Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$66

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-14

last 11-02 04:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Other

74% 52% +$1

Politics

23% 57% +$1

Tech

3% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump renames AI by September 30?	2	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$2	09-26 15:05
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-19 01:02
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	5	+5	No	-$1	09-20 21:36
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-24 04:03
meta up or down on september 17 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	09-17 04:42
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18?	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	09-18 03:24
Will Costco say "Spending" during earnings call?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	09-21 21:56
will warsh say framework during jackson hole speech on august 28	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	08-21 16:34
will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-16 08:13
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 24, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-23 16:01
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $168 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-21 13:56
spy up or down on september 23 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Down	+$2	09-23 07:41
will nvda reach 228 by august 17 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	08-18 04:46
spx up or down on august 18 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	08-17 20:42
spx opens up or down on august 19 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Up	-$1	08-19 08:06
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 11	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-03 20:57
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-03 04:01
will tsla reach 352 50 by august 17 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	08-21 06:41
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	08-14 05:30
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	08-18 21:04
will nflx reach 80 by august 17 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	08-17 02:49
will coin reach 157 50 by august 17 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	08-18 04:43
will xauusd reach 4500 by august 17 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	08-17 11:53
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $182.50 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-21 05:53
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-17 17:40
will xagusd reach 67 by august 17 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	08-18 12:51
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	08-20 22:27
will trump say kamala during remarks in new york 20260811183234697	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	08-14 17:18
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	-$1	08-19 18:19
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	10-07 04:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 04:59:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x0921cb…
11-01 08:29:55	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x4cf6a6…
10-23 04:51:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x50af52…
10-22 20:33:29	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe5409e…
10-22 12:12:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xaa2bf9…
10-18 23:23:59	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 20?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf5513a…
10-18 11:51:51	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x87d697…
10-18 00:01:23	Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x02363f…
10-17 15:52:59	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd130a7…
10-16 12:28:03	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x8eaa13…
10-16 01:51:04	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf09840…
10-15 16:55:52	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $547.50 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf185e0…
10-15 08:48:02	spx up or down on october 15 2026	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4aaa43…
10-15 00:22:58	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x107b58…
10-14 01:04:49	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $220 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1cad66…
10-11 03:49:42	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.2B?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe4df6d…
10-10 19:17:45	Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x5e9b8d…
10-10 06:29:07	Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q3 net interest income be above $1.1B?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xba8432…
10-07 04:51:36	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3c903c…
10-06 20:46:32	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $164 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x09c648…
10-06 12:41:03	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x22bb36…
10-06 04:40:54	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb83dea…
10-05 18:36:13	will xagusd reach 63 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x729840…
10-05 10:04:47	will xauusd reach 4200 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x4e8b2f…
10-05 00:36:52	will coin dip to 177 50 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x60d8d0…
10-02 09:17:42	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x390dc2…
10-02 08:08:26	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x681367…
10-01 13:40:56	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xa59540…
10-01 05:34:51	will tsla reach 367 50 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xa51900…
09-30 20:27:17	Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd1308a…
09-30 10:33:14	spy up or down on september 30 2026	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xcf27cf…
09-27 01:32:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x43aa5d…
09-26 15:05:21	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x5b6d63…
09-26 07:01:17	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xdc27d6…
09-25 17:18:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xdbec97…
09-25 04:52:30	Trump renames AI by September 30?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6941ff…
09-24 20:37:54	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $207.50 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x831569…
09-24 12:07:58	Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x578455…
09-24 04:03:06	Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2a6aed…
09-23 16:01:28	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 24, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x2475ae…
09-23 07:41:34	spy up or down on september 23 2026	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb5ce3f…
09-21 21:56:27	Will Costco say "Spending" during earnings call?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb6bba2…
09-21 13:56:09	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $168 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf54b29…
09-21 05:53:53	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $182.50 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x66fd87…
09-20 21:36:41	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xcfca45…
09-19 01:02:10	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x02ef2c…
09-18 03:24:10	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18?	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x11a6d8…
09-17 17:40:49	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x09b02b…
09-17 04:42:31	meta up or down on september 17 2026	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf17ac4…
09-16 08:13:51	will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7641e5…
09-03 20:57:12	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 11	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa4ba33…
09-03 04:01:39	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa3ecde…
08-21 16:34:07	will warsh say framework during jackson hole speech on august 28	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xebe03e…
08-21 06:41:45	will tsla reach 352 50 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x295c34…
08-20 22:27:51	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe189b1…
08-19 18:19:16	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x578645…
08-19 08:06:33	spx opens up or down on august 19 2026	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xfb0ee3…
08-18 21:04:16	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x2eaba3…
08-18 12:51:33	will xagusd reach 67 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x710a9d…
08-18 04:46:43	will nvda reach 228 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x693cce…
08-18 04:43:49	will coin reach 157 50 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0d61f7…
08-17 20:42:06	spx up or down on august 18 2026	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x22d5e8…
08-17 11:53:42	will xauusd reach 4500 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb97fd0…
08-17 02:49:03	will nflx reach 80 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x38c5b6…
08-14 17:18:30	will trump say kamala during remarks in new york 20260811183234697	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xcf7c14…
08-14 05:30:45	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x5e228c…