Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
No won
Total volume
$14,896
Trades
888
Unique wallets
157
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-10-09
First seen
2026-09-29
last 10-09 05:45
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+2.0¢
(top1%: 4% YES on $3.4K
vs crowd: 2% YES on $15.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 36 | $113 | $5.9K | $5.8K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 36 | $91 | $8.1K | $8.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 34 | $133 | $894 | $761 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 51 | $38 | $160 | $122 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 39 | $151 | $3.3K | $3.1K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 39 | $23 | $6.1K | $6.0K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 11 | $5 | $550 | $545 |
| Median | 8 | $3 | $35 | $32 |
| Below median | 13 | $25 | $20 | +$5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 14 | $25 | $387 | $362 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 17 | $101 | $2.1K | $2.0K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 16 | $42 | $2.5K | $2.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Royal-Knickers 0xb831…892b | Yes | +27,964 | $11 | $48 | 6 | 10-08 23:00 |
| Academic-Fault 0xcba3…6055 | Yes | +6,098 | -$12 | $34 | 20 | 10-09 00:37 |
| Idolized-Clam 0x9263…1999 | Yes | +5,150 | $9 | $16 | 8 | 10-08 20:57 |
| Mortified-Samurai 0x7db5…cf18 | Yes | +5,000 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 09-30 14:22 |
| Aged-Sunlamp 0x8b04…84da | No | +5,000 | $4,995 | $4,995 | 2 | 10-08 15:26 |
| Automatic-Cappuccino 0x3423…fe57 | Yes | +4,922 | $26 | $26 | 16 | 10-09 02:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x4262…0ef2 | Yes | +3,274 | $70 | $70 | 3 | 10-08 17:09 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Clank 0x7500…567f | Yes | +3,000 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-08 13:21 |
| Starry-Ruler 0x8f66…b986 | Yes | +2,808 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 10-01 13:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +2,585 | $17 | $17 | 46 | 10-09 03:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +2,485 | $2,465 | $2,465 | 63 | 10-09 02:22 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | +2,454 | $13 | $13 | 23 | 10-09 05:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x2eb6…3e31 | Yes | +2,363 | $7 | $11 | 12 | 10-09 03:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc7c…dcf3 | Yes | +1,863 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 10-08 21:47 |
| Thorough-Faith 0x36a9…c1d3 | No | +1,617 | $1,615 | $1,615 | 4 | 10-09 02:28 |
| Grounded-Gorilla 0x04eb…1ab3 | Yes | +1,600 | $12 | $12 | 5 | 10-08 21:12 |
| Cultured-Tractor 0xfa76…897e | Yes | +1,564 | $17 | $17 | 8 | 10-08 21:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xd572…7377 | Yes | +1,164 | $1 | $1 | 7 | 10-09 03:51 |
| Suburban-Heyday 0xce5a…0a70 | Yes | +1,150 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-09 03:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x9fac…3e5a | Yes | +1,121 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 10-09 00:05 |
| Favorable-Lyocell 0x2e8c…c39a | Yes | +1,100 | $2 | $2 | 4 | 10-09 02:26 |
| Noxious-Auditorium 0x546a…1988 | Yes | +1,020 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-06 06:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x776d…8577 | Yes | +1,010 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-08 14:00 |
| Elementary-Sweatshirt 0xe343…23fd | Yes | +1,002 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 10-08 16:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xe9ec…8756 | Yes | +1,000 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 10-08 18:15 |
| Frosty-Cleaner 0x4eac…ac8b | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-09 04:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x544e…86dc | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-08 07:03 |
| Experienced-Diction 0xdc36…8542 | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-08 13:34 |
| Pertinent-Bronco 0x6be9…3493 | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-08 13:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xf37b…4eda | Yes | +945 | $0 | $2 | 2 | 10-08 23:42 |
