0xbd0610…
09-21 11:20:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa7ffaa…
09-21 10:40:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x867f16…
09-21 10:40:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x0c87e6…
09-20 19:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x2c5589…
09-20 19:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x0b1697…
09-20 18:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xc5055e…
09-20 18:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xe64d1e…
09-20 18:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x251da6…
09-08 21:17:51	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	210	9¢	$18	0x65f52a…
09-04 20:33:16	Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x01c3c1…
09-04 20:21:42	will openais astra model be released by september 4 2026	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x603e29…
09-04 20:20:27	will openais astra model be released by september 5 2026	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa2331f…
09-04 17:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x486cbc…
09-04 17:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	31	60¢	$19	0xd0d814…
09-04 17:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x654330…
09-04 17:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x72c538…
09-04 17:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xab13ca…
09-04 12:19:19	Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0x4478f7…
09-04 11:22:57	Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x135198…
09-04 10:40:10	Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0xfe5885…
09-04 10:39:03	will openais astra model be released by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0xf20ef6…
09-04 10:29:24	will openais astra model be released by september 5 2026	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x10d8c6…
09-04 10:29:15	will openais astra model be released by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xe87a97…
05-31 09:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Down	SELL	14	46¢	$6	0x129774…
05-31 04:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x8252a8…
05-31 04:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x050a3a…
05-31 04:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x35aad5…
05-31 03:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xefbbf1…
05-31 03:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x3b0536…
05-31 03:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x71f97f…
05-31 03:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xa07cf2…
05-31 03:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x6e3326…
05-31 03:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xeec824…
05-31 03:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x0ff32f…
05-31 03:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xbdb80b…
05-31 03:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x5aa981…
05-31 03:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x26bec2…
05-31 03:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x4e2e0c…
05-31 03:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0xb561b1…
05-31 03:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xce7234…
05-31 03:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xf3d0ae…
05-31 03:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x16572b…
05-31 02:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xdbd179…
05-31 02:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x8b11c7…
05-31 02:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x38f220…
05-31 02:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x587315…
05-31 02:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xa56b1d…
05-31 02:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xcad979…
05-31 02:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x62731a…
05-31 02:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xe03d32…
05-31 02:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x1036f6…
05-31 02:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb14c5a…
05-31 02:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x84e63a…
05-31 02:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0xdb48bb…
05-31 02:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x828b00…
05-31 02:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe2f9a8…
05-31 02:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf3a089…
05-31 02:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa5d755…
05-31 02:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x5d2738…
05-31 02:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x8b35e0…
05-31 02:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xf944c3…
05-31 02:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x3988de…
05-31 02:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x77b103…
05-31 01:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x9f9f51…
05-31 01:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	0	64¢	$0	0x516be0…
05-31 01:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x05f68b…
05-31 01:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xfdf5ac…
05-31 01:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x9a954d…
05-31 01:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xf937cc…
05-31 01:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xb6d541…
05-31 01:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x6d5a79…
05-31 01:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$2	0x20d776…
05-31 01:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xbe09c5…
05-31 01:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x58a582…
05-31 01:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb76d68…
05-31 01:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xc4ff80…
05-31 01:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xf24ba4…
05-31 01:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xf01c62…
05-31 01:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xdf6402…
05-31 01:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x721d74…
05-31 01:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x2a4dab…
05-31 01:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x0b7501…
05-31 01:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0xba85f8…
05-31 01:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x5c9a49…
05-31 01:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xb091ab…
05-31 01:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x77d18e…
05-31 01:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xba4639…
05-31 01:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xa655d0…
05-31 01:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf1f473…
05-31 00:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xf04162…
05-31 00:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x3cbccf…
05-31 00:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x152ae3…
05-31 00:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x07135f…
05-31 00:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x21d60e…
05-31 00:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x837373…
05-31 00:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xe4e730…
05-31 00:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd49959…
05-31 00:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc09622…
05-31 00:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x61fcf6…