Realized P&L (7d)
+$1.06K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.41K
Hit rate
47.3%
Resolved (7d)
6
Trades (7d)
369
365 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$179.3K
$178.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$490
Open exposure
$34.1K
20 positions
First seen
2026-11-11
last 11-13 21:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
91% 33% +$1,055
Tech
7% — —
Politics
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 323 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +12,687 $12,307 99¢ $12.5K +$209 11-12 20:36
Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by November 30, 2026? No +4,865 $4,634 95¢ $4.6K -$22 11-13 22:17
FAA outage attributed to Iran? No — +3,262 $3,037 97¢ $3.2K +$128 11-13 22:21
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +2,438 $2,387 98¢ $2.4K +$13 11-13 05:38
Will Alice Huang be federally charged by December 31, 2026? No +2,513 $2,312 92¢ $2.3K +$13 11-12 22:34
Will 7 or more Jensen Huang affairs be reported by December 31? No +2,431 $2,183 94¢ $2.3K +$114 11-13 00:21
Fourth Jensen Huang affair reported by December 31? No +3,888 $1,817 57¢ $2.2K +$400 11-13 20:07
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +1,154 $1,060 97¢ $1.1K +$58 11-13 21:15
Will Jensen Huang join SpaceX by December 31, 2026? No +861 $776 92¢ $794 +$18 11-12 21:05
FAA outage attributed to a foreign actor? No — +816 $746 94¢ $772 +$25 11-13 22:23
Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by December 31, 2026? No +571 $516 88¢ $505 -$11 11-13 21:07
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +1,698 $72 21¢ $364 +$292 11-12 14:51
faa nationwide ground stop lifted by november 13 6pm et No — +303 $258 100¢ $303 +$45 11-13 22:07
Fourth Jensen Huang affair reported by November 13? No +240 $196 99¢ $237 +$40 11-13 01:34
Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 13, 8:00 PM ET? No — +272 $204 82¢ $223 +$19 11-13 22:36
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes +11,281 $156 1¢ $152 -$3 11-12 21:50
Will Ian Buck be the next CEO of NVIDIA? No +84 -$294 76¢ $64 +$359 11-13 23:07
Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 13, 8:00 PM ET? Yes — +272 $93 18¢ $49 -$44 11-13 22:51
Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by December 31, 2026? Yes +53 $5 12¢ $6 +$1 11-13 21:09
Jensen Huang divorce by March 31, 2027? Yes +0 $241 35¢ $0 -$241 11-13 11:15