| Unlawful-Cheer 0xe9ab…fc5f | No | +936 | $934 | $934 | 3 | 10-09 03:39 |
| Vengeful-Stepsister 0xb29c…d8b9 | Yes | +906 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 10-09 00:31 |
| Intelligent-Tax 0x913f…c676 | Yes | +895 | $18 | $25 | 25 | 10-09 00:50 |
| Weird-Nylon 0x6864…294b | No | +867 | $855 | $855 | 8 | 10-09 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x13d8…06c4 | Yes | +850 | $1 | $1 | 5 | 09-29 19:07 |
| Thorough-Garment 0xbdca…bada | No | +452 | $450 | $450 | 1 | 10-08 21:24 |
| Royal-Knickers 0xb831…892b | No | +400 | $397 | $397 | 4 | 10-08 23:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x2eb6…3e31 | No | +364 | $360 | $980 | 91 | 10-09 00:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x35cb…6b22 | No | +312 | $309 | $309 | 4 | 10-09 00:30 |
| Best-Radish 0x2924…dcde | No | +273 | $270 | $270 | 1 | 10-08 23:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | No | +246 | $243 | $243 | 6 | 10-08 23:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x9be9…c030 | No | +210 | $188 | $188 | 1 | 10-08 16:55 |
| Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | +200 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 10-08 16:17 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +180 | $179 | $179 | 2 | 10-08 20:59 |
| Harsh-Macro 0x511f…cbe1 | No | +170 | $169 | $169 | 3 | 10-08 21:15 |
| Wry-Deviance 0xbcca…3e77 | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-08 17:14 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 05:45:59 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | BUY | 680 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xa09037… |
| 10-09 05:45:59 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 508 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xa09037… |
| 10-09 05:45:59 | Roasted-Honey 0x93fd…7e2f | Yes | SELL | 172 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa09037… |
| 10-09 04:55:25 | Frosty-Cleaner 0x4eac…ac8b | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xf936f7… |
| 10-09 04:55:25 | (anonymous) 0x115a…9d44 | Yes | SELL | 458 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf936f7… |
| 10-09 04:55:25 | (anonymous) 0x3f18…25ec | Yes | SELL | 44 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf936f7… |
| 10-09 04:55:25 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf936f7… |
| 10-09 04:55:25 | Roasted-Honey 0x93fd…7e2f | Yes | SELL | 227 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf936f7… |
| 10-09 03:51:03 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | BUY | 597 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x69650c… |
| 10-09 03:51:03 | Best-Radish 0x2924…dcde | Yes | SELL | 1,565 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x69650c… |
| 10-09 03:51:03 | (anonymous) 0x3f18…25ec | Yes | BUY | 78 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x69650c… |
| 10-09 03:51:03 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x69650c… |
| 10-09 03:51:03 | (anonymous) 0xd572…7377 | Yes | BUY | 147 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x69650c… |
| 10-09 03:51:03 | (anonymous) 0x2eb6…3e31 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x69650c… |
| 10-09 03:48:05 | (anonymous) 0xd572…7377 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x915da6… |
| 10-09 03:48:05 | (anonymous) 0x15a7…c194 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x915da6… |
| 10-09 03:39:50 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb6a145… |
| 10-09 03:39:50 | Unlawful-Cheer 0xe9ab…fc5f | No | BUY | 150 | 100¢ | $150 | 0xb6a145… |
| 10-09 03:37:38 | (anonymous) 0x4e3c…bc74 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xc93273… |
| 10-09 03:37:38 | (anonymous) 0xd572…7377 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc93273… |
| 10-09 03:25:03 | (anonymous) 0x640d…8f66 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x72964b… |
| 10-09 03:25:03 | Unlawful-Cheer 0xe9ab…fc5f | No | BUY | 500 | 100¢ | $499 | 0x72964b… |
| 10-09 03:22:51 | Suburban-Heyday 0xce5a…0a70 | Yes | BUY | 1,150 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x266a78… |
