Short-Term-Diary — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$76

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 09-01 19:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 100% +$6

Other

1% 100% +$1

Politics

0% 67% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		-10	-$9	98¢	$-10	$0	09-01 19:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 70k on june 10 2026	1	$110	110	+110	No	+$0	06-09 08:51
bitcoin above 72k on june 20 2026	1	$109	109	+109	No	+$0	06-18 17:15
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 74000 on march 2	1	$107	108	+108	No	+$0	03-02 06:15
ethereum above 2400 on march 1	1	$107	107	+107	No	+$0	02-28 03:04
ethereum above 1900 on june 17 2026	1	$107	107	+107	No	+$0	06-17 12:10
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,000 on June 12?	1	$106	107	+107	No	+$0	06-11 06:16
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 10	1	$106	106	+106	No	+$0	03-09 12:43
will the price of ethereum be between 1500 1600 on march 8	1	$104	105	+105	No	+$0	03-07 19:54
bitcoin above 80k on january 17	1	$104	104	+104	Yes	+$0	01-15 06:24
ethereum above 2500 on february 25	1	$104	104	+104	No	+$0	02-23 03:19
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on march 12	1	$103	104	+104	No	+$0	03-11 14:51
bitcoin above 96k on january 28	1	$103	103	+103	No	+$0	01-27 08:34
ethereum above 2500 on february 13	1	$103	103	+103	No	+$0	02-12 01:04
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 4	1	$103	103	+103	No	+$0	03-03 05:00
bitcoin above 78k on april 2	1	$103	103	+103	No	+$0	04-01 05:54
bitcoin above 76k on february 22	1	$103	103	+103	No	+$0	02-21 04:47
bitcoin above 64k on march 18	1	$102	102	+102	Yes	+$0	03-17 10:15
ethereum above 2600 on february 20	1	$101	101	+101	No	+$0	02-18 21:26
bitcoin above 78k on february 17	1	$101	101	+101	No	+$0	02-16 04:42
bitcoin above 72k on february 11	1	$101	101	+101	No	+$0	02-11 09:57
ethereum above 2700 on february 8	1	$101	101	+101	No	+$0	02-07 05:32
bitcoin above 92k on february 3	1	$100	101	+101	No	+$0	02-02 07:23
bitcoin above 80k on january 9	1	$100	101	+101	Yes	+$0	01-07 14:27
will the price of bitcoin be less than 80000 on january 6	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	01-04 14:36
bitcoin above 82k on january 3	1	$100	100	+100	Yes	+$0	01-02 16:44
bitcoin above 100k on january 26	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	01-24 12:27
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 16	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-14 16:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 9?	1	$100	100	+100	Yes	+$0	05-08 15:15
bitcoin above 82k on february 10	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	02-09 03:45
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 29	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-28 20:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-01 19:14:18	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb51176…
09-01 19:13:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0x4713ec…
08-15 11:36:57	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,300 on August 17?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf5f0d2…
08-13 04:05:55	ethereum above 2000 on august 13 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb5af66…
08-12 04:55:18	bitcoin above 66k on august 12 2026	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x427f1a…
08-03 22:19:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 4?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x532c43…
06-26 22:55:19	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6f24b2…
06-26 22:53:32	will xrp reach 1pt6 in june 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf04611…
06-26 22:51:52	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x888aae…
06-18 17:15:50	bitcoin above 72k on june 20 2026	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xf99bb2…
06-17 12:10:59	ethereum above 1900 on june 17 2026	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x753841…
06-11 06:16:12	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,000 on June 12?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$106	0xfc4946…
06-09 08:51:28	bitcoin above 70k on june 10 2026	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x6079fb…
05-27 05:30:30	Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x047199…
05-27 05:27:49	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x19563d…
05-22 11:52:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x943713…
05-12 23:56:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 14?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x6f28ff…
05-10 04:34:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x58da67…
05-08 15:15:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc40acc…
05-05 13:11:48	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in May?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x2e6ae8…
05-05 13:10:16	Will Solana dip to $60 in May?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x75bfc8…
04-28 19:56:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xd6f73b…
04-26 17:30:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x45079f…
04-22 10:52:54	ethereum above 2000 on april 23	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xdbb4f2…
04-19 12:23:52	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2700 on april 20	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x6e6a21…
04-18 11:44:16	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$2	0x6d3afc…
04-13 12:40:05	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on april 15	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x781fe1…
04-10 11:16:19	bitcoin above 60k on april 11	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x442bae…
04-09 05:15:49	Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x1b0270…
04-09 05:13:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$7	0x102e1b…
04-01 05:54:49	bitcoin above 78k on april 2	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x04f1c8…
03-29 20:56:12	bitcoin above 78k on march 31	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x0a938d…
03-28 20:42:10	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 29	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd20e65…
03-26 15:22:31	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2600 on march 27	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x297d5f…
03-23 12:56:07	bitcoin above 80k on march 25	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x6230d2…
03-20 13:41:41	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 22	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x3580ab…
03-17 10:15:15	bitcoin above 64k on march 18	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xe32f75…
03-14 16:45:07	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 16	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xad285e…
03-14 16:15:25	will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x76ee9b…
03-14 16:12:53	will ethereum dip to 600 in march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xcc5535…
03-11 14:51:19	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on march 12	No	BUY	104	100¢	$103	0xe18d7f…
03-09 12:43:11	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 10	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xc0d463…
03-07 19:54:43	will the price of ethereum be between 1500 1600 on march 8	No	BUY	105	100¢	$104	0x0a089c…
03-03 05:00:19	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 4	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x650f6f…
03-02 06:15:13	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 74000 on march 2	No	BUY	108	100¢	$107	0x038983…
02-28 03:04:47	ethereum above 2400 on march 1	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x123f4f…
02-23 03:19:12	ethereum above 2500 on february 25	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xc7fd49…
02-21 04:47:52	bitcoin above 76k on february 22	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xbbc80a…
02-18 21:26:36	ethereum above 2600 on february 20	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x330df9…
02-16 04:42:11	bitcoin above 78k on february 17	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x221568…
02-13 22:51:43	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on february 15	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x094c98…
02-12 01:04:23	ethereum above 2500 on february 13	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xfa7b83…
02-11 09:57:47	bitcoin above 72k on february 11	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xa58f21…
02-09 03:45:59	bitcoin above 82k on february 10	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4efb25…
02-07 05:32:23	ethereum above 2700 on february 8	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x1eaca0…
02-04 22:06:59	bitcoin above 92k on february 6	No	BUY	99	100¢	$98	0x0c71f3…
02-02 07:23:10	bitcoin above 92k on february 3	No	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0x7f1458…
01-31 09:44:30	bitcoin above 88k on january 31	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xc2f9fd…
01-28 23:27:00	bitcoin above 80k on january 30	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x7058af…
01-27 08:34:01	bitcoin above 96k on january 28	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xfc2988…
01-24 12:27:52	bitcoin above 100k on january 26	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd2bbf6…
01-21 12:15:46	bitcoin above 102k on january 23	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xdcf58b…
01-18 09:52:04	will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on january 20	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xdd95e0…
01-15 06:24:00	bitcoin above 80k on january 17	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xaad9f9…
01-13 05:25:13	ethereum above 3600 on january 14	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x29b56a…
01-09 20:00:26	ethereum above 2600 on january 11	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$99	0xb7ee18…
01-07 14:27:15	bitcoin above 80k on january 9	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0x1347e5…
01-04 14:36:43	will the price of bitcoin be less than 80000 on january 6	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x72e452…
01-02 16:44:51	bitcoin above 82k on january 3	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x599259…