Thin-Reset — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

289

Trades

290

lifetime

Volume

$3.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-06 06:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 234 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on November 6?	No		+9	$9	100¢	$9	+$0	11-06 06:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 07:28
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:16
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 10:01
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 03:48
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-11 08:11
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 07:23
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-09 06:47
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-08 10:31
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 06:10
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 01:32
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 10:41
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-07 01:42
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-06 15:18
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-06 04:56
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-05 11:24
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 05:50
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 02:34
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-03 12:27
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C or higher on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 04:31
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-12 02:20
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:15
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 06:54
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 6 2026 29c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-06 09:41
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 21c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-05 08:54
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 25corhigher	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 15:05
highest temperature in denver on april 2 2026 70 71f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 02:29
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 14:41
highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 06:32
highest temperature in hong kong on april 1 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 14:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 06:32:09	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on November 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x444dc2…
11-03 17:01:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfa1ee3…
11-02 06:23:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x5236ff…
10-31 15:55:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x3251a6…
10-30 14:55:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xedd21a…
10-29 17:52:02	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5898d0…
10-29 09:27:58	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb3b9c5…
10-28 07:54:05	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3cd83f…
10-27 09:18:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00e022…
10-26 09:32:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d7a79…
10-24 11:48:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x80ac25…
10-22 10:27:09	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc3cbb6…
10-20 07:42:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd3fced…
10-19 09:23:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x87e3c4…
10-18 10:15:08	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8d6d40…
10-17 15:40:21	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb66561…
10-16 10:04:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d40a5…
10-15 13:34:58	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf1c3a7…
10-14 09:45:04	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x17baa2…
10-13 09:24:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x58978b…
10-12 09:32:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc3485f…
10-11 09:13:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf83373…
10-08 12:28:21	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7da688…
10-07 15:35:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54847a…
10-06 15:06:03	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf1c625…
10-05 06:25:43	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or below on October 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd4a4ff…
10-03 08:47:00	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x41df5a…
10-02 13:14:24	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc954c0…
10-01 08:32:27	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x07fd11…
09-30 02:42:54	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C or below on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdb3a27…
09-28 09:57:59	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x60250e…
09-27 09:05:32	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x405785…
09-25 16:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe4c69a…
09-24 08:43:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfeb862…
09-23 08:49:26	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x60be39…
09-22 08:34:52	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc3c7ff…
09-21 09:40:35	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xab262a…
09-20 05:55:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3eee65…
09-19 08:57:19	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaffa9e…
09-18 07:45:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6226e0…
09-17 04:12:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc610ea…
09-16 08:55:37	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x98159c…
09-15 10:20:18	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x388928…
09-14 09:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb37477…
09-13 02:51:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe060ed…
09-11 09:23:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x695a58…
09-10 08:42:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xff726e…
09-09 02:38:45	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf20bb5…
09-08 06:14:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x48513c…
09-07 08:45:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x665ea1…
09-06 16:03:57	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa5dad4…
09-06 10:43:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf0ec3f…
09-05 01:21:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x28ab23…
09-04 01:00:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf3f39e…
09-02 07:55:19	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x900c07…
08-30 09:21:00	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa12db2…
08-29 09:43:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4c83d7…
08-28 08:51:58	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x67ce22…
08-27 09:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x143bf6…
08-26 08:44:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1fde5c…
08-25 09:42:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x52c60d…
08-24 14:05:43	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xfa080c…
08-23 15:05:55	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb3c39e…
08-22 09:05:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9e6534…
08-21 07:52:55	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd8f8f7…
08-20 09:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x251700…
08-18 08:30:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xab3333…
08-17 08:20:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb78ec4…
08-16 14:23:42	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5e7a05…
08-15 10:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x28d384…
08-14 06:57:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x94da3c…
08-13 09:02:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc0368…
08-12 09:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc616ea…
08-11 07:02:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x859a08…
08-10 08:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6080ab…
08-09 06:15:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x76c678…
08-08 07:43:21	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a73ba…
08-07 07:52:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3899d2…
08-06 07:40:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa9217a…
08-05 08:03:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x66f7a6…
08-04 08:26:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf4ecf…
08-03 07:43:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x42bca0…
08-02 06:33:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6c2db5…
08-01 07:12:53	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc45933…
07-31 13:51:09	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e4b69…
07-30 07:04:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6d0572…
07-29 07:14:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x141ec9…
07-28 07:08:39	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x454d97…
07-27 09:37:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb5bef0…
07-26 07:25:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f2d93…
07-25 08:35:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbe9b2e…
07-24 13:34:01	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1d3c52…
07-23 08:17:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2413db…
07-22 02:10:03	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7e8dbe…
07-21 09:20:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8d168f…
07-21 00:21:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xabe7fa…
07-20 08:05:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5475e1…
07-18 23:27:16	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f8d36…
07-18 05:11:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x256e3f…
07-17 07:26:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf6e76…