Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$747

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

32.0%

Resolved

382

Trades

777

lifetime

Volume

$4.92K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 04-14 11:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Other

63% 37% -$261

Crypto

17% 33% +$9

Politics

12% 37% -$396

Sports

4% 33% -$48

Tech

4% 30% -$51

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	7	$225	80	540	-460	Yes	-$295	03-06 05:38
tfx quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 26 2026 3pt74	2	$106	88	88	+0	No	+$69	02-26 11:58
will rob rausch win the traitors us season 4	5	$98	238	238	+0	Yes	-$2	02-24 19:49
will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	12	$80	599	600	-1	No	-$8	03-04 13:11
j1100 jef rey 2026 03 06 rey	5	$76	52	52	+0	No	+$26	03-07 05:42
will gta 6 cost 100	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	02-26 06:07
XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-14 21:00 UTC	8	$60	140	0	+140	Up	-$20	02-14 23:17
bitboy convicted	5	$56	32	32	+0	No	+$4	02-17 18:23
senator eichorn guilty of soliciting a child	3	$54	28	28	+0	No	-$1	02-18 01:00
bynd quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 25 2026 neg0pt08	10	$51	58	56	+1	No	-$14	03-06 19:04
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	5	$48	43	43	+0	Yes	-$2	03-09 16:55
elc nor swe 2026 02 25 nor	4	$47	132	132	+0	Yes	-$3	02-24 01:45
urbn quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 25 2026 1pt25	2	$47	60	0	+60	No	-$47	02-24 22:54
highest temperature in miami on february 23 2026 65forbelow	2	$46	96	96	+0	Yes	-$4	02-22 14:51
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on february 22	2	$46	204	204	+0	Yes	$0	02-22 14:53
will the price of xrp be between 1pt40 1pt50 on february 22	5	$45	147	147	+0	No	-$1	02-22 08:33
googl close above 310 on february 23 2026	3	$44	230	146	+84	Yes	-$20	02-23 16:30
will elon cut the budget by at least 5 in 2025	10	$41	33	10	+23	No	+$1	02-18 11:03
will claude go down 11 times in march	2	$41	70	0	+70	Yes	-$41	03-24 11:43
will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt7	6	$40	364	364	+0	No	-$11	03-30 23:27
meta close above 650 on february 23 2026	2	$39	32	32	+0	No	-$11	02-23 15:01
will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the march meeting	5	$38	320	43	+278	No	-$29	03-19 23:38
xrp above 1pt4 on february 22	2	$37	62	62	+0	No	+$0	02-22 13:30
will mrbeasts next video get between 59 and 61 million views on day 4	4	$37	38	26	+12	No	+$24	03-11 09:59
will the sp 500 index lose at least 3 on any day in q1	3	$36	255	255	+0	No	-$15	03-29 13:27
will trump deport 750000 or more people in 2025	6	$34	35	0	+35	No	+$2	02-17 07:39
bitcoin up or down on february 25	7	$32	87	87	+0	Up	-$18	02-25 10:13
will the price of solana be between 80 90 on february 24	2	$31	30	30	+0	No	-$11	02-23 06:56
will bitcoin dip to 68k on march 11	4	$30	74	73	+0	No	-$24	03-11 17:37
burl quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 05 2026 4pt58	8	$30	89	87	+2	Yes	-$3	03-05 11:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-14 11:36:05	will russia enter borova by april 30	Yes	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0x428833…
04-12 14:56:33	will tisza win at least 110 seats	No	SELL	15	26¢	$4	0x09269f…
04-12 08:35:25	will tisza win at least 110 seats	No	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0xe14d67…
04-05 14:19:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x345e28…
04-04 08:32:31	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0xb8988a…
04-04 05:09:05	any of the stolen kitkats recovered by april 5	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x3ce929…
04-03 10:27:27	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0xe58960…
04-03 10:07:57	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	11	34¢	$4	0x57db13…
04-02 18:37:21	chatgpt outage by april 3	No	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x88324f…
04-02 09:29:45	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0xd52a6b…
04-02 00:12:17	sp 500 breaks its losing streak this week	No	SELL	63	4¢	$3	0x16b1d1…
04-01 21:32:39	sp 500 breaks its losing streak this week	No	BUY	63	6¢	$4	0x5293ab…
04-01 06:44:51	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	Yes	SELL	24	6¢	$1	0x4206ad…
04-01 03:01:41	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0xb0d4c8…
03-31 16:03:31	will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	Yes	SELL	16	4¢	$1	0x8d82e4…
03-31 14:05:35	any of the stolen kitkats recovered by april 5	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xcb58d5…
03-31 11:50:27	will gold gc settle over 4600 on the final trading day of march 2026	No	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0x631c8f…
