Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$637

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-10-07

last 10-26 19:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

76% 14% -$13

Crypto

20% 67% -$11

Politics

4% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	4	$95	152	73	+79	No	+$11	10-21 20:47
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	2	$72	261	261	+0	Yes	+$70	10-09 02:33
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	4	$51	152	58	+94	No	-$13	10-21 20:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$51	141	140	+0	Up	+$3	10-21 20:40
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	4	$49	52	52	+0	Yes	+$29	10-21 17:26
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	3	$44	536	536	+0	No	-$36	10-09 12:40
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	2	$37	361	361	+0	open	—	10-21 18:13
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	4	$31	493	493	+0	No	-$31	10-09 12:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	5	$30	22	10	+11	Up	+$1	10-07 22:13
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	3	$29	155	155	+0	No	-$3	10-21 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$25	25,000	0	+25,000	Up	-$25	10-21 20:40
Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	3	$15	254	129	+125	Down	-$5	10-07 22:17
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 4 - 1 Sevilla FC?	2	$12	14	14	+0	Yes	+$8	10-18 20:55
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	2	$11	41	0	+41	No	-$11	10-08 08:11
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	1	$10	37	0	+37	No	-$10	10-08 06:55
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	10-07 20:47
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	2	$9	78	78	+0	open	—	10-26 19:01
Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$5	18	0	+18	Down	+$13	10-07 22:36
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	1	$5	37	0	+37	No	-$5	10-09 12:41
Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	10-07 22:21
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?	2	$4	298	0	+298	No	-$4	10-19 18:48
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	2	$3	23	23	+0	open	—	10-22 19:23
Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-22?	1	$2	20	0	+20	No	-$2	10-22 19:23
Will Maccabi Haifa FC vs. Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC end in a draw?	1	$2	110	0	+110	No	-$2	10-26 19:02
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	1	$2	7	0	+7	No	-$2	10-07 21:28
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	2	$2	18	18	+0	open	—	10-22 19:13
ByteDance IPO before 2027?	2	$2	38	38	+0	open	—	10-21 07:10
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	2	$2	666	666	+0	No	$0	10-07 21:08
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	2	$2	617	617	+0	No	$0	10-07 21:08
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	2	$2	36	36	+0	Yes	$0	10-22 19:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 19:02:12	Will Maccabi Haifa FC vs. Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	110	2¢	$2	0x6e8430…
10-26 19:01:21	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	SELL	78	2¢	$2	0x7bbe7d…
10-25 19:40:32	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	BUY	78	9¢	$7	0x1e8984…
10-22 19:23:33	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x01fb3a…
10-22 19:23:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	36	2¢	$1	0x9792bd…
10-22 19:23:08	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	23	7¢	$2	0x20dc56…
10-22 19:19:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x2a2a27…
10-22 19:19:09	Databricks IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	27	2¢	$0	0xa03aef…
10-22 19:19:03	Revolut IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0x59fe7e…
10-22 19:18:57	Stripe IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	34	2¢	$1	0xe097f9…
10-22 19:18:50	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	23	8¢	$2	0xc50a46…
10-22 19:14:11	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x3a9dbf…
10-22 19:14:00	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0xb9c2b8…
10-22 19:13:53	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	5¢	$1	0x89a86d…
10-21 20:47:12	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x9c4cf3…
10-21 20:47:02	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0x32d5f2…
10-21 20:45:00	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	75	13¢	$10	0x4ad7e5…
10-21 20:44:53	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xd74dc5…
10-21 20:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	140	19¢	$27	0x40dadf…
10-21 20:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	141	17¢	$24	0x34aa1d…
10-21 20:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25,000	0¢	$25	0x7f52b8…
10-21 20:26:08	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	73	72¢	$53	0x69044a…
10-21 18:48:45	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0x917cab…
10-21 18:44:54	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	58	33¢	$19	0xfa3c96…
10-21 18:43:20	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	155	8¢	$13	0x23c81f…
10-21 18:40:38	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	58	34¢	$20	0x0538ac…
10-21 18:35:41	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	129	12¢	$15	0xa2a11e…
10-21 18:13:26	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	361	5¢	$17	0xa9e285…
10-21 17:26:05	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x0e66a2…
10-21 17:25:50	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0xb58aa9…
10-21 07:10:42	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x70ca44…
10-21 07:10:33	ByteDance IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	38	2¢	$1	0xda92c9…
10-20 09:58:59	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	361	6¢	$20	0x58b095…
10-20 09:58:41	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	32	63¢	$20	0x161222…
10-19 19:15:39	France declares state of emergency by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x902ed5…
10-19 19:15:18	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0xe502ea…
10-19 19:09:59	Revolut IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x43ab31…
10-19 19:08:51	ByteDance IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x8dfac8…
10-19 19:08:41	Stripe IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x70abd8…
10-19 18:57:17	Databricks IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xf97056…
10-19 18:48:42	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get at least 140 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x987732…
10-19 18:48:38	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 120 and 140 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa8302c…
10-19 18:48:33	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 100 and 120 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6a908a…
10-19 18:48:18	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xf91358…
10-18 20:55:56	Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 4 - 1 Sevilla FC?	Yes	SELL	14	73¢	$10	0x8b9693…
10-18 20:19:08	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xf0c4f1…
10-18 20:16:27	Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 2 - 2 Sevilla FC?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x177421…
10-18 20:14:45	Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 4 - 1 Sevilla FC?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x0101b9…
10-18 11:48:45	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	246	1¢	$3	0xee4a5a…
10-17 03:56:21	will grand theft auto vi launch trailer get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1	Yes	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0xfea5b0…
10-09 12:41:36	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	493	0¢	$0	0x832f35…
10-09 12:41:22	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	13¢	$5	0x3185b9…
10-09 12:40:46	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	536	1¢	$4	0x605c5b…
10-09 06:22:34	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	446	7¢	$30	0xcc619a…
10-09 05:26:53	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	245	4¢	$10	0xf609a2…
10-09 05:26:45	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	11¢	$10	0xaa6dc5…
10-09 03:25:20	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	236	8¢	$20	0x7353ee…
10-09 03:25:11	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x75227f…
10-09 03:25:09	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf83276…
10-09 03:25:05	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x413cc3…
10-09 03:25:03	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd1341d…
10-09 03:25:03	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x72964b…
10-09 02:33:06	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	261	27¢	$71	0xa00b3b…
10-08 08:11:19	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xa1b16f…
10-08 06:55:23	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xd30cd9…
10-07 22:36:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x149817…
10-07 22:21:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xf2c2f7…
10-07 22:17:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xc4f27a…
10-07 22:17:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	129	4¢	$5	0x14f4a9…
10-07 22:16:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	129	4¢	$5	0x7c5f27…
10-07 22:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x7168e9…
10-07 22:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2fcd50…
10-07 22:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xe3bec2…
10-07 22:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb574f2…
10-07 22:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x27b976…
10-07 21:28:45	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x76a0b0…
10-07 21:08:53	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	666	0¢	$1	0x27d75d…
10-07 21:08:29	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	617	0¢	$1	0x46aaec…
10-07 21:07:28	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x6eeda9…
10-07 21:07:19	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	1¢	$1	0x71a1a3…
10-07 21:07:16	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	261	0¢	$1	0x034a9e…
10-07 20:51:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xac407b…
10-07 20:50:16	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x8b6e7d…
10-07 20:47:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbc685e…
10-07 20:32:56	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8f646e…
10-07 20:32:51	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	617	0¢	$1	0xd4290b…
10-07 20:32:41	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	666	0¢	$1	0xaeedff…