| 10-09 03:22:51 | Healthy-Oats 0xe21e…4d48 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x266a78… |
| 10-09 03:22:51 | Unlawful-Cheer 0xe9ab…fc5f | No | BUY | 286 | 100¢ | $285 | 0x266a78… |
| 10-09 03:22:51 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 734 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x266a78… |
| 10-09 03:22:51 | Oddball-Deviance 0x590e…e43d | Yes | SELL | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x266a78… |
| 10-09 03:05:24 | (anonymous) 0xd572…7377 | Yes | BUY | 400 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9aae2f… |
| 10-09 03:05:24 | Weird-Nylon 0x6864…294b | Yes | SELL | 400 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9aae2f… |
| 10-09 03:02:02 | Weird-Nylon 0x6864…294b | Yes | SELL | 300 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfae9f6… |
| 10-09 03:02:02 | (anonymous) 0xd572…7377 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfae9f6… |
| 10-09 02:32:18 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 105 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd28d58… |
| 10-09 02:32:18 | Automatic-Cappuccino 0x3423…fe57 | Yes | BUY | 105 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd28d58… |
| 10-09 02:32:17 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 113 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0b87c2… |
| 10-09 02:32:17 | Automatic-Cappuccino 0x3423…fe57 | Yes | BUY | 113 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0b87c2… |
| 10-09 02:28:08 | (anonymous) 0xd572…7377 | Yes | BUY | 217 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd44c08… |
| 10-09 02:28:08 | Thorough-Faith 0x36a9…c1d3 | No | BUY | 217 | 100¢ | $217 | 0xd44c08… |
| 10-09 02:26:50 | (anonymous) 0xd572…7377 | Yes | BUY | 88 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x108c04… |
| 10-09 02:26:50 | Favorable-Lyocell 0x2e8c…c39a | Yes | BUY | 436 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x108c04… |
| 10-09 02:26:50 | Thorough-Faith 0x36a9…c1d3 | No | BUY | 600 | 100¢ | $599 | 0x108c04… |
| 10-09 02:26:50 | (anonymous) 0x0bdb…baca | Yes | BUY | 26 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x108c04… |
| 10-09 02:26:50 | Healthy-Oats 0xe21e…4d48 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x108c04… |
| 10-09 02:22:20 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0xac485f… |
| 10-09 02:22:20 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 48 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xac485f… |
| 10-09 02:22:20 | Vague-Optimization 0x0b5c…3748 | No | SELL | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xac485f… |
| 10-09 02:22:20 | Kindhearted-Strap 0x79cb…331e | Yes | SELL | 41 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xac485f… |
| 10-09 02:17:18 | Thorough-Faith 0x36a9…c1d3 | No | BUY | 600 | 100¢ | $599 | 0xec49c3… |
| 10-09 02:17:18 | Favorable-Lyocell 0x2e8c…c39a | Yes | BUY | 164 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xec49c3… |
| 10-09 02:17:18 | Kindhearted-Strap 0x79cb…331e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xec49c3… |
| 10-09 02:17:18 | Offbeat-Cloves 0x8288…5519 | Yes | BUY | 336 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xec49c3… |
| 10-09 00:53:33 | Misty-Vegetation 0x35f3…cfd0 | Yes | SELL | 4,164 | 0¢ | $5 | 0x0f81b4… |
| 10-09 00:53:33 | Offbeat-Cloves 0x8288…5519 | Yes | BUY | 2,664 | 0¢ | $3 | 0x0f81b4… |
| 10-09 00:53:33 | (anonymous) 0x2eb6…3e31 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x0f81b4… |
| 10-09 00:53:33 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x0f81b4… |
| 10-09 00:53:30 | Oddball-Deviance 0x590e…e43d | Yes | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x25793e… |
| 10-09 00:53:30 | (anonymous) 0x2eb6…3e31 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x25793e… |
| 10-09 00:53:30 | Favorable-Lyocell 0x2e8c…c39a | Yes | BUY | 61 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x25793e… |
| 10-09 00:53:30 | Kindhearted-Strap 0x79cb…331e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x25793e… |
| 10-09 00:53:30 | Healthy-Oats 0xe21e…4d48 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x25793e… |