03-31 06:28:45	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	Yes	BUY	24	10¢	$2	0xe7cac7…
03-30 23:27:45	will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt7	Yes	SELL	23	4¢	$1	0x81ea20…
03-30 22:31:01	will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt7	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xfbba45…
03-30 22:31:01	will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt7	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x2ab282…
03-30 22:31:01	will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt7	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x11e9aa…
03-30 18:33:03	will russia enter rai oleksandrivka by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xc0ae33…
03-30 18:24:29	will russia enter rai oleksandrivka by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x9d0bb6…
03-30 17:11:03	will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt7	Yes	SELL	41	4¢	$2	0x5570b1…
03-30 16:13:17	over 500 us flights cancelled on march 30	Yes	SELL	33	3¢	$1	0x776376…
03-30 11:53:16	will russia enter rai oleksandrivka by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0x0fe5dd…
03-30 09:44:50	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x4ea1d7…
03-30 09:44:48	will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	Yes	BUY	16	18¢	$3	0x706e99…
03-30 09:44:40	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xeb45cc…
03-30 09:11:54	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	SELL	13	78¢	$10	0x900c91…
03-30 08:58:22	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xd28a12…
03-30 07:14:24	over 500 us flights cancelled on march 30	Yes	BUY	18	7¢	$1	0x72adec…
03-30 05:16:24	will russia enter borova by april 30	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0xd85abb…
03-30 05:14:52	over 500 us flights cancelled on march 30	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x65c31f…
03-30 04:26:46	over 500 us flights cancelled on march 30	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xa97e93…
03-30 04:26:40	over 500 us flights cancelled on march 30	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x38b818…
03-30 04:02:06	over 500 us flights cancelled on march 30	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xb0b7d3…
03-30 04:02:02	over 500 us flights cancelled on march 30	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xc08ea9…
03-30 04:01:56	over 500 us flights cancelled on march 30	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x826b5f…
03-30 03:59:32	over 500 us flights cancelled on march 30	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xcbba92…
03-30 03:59:26	over 500 us flights cancelled on march 30	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xde2571…
03-30 03:59:22	over 500 us flights cancelled on march 30	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x78b9c3…
03-30 03:50:42	over 500 us flights cancelled on march 30	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x7ae6a1…
03-30 03:50:34	over 500 us flights cancelled on march 30	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x330fe9…
03-30 03:50:22	over 500 us flights cancelled on march 30	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x7156c4…
03-30 03:50:16	over 500 us flights cancelled on march 30	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xda5a1a…
03-30 01:47:46	over 500 us flights cancelled on march 30	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x6e6d25…
03-30 01:13:42	will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt7	Yes	BUY	364	7¢	$25	0x66feee…
03-29 23:57:42	over 500 us flights cancelled on march 30	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x035b7c…
03-29 23:57:18	over 500 us flights cancelled on march 30	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x3f6c74…
03-29 23:13:04	over 500 us flights cancelled on march 30	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0xc1f0f4…
03-29 22:41:50	will russia enter verkhnia tersa by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x70ec53…
03-29 22:01:46	will the bank of israel decrease the bank of israel interest rate after the march decision	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0xff6e72…
03-29 21:39:14	will the number of us flights delayed on march 30 be between 6500 and 7000	No	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xa88d89…
03-29 19:04:16	will russia enter verkhnia tersa by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	16	4¢	$1	0xa4beba…
03-29 18:58:14	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	No	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x08e541…
03-29 18:28:30	will jeff bezos be 3rd richest person on march 31	No	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xd21682…
