Realized P&L
+$886
Unrealized P&L
-$283
Hit rate
88.8%
Resolved
113
Trades
975
lifetime
Volume
$42.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$44
Open exposure
$5.48K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-26 22:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
62% 89% +$493
Politics
22% 71% +$717
Sports
15% 67% -$325
Tech
0% 100% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 291 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +981 $942 94¢ $917 -$25 10-26 11:09
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +765 $758 99¢ $756 -$2 10-23 02:36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +736 $734 100¢ $734 $0 10-26 10:26
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +315 $314 100¢ $314 $0 10-26 09:23
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +305 $305 100¢ $305 +$0 10-26 14:50
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%? No +291 $291 100¢ $290 $0 10-25 20:10
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +500 $335 56¢ $283 -$52 10-25 03:45
Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +242 $242 100¢ $242 $0 10-26 08:54
Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +234 $233 100¢ $233 $0 10-21 02:17
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? No +186 $151 90¢ $168 +$18 10-25 03:44
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +453 $367 32¢ $147 -$220 10-25 14:08
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? No +139 $118 84¢ $118 +$0 10-25 03:45
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +108 $107 99¢ $107 +$0 10-26 12:14
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +102 $98 100¢ $102 +$4 10-22 10:54
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +89 $89 100¢ $89 $0 10-21 16:36
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +86 $75 99¢ $85 +$10 10-25 17:48
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +76 $75 99¢ $75 +$0 10-24 00:33
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +69 $68 100¢ $68 $0 10-21 22:20
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +65 $65 100¢ $65 +$0 10-26 02:36
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +94 $45 52¢ $49 +$4 10-16 17:56
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +63 $58 69¢ $43 -$14 10-22 15:23
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +44 $41 94¢ $41 $0 10-26 11:20
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +36 $36 99¢ $36 +$0 10-20 21:12
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $33 98¢ $33 +$1 10-14 04:22
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $33 98¢ $33 +$0 10-15 16:09
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +42 $38 76¢ $32 -$5 10-22 15:04
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +36 $29 85¢ $30 +$1 10-25 14:43
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +31 $30 97¢ $30 $0 10-21 04:31
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +31 $30 93¢ $29 -$1 10-21 22:18
Will Brooklyn Nets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +26 $26 100¢ $26 $0 10-14 04:22