| 10-09 00:53:30 | Misty-Vegetation 0x35f3…cfd0 | Yes | SELL | 751 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x25793e… |
| 10-09 00:50:44 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7f30c1… |
| 10-09 00:50:44 | Intelligent-Tax 0x913f…c676 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7f30c1… |
| 10-09 00:50:33 | Automatic-Cappuccino 0x3423…fe57 | Yes | BUY | 105 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x728be5… |
| 10-09 00:50:33 | Intelligent-Tax 0x913f…c676 | Yes | SELL | 105 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x728be5… |
| 10-09 00:50:21 | Automatic-Cappuccino 0x3423…fe57 | Yes | BUY | 132 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x691005… |
| 10-09 00:50:21 | Intelligent-Tax 0x913f…c676 | Yes | SELL | 132 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x691005… |
| 10-09 00:47:51 | Automatic-Cappuccino 0x3423…fe57 | Yes | BUY | 105 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcae81a… |
| 10-09 00:47:51 | Intelligent-Tax 0x913f…c676 | Yes | SELL | 105 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcae81a… |
| 10-09 00:47:11 | Automatic-Cappuccino 0x3423…fe57 | Yes | BUY | 105 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdd0562… |
| 10-09 00:47:11 | Intelligent-Tax 0x913f…c676 | Yes | SELL | 70 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xea2d24… |
| 10-09 00:47:11 | Intelligent-Tax 0x913f…c676 | Yes | SELL | 105 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdd0562… |
| 10-09 00:47:11 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xea2d24… |
| 10-09 00:45:18 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdcefc3… |
| 10-09 00:45:18 | Intelligent-Tax 0x913f…c676 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdcefc3… |
| 10-09 00:43:21 | Intelligent-Tax 0x913f…c676 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc0915c… |
| 10-09 00:43:21 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc0915c… |
| 10-09 00:43:15 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x17b043… |
| 10-09 00:43:15 | Intelligent-Tax 0x913f…c676 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x17b043… |
| 10-09 00:43:09 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdd3a7f… |
| 10-09 00:43:09 | Intelligent-Tax 0x913f…c676 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdd3a7f… |
| 10-09 00:43:02 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdd4a2b… |
| 10-09 00:43:02 | Intelligent-Tax 0x913f…c676 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdd4a2b… |
| 10-09 00:42:57 | Intelligent-Tax 0x913f…c676 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdeacb2… |
| 10-09 00:42:57 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdeacb2… |
| 10-09 00:42:50 | Intelligent-Tax 0x913f…c676 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfd77c8… |
| 10-09 00:42:50 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfd77c8… |
| 10-09 00:41:44 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6f4d34… |
| 10-09 00:41:44 | Intelligent-Tax 0x913f…c676 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6f4d34… |
| 10-09 00:41:42 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x35a788… |
| 10-09 00:41:42 | Intelligent-Tax 0x913f…c676 | Yes | SELL | 425 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x35a788… |
| 10-09 00:41:42 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x35a788… |
| 10-09 00:41:42 | (anonymous) 0x2eb6…3e31 | Yes | BUY | 400 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x35a788… |
| 10-09 00:41:32 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x465ffb… |
| 10-09 00:41:32 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x465ffb… |
| 10-09 00:41:12 | (anonymous) 0x2eb6…3e31 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe8228e… |
| 10-09 00:41:12 | Weird-Nylon 0x6864…294b | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe8228e… |
| 10-09 00:41:11 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x608022… |
| 10-09 00:41:11 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x608022… |
| 10-09 00:37:56 | Healthy-Oats 0xe21e…4d48 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc1221a… |
| 10-09 00:37:56 | Kindhearted-Strap 0x79cb…331e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc1221a… |