03-29 18:07:56	will russia enter verkhnia tersa by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	28	4¢	$1	0xea4fc2…
03-29 17:53:08	will hikaru nakamura win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	Yes	SELL	12	12¢	$1	0x36704b…
03-29 14:29:02	will russia enter borova by april 30	Yes	BUY	28	14¢	$4	0xb0c326…
03-29 13:27:06	will the sp 500 index lose at least 3 on any day in q1	Yes	SELL	147	4¢	$6	0x41c813…
03-29 12:51:20	will the sp 500 index lose at least 3 on any day in q1	Yes	SELL	108	4¢	$4	0xa0076e…
03-29 12:25:32	will russia enter rai oleksandrivka by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	57	7¢	$4	0x8c2a24…
03-29 12:01:24	will russia enter verkhnia tersa by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0x19ce12…
03-29 10:44:56	over 500 us flights cancelled on march 29	Yes	BUY	39	7¢	$3	0xdb5622…
03-29 09:16:24	will google have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	No	SELL	57	5¢	$3	0x2ad8be…
03-29 05:59:16	will usdai launch a token by march 31	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xbf4a93…
03-29 00:49:24	will the sp 500 index lose at least 3 on any day in q1	Yes	BUY	255	10¢	$26	0x642de7…
03-29 00:06:32	will google have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	57	7¢	$4	0x376174…
03-28 22:28:48	over 500 us flights cancelled on march 29	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x785b54…
03-28 22:24:08	over 500 us flights cancelled on march 29	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xea1168…
03-28 22:15:28	over 500 us flights cancelled on march 29	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0xcabdf6…
03-28 18:33:59	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xccc460…
03-28 16:02:09	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xdfbc25…
03-28 16:01:55	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x4c6379…
03-28 15:49:15	will optic texas win dreamhack major 2	No	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0x6d3c68…
03-27 21:51:29	will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 273	No	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x8f5370…
03-27 21:23:45	will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 81 million views on week 1	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xc4c2bf…
03-27 21:13:51	will 20 24 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 23 29	No	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x49605b…
03-27 19:29:33	will gold gc settle over 4600 on the final trading day of march 2026	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xdfe489…
03-27 16:21:41	will tsla close below 360 week march 27 2026	Yes	BUY	26	15¢	$4	0x839c9d…
03-27 13:44:59	will pltr close below 146 week march 27 2026	No	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x996d21…
03-27 13:23:31	will fewer than 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 23 29	Yes	SELL	58	3¢	$2	0xc948f0…
03-27 09:29:53	will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x72f0fa…
03-27 08:44:33	will fewer than 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 23 29	Yes	BUY	58	7¢	$4	0x4884fe…
03-27 06:46:15	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt5 by march 31	Yes	BUY	151	17¢	$25	0x66ea1f…
03-26 20:54:33	will mrbeast hit 474 million subscribers by march 31 977 964	No	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x9e2689…
03-26 19:56:51	will silver si settle at 75 in march	No	SELL	28	18¢	$5	0x40021d…
03-26 14:55:29	will meta close below 560 week march 27 2026	No	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x27ffcc…
03-26 14:31:29	will googl close below 285 week march 27 2026	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xa1a8ae…
03-26 12:14:39	will mrbeast hit 474 million subscribers by march 31 977 964	No	SELL	1	45¢	$1	0x213fe5…
03-26 12:12:55	chatgpt outage by april 3	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xe3deab…
03-26 10:20:33	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x6c8bd0…
03-26 08:41:19	will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 273	No	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x807222…
03-26 08:21:31	will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 287	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x429757…
03-26 06:41:07	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xcbd00b…
03-26 06:02:39	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x958370…
03-26 06:00:51	will sergey brin be 3rd richest person on march 31	No	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x44dee8…
03-26 06:00:37	will sergey brin be 3rd richest person on march 31	No	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x0ca2c2…