Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$287

Unrealized P&L

-$27

Hit rate

72.8%

Resolved

Trades

115

lifetime

Volume

$3.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-17

last 10-26 21:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

92% 32% +$252

Politics

8% 100% +$35

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?	Yes		+75	$29	3¢	$2	-$27	08-17 02:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	4	$339	215	215	+0	Yes	+$8	10-26 15:53
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	11	$298	1,240	0	+1,240	No	+$942	10-24 21:33
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	1	$245	303	0	+303	Yes	+$58	10-06 11:37
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $524,000 and $530,000 on September 30?	2	$232	436	0	+436	Yes	+$205	09-25 21:12
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	5	$231	251	100	+151	No	+$6	10-06 13:57
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	2	$221	258	258	+0	open	—	10-07 19:56
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	2	$199	153	153	+0	open	—	10-07 19:56
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$190	205	0	+205	No	+$14	10-26 21:32
Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	9	$174	347	347	-0	Yes	+$35	10-25 02:47
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,169,000 and $1,185,000 on September 30?	2	$147	171	171	+0	No	-$11	09-26 17:54
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,153,000 and $1,169,000 on September 30?	2	$124	168	168	+0	Yes	+$14	09-22 19:23
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,161,000 and $1,196,000 on September 30?	4	$95	419	419	+0	No	-$69	09-27 16:17
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	2	$82	167	167	+0	No	+$2	10-06 20:40
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	3	$74	163	163	+0	No	-$14	10-07 15:48
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?	1	$65	115	0	+115	Yes	+$51	09-26 18:32
Will White House post 200+ posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	4	$59	241	241	+0	Yes	-$21	10-07 15:48
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	5	$57	458	458	+0	No	-$24	10-07 15:46
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	5	$54	1,983	1,983	+0	No	-$38	10-07 15:46
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	3	$48	147	147	+0	resolved	-$45	10-25 22:55
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	2	$46	55	0	+55	No	+$9	10-06 15:45
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	4	$43	24,090	0	+24,090	No	-$43	10-07 07:58
Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	3	$36	125	125	+0	resolved	-$33	10-26 15:09
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 16, 2026?	1	$30	250	0	+250	No	-$30	10-07 20:01
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	2	$29	59	0	+59	Yes	+$30	10-06 13:20
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?	1	$29	75	0	+75	open	—	08-17 02:38
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 1, 2026?	2	$28	20	20	+0	Yes	+$7	10-06 18:23
Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	2	$27	40	0	+40	Yes	-$27	10-09 07:49
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	4	$22	11,300	0	+11,300	No	-$22	10-07 04:31
Will MrBeast hit 145 billion views by October 31?	1	$21	30	0	+30	open	—	10-24 23:14
Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3m?	3	$19	166	0	+166	No	-$19	10-08 20:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 21:32:48	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	205	93¢	$190	0xd0fe54…
10-26 15:53:11	Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	98	85¢	$83	0xe9a5cd…
10-26 15:09:41	Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0x0fda50…
10-26 00:19:06	Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	97	77¢	$75	0x4332f2…
10-25 23:21:14	Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0xe93e22…
10-25 23:10:50	Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	215	77¢	$166	0x4ca9c3…
10-25 22:55:14	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	147	1¢	$2	0xd5b072…
10-25 03:03:11	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	130	34¢	$44	0x762c63…
10-25 03:02:48	Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0xa83d78…
10-25 02:53:51	Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	65	22¢	$15	0x6a8f4e…
10-25 02:53:20	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	18	15¢	$3	0xebaa7a…
10-25 02:47:18	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	347	30¢	$104	0xe91936…
10-25 02:01:09	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	25	29¢	$7	0xd0cc86…
10-25 01:58:05	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	36	26¢	$9	0xd6074d…
10-24 23:14:14	Will MrBeast hit 145 billion views by October 31?	Yes	BUY	30	73¢	$21	0x8e7349…
10-24 22:54:03	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	27	22¢	$6	0x2807ce…
10-24 21:33:47	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x9b50c7…
10-24 20:57:54	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x99f7ab…
10-24 20:55:05	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	597	23¢	$137	0x3b7d91…
10-24 20:11:59	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x36e74d…
10-24 20:11:47	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	75	18¢	$14	0xd6e69f…
10-24 20:01:21	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x2e631c…
10-24 19:42:51	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xfe83bf…
10-24 19:35:09	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xc61e22…
10-24 19:22:38	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x2153f1…
10-24 19:14:45	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	110	18¢	$20	0xc5a909…
10-24 18:57:59	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x31581f…
10-24 18:56:20	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x020ad5…
10-24 18:39:11	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x5bbdca…
10-24 18:29:57	Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	109	5¢	$6	0xcea612…
10-24 18:29:27	Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	70	5¢	$4	0x351443…
