Realized P&L (7d)
+$498
Unrealized P&L
+$130
Hit rate
87.6%
Resolved (7d)
97
Trades (7d)
765
979 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$39.3K
$42.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$44
Open exposure
$5.42K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-27 19:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
62% 88% +$159
Politics
22% 69% +$715
Sports
15% 67% -$325
Tech
0% 100% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 291 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +981 $942 96¢ $942 $0 10-26 11:09
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +765 $758 99¢ $756 -$2 10-23 02:36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +736 $734 100¢ $733 -$1 10-26 10:26
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +315 $314 100¢ $314 $0 10-26 09:23
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +305 $305 100¢ $305 +$0 10-26 14:50
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%? No +291 $291 100¢ $290 $0 10-25 20:10
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +500 $335 56¢ $283 -$52 10-25 03:45
Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +242 $242 100¢ $242 $0 10-26 08:54
Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +234 $233 100¢ $233 $0 10-21 02:17
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +240 $69 96¢ $232 +$163 10-27 19:35
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? No +186 $151 92¢ $170 +$19 10-25 03:44
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? No +139 $118 84¢ $118 +$0 10-25 03:45
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +108 $107 99¢ $107 +$0 10-26 12:14
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +89 $89 100¢ $89 $0 10-21 16:36
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +76 $75 99¢ $75 +$0 10-24 00:33
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +69 $68 100¢ $68 $0 10-21 22:20
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +65 $65 100¢ $65 +$0 10-26 02:36
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +94 $45 52¢ $49 +$3 10-16 17:56
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +44 $41 94¢ $41 $0 10-26 11:20
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +36 $36 99¢ $36 +$0 10-20 21:12
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +42 $38 84¢ $36 -$2 10-22 15:04
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $33 98¢ $34 +$1 10-14 04:22
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $33 98¢ $33 +$0 10-15 16:09
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +36 $29 84¢ $30 +$1 10-25 14:43
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +31 $30 97¢ $30 $0 10-21 04:31
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +31 $30 93¢ $29 -$1 10-21 22:18
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? No +27 $26 96¢ $26 $0 10-25 21:24
Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +21 $20 95¢ $20 +$0 10-19 14:04
Will Lamar Jackson win the 2026 NFL MVP? No +19 $18 98¢ $19 +$1 10-14 10:36
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? No +18 $17 97¢ $18 +$0 10-25 05:49