Outlandish-Balcony — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$563

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.6%

Resolved

312

Trades

609

lifetime

Volume

$5.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 10-26 20:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 96 days

Categories

Politics

64% 79% +$537

Crypto

20% 100% +$2

Other

17% 91% +$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ph win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	28	$816	71,862	71,862	+0	No	+$108	04-14 05:07
will the indian national congress inc win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	18	$813	121,912	121,912	+0	No	+$135	04-24 10:14
will la u win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	58	$619	94,930	94,930	+0	No	+$140	04-13 04:15
will green alliance win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	26	$340	30,078	30,078	-0	No	+$53	03-31 05:36
will conservative win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	26	$338	39,183	39,183	+0	No	+$54	04-07 03:54
will la u win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	12	$150	50,055	50,055	+0	No	+$50	03-18 06:06
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 480 499	10	$116	58	58	+0	No	$0	02-23 08:05
Will Yoshihiko Noda be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	64	$115	57,540	57,540	+0	No	+$0	02-10 16:28
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 140 164	2	$57	30	30	+0	No	+$3	03-09 09:35
will afd win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	4	$35	11,706	11,706	+0	No	+$12	03-09 13:31
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	3	$35	20	20	+0	No	+$4	03-31 08:03
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 0 39	3	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	03-30 05:25
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 100 119	1	$26	27	0	+27	No	+$1	03-04 03:35
Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	2	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	10-04 07:43
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 180 199	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	03-03 06:43
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 0 39	1	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$1	03-16 07:45
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$19	20	20	+0	Yes	-$4	02-28 06:27
Will Fumitake Fujita be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	8	$16	8,000	8,000	+0	No	+$0	02-11 06:24
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	3	$15	10	5	+5	No	$0	10-09 20:28
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	3	$15	10	5	+5	No	$0	10-09 20:28
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	3	$14	10	5	+5	No	-$1	10-09 20:28
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	3	$14	15	0	+15	No	+$1	04-03 09:11
will islami andolan bangladesh win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	6	$11	5,400	5,400	+0	No	+$0	02-13 04:34
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by march 31 2026	6	$10	36	36	+0	Yes	+$0	02-20 09:15
donald trump of truth social posts february 24 march 3 80 99	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	02-28 09:03
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 360 379	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-16 15:33
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 320 339	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-23 02:12
Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	10-17 09:39
donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 180 199	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-27 05:33
Will CZ post 140-159 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	10-01 15:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 20:55:15	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa4ccd4…
10-26 20:55:03	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0f9c12…
10-26 20:54:48	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaa2747…
10-26 20:54:32	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x66080a…
10-20 21:59:06	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2df6d4…
10-20 21:58:48	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3376c3…
10-20 21:58:38	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x943fa7…
10-20 21:58:27	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc0a785…
10-20 21:58:14	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6d7e2d…
10-20 21:58:05	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6185e5…
10-20 21:57:54	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe2f880…
10-20 21:57:02	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x539f14…
10-20 21:56:53	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf7b72f…
10-20 21:56:44	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1e5a6c…
10-17 09:40:50	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc4029d…
10-17 09:40:29	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd55fb4…
10-17 09:40:21	elon musk of tweets october 17 october 19 2026 240plus	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x57dfca…
10-17 09:40:00	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x107dd9…
10-17 09:39:50	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa37c62…
10-17 09:39:45	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8325e5…
10-17 09:39:39	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdd8d31…
10-14 10:49:40	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x73fc78…
10-14 10:49:34	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa8a1f7…
10-14 10:49:28	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc5c1b9…
10-14 10:49:23	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9b9210…
10-14 10:49:10	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb31570…
10-14 10:49:04	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x82b769…
10-14 10:48:56	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x847539…
10-14 10:48:49	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x016ddf…
10-14 10:48:44	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x864759…
10-14 10:48:38	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa5bd1b…
10-14 10:48:31	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x09fc9d…
10-11 18:49:46	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xefb2df…
10-11 18:49:00	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd47561…
10-11 18:48:51	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3ac16b…
10-10 17:29:13	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xcf9baa…
10-09 20:28:50	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe0447d…
10-09 20:28:43	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7052c0…
10-09 20:28:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0827d6…
10-09 20:28:11	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc0b7e4…
10-09 20:28:05	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5e298c…
10-08 21:27:32	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6845ef…
10-08 21:27:23	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x68a4c0…
10-08 21:27:11	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x24f0ab…
10-08 21:26:59	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x39aa52…
10-08 21:26:47	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc0b64c…
10-08 21:26:30	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4fe0e3…
10-08 21:25:30	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x74a2ce…
10-08 21:25:11	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x2bba28…
10-08 21:24:57	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x352eb5…
10-08 21:24:36	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfc00c8…
10-08 21:24:05	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x39a2df…
10-08 18:49:15	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x532ccb…
10-08 18:48:56	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x33d6d3…
10-08 18:48:47	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x87b071…
10-07 15:43:50	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9b8365…
10-07 15:43:43	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x257d42…
10-07 15:43:07	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb9a778…
10-04 07:44:16	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfd7a00…
10-04 07:43:25	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x393180…
10-04 07:43:13	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa2a5f8…
10-04 07:42:55	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8b081b…
10-01 15:56:35	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc9c0d0…
10-01 15:56:24	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x238f2d…
10-01 15:55:57	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe8fa51…
10-01 15:55:50	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6fd8bf…
09-29 06:18:38	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x230a4d…
09-29 06:18:23	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf98179…
09-29 06:18:09	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xebcbec…
09-29 06:17:50	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0a5460…
09-29 06:17:08	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xed8600…
09-29 06:17:02	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa0230a…
09-22 11:25:30	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc915ce…
09-22 11:25:22	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3dfca3…
09-22 11:25:15	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf95273…
09-22 11:24:57	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0f0f7b…
09-22 11:24:48	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9310bf…
09-22 11:23:34	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6ecdbd…
09-22 11:21:43	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf371ff…
09-22 11:20:27	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8611d5…
09-22 11:20:15	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x01c9ba…
09-18 03:37:10	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6964fd…
09-18 03:36:57	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x79121a…
09-18 03:36:04	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x648d08…
09-18 03:35:00	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbb88de…
09-18 03:34:46	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x903b6e…
09-18 03:33:55	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb4661b…
09-18 03:33:34	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd285ad…
09-18 03:33:24	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0437dc…
09-06 10:21:07	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x36095b…
09-06 10:20:57	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x03e024…
09-06 10:20:46	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8e7c6c…
09-06 10:20:36	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe0d0ad…
09-06 10:20:21	Will CZ post 200+ posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5bb942…
09-06 10:19:22	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3d7c26…
09-06 10:19:12	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x22977a…
09-06 10:19:04	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf6f3de…
09-06 10:18:54	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbba8e9…
09-06 10:18:39	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3a90af…
08-31 21:00:01	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0f5ed5…