10-24 18:28:14	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x33f597…
10-24 18:05:50	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xb54c05…
10-24 18:03:45	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	481	25¢	$119	0xdeaf02…
10-10 07:30:21	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	4¢	$2	0xdb8fde…
10-09 16:46:31	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0xb93ae7…
10-09 16:46:22	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	122	1¢	$1	0x8068e5…
10-09 16:46:19	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xae195f…
10-09 16:45:26	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	5¢	$4	0x73055b…
10-09 16:45:08	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xb2e848…
10-09 16:45:02	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	1¢	$1	0xa077a4…
10-09 07:49:36	Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x122bc4…
10-09 07:47:37	Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x6ec100…
10-08 20:49:57	Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3m?	Yes	BUY	36	8¢	$3	0xd85bf4…
10-08 20:49:47	Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3m?	Yes	BUY	110	10¢	$11	0x6c269f…
10-08 14:01:26	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb3d48a…
10-08 14:00:53	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,010	0¢	$1	0x309064…
10-08 13:59:50	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x30e17a…
10-08 06:23:26	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	11¢	$7	0x8f5f67…
10-08 06:15:10	Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x6e9678…
10-08 06:09:56	Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x0b6777…
10-08 05:53:14	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x8c2124…
10-08 05:53:07	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	547	0¢	$2	0xc62440…
10-08 05:52:25	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	291	2¢	$5	0x06bfaa…
10-08 05:33:14	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	294	3¢	$10	0x1c73a8…
10-08 04:59:58	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	15¢	$10	0xe3d905…
10-08 04:59:49	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	166	6¢	$10	0x354836…
10-07 20:01:23	Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	12¢	$30	0xb4f3c7…
10-07 19:56:46	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	153	64¢	$98	0x303670…
10-07 19:56:40	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	258	42¢	$108	0x937429…
10-07 19:52:19	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	153	66¢	$101	0x616b8e…
10-07 19:51:16	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	258	44¢	$113	0x08a67d…
10-07 18:46:28	Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xe3cb68…
10-07 18:25:27	Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3m?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xbc64d3…
10-07 15:48:25	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	163	18¢	$30	0x3c8186…
10-07 15:48:11	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	SELL	241	8¢	$19	0xf2ee39…
10-07 15:46:46	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	458	4¢	$16	0xca8af7…
10-07 15:46:34	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,983	0¢	$8	0xe00c61…
10-07 15:27:23	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	132	4¢	$5	0xc18f07…
10-07 15:24:19	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	883	1¢	$7	0x0f5826…
10-07 15:10:10	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	161	4¢	$7	0xa4b375…
10-07 08:41:11	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	19	13¢	$2	0xd25168…
10-07 08:40:41	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	91	12¢	$11	0xadabdc…
10-07 07:58:57	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,649	0¢	$8	0xbf62b0…
10-07 07:53:45	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	2¢	$2	0x51ee49…
10-07 07:53:24	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,500	0¢	$4	0x48c1a0…
10-07 07:46:08	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	23¢	$9	0x1a7ff8…
10-07 07:45:48	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	9¢	$4	0xd42665…
10-07 07:42:24	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	746	1¢	$11	0x41d5dc…
10-07 07:42:05	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11,000	0¢	$11	0xa09791…
10-07 04:31:27	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,222	0¢	$4	0x1cb602…
10-07 04:31:24	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	900	0¢	$2	0x275d37…
10-07 04:10:56	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	131	20¢	$27	0xee0239…
10-07 04:01:09	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9a5cbd…
10-07 03:17:27	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,178	0¢	$15	0x1c9dac…
10-07 03:16:38	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	941	2¢	$20	0x959d7d…
10-06 20:40:54	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	167	25¢	$42	0xfbdb6b…
10-06 18:48:15	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	236	11¢	$26	0x6cd333…
10-06 18:23:57	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x1ef226…
10-06 16:16:51	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0x22b601…
10-06 15:45:17	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x42d2ea…
10-06 15:39:57	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0x48a4ff…
10-06 15:37:38	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	24¢	$40	0x8641dd…
10-06 15:37:23	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	28¢	$35	0x81ba3b…
10-06 13:57:48	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	151	77¢	$116	0xb6cae9…
10-06 13:20:58	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x33e1a0…
10-06 13:08:52	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	41¢	$21	0x8816c9…
10-06 13:00:21	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	44¢	$22	0x21883f…
10-06 12:31:54	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	48¢	$19	0x3c0837…
10-06 11:43:22	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$37	0x40ca33…