Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-15 02:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

39% 100% +$2

Politics

26% 83% -$18

Tech

25% 100% +$0

Crypto

10% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Claude go down 0-2 times in April?	1	$215	215	+215	No	+$0	04-03 07:42
P2P FDV above $80M one day after launch?	1	$92	92	+92	No	+$0	04-02 09:43
will nflx reach 455 in march	1	$91	91	+91	No	+$0	03-21 13:01
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	1	$77	78	+78	Yes	+$1	06-21 13:15
us forces enter iran by march 7	1	$73	73	+73	No	+$0	03-08 02:44
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?	1	$67	67	+67	No	+$0	06-12 15:43
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	1	$56	56	+56	No	+$0	05-04 13:48
will the us next strike iran on january 27 2026 et 332	1	$56	56	+56	No	+$0	01-28 03:40
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	3	$52	52	+52	No	+$0	08-24 20:00
us strikes iran by january 12 2026 314	1	$47	48	+48	No	+$0	01-13 02:01
iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	1	$41	41	+41	No	+$0	07-31 23:39
Will Claude go down 0-2 times in July?	3	$38	38	+38	No	+$0	07-04 22:04
iran leadership change by august 22	1	$33	33	+33	No	+$0	08-19 07:34
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	10-15 02:49
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	1	$27	27	+27	No	+$0	09-16 02:06
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$19	500	+500	Yes	-$19	05-26 06:25
will bitcoin reach 70k on june 5	1	$9	9	+9	No	+$0	06-05 16:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 02:49:49	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x01b462…
09-16 02:06:24	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xce253d…
08-24 20:00:40	Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1ffe99…
08-24 07:17:07	Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xc8e280…
08-24 02:36:06	Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x305d60…
08-19 07:34:21	iran leadership change by august 22	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x685500…
07-31 23:39:48	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xb2d527…
07-04 22:04:23	Will Claude go down 0-2 times in July?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x63e355…
07-04 07:08:22	Will Claude go down 0-2 times in July?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xd84e96…
07-04 07:08:22	Will Claude go down 0-2 times in July?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x796ea8…
06-21 13:15:34	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	98¢	$77	0x53f53f…
06-12 15:43:09	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x505419…
06-05 16:57:24	will bitcoin reach 70k on june 5	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x707b6c…
05-26 06:25:01	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	485	4¢	$18	0x2061bc…
05-26 06:24:22	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0xb1eac0…
05-04 13:48:24	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x9ed4ea…
04-03 07:42:05	Will Claude go down 0-2 times in April?	No	BUY	215	100¢	$215	0x12aceb…
04-02 09:43:25	P2P FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xeb5d7b…
03-21 13:01:57	will nflx reach 455 in march	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x9e087e…
03-08 02:44:07	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x267d8b…
01-28 03:40:13	will the us next strike iran on january 27 2026 et 332	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x5a7ae7…
01-13 02:01:21	us strikes iran by january 12 2026 314	No	BUY	48	99¢	$47	0x0eac61…