Elated-Input-Duty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$417

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

82.0%

Resolved

3,511

Trades

5,931

lifetime

Volume

$69.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$12

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-31

last 10-29 23:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 100 days

Categories

Other

65% 74% +$156

Crypto

24% 84% -$387

Sports

6% 58% -$216

Politics

5% 53% -$32

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% 100% +$62

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 228 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will KV Kortrijk win on 2026-10-23?	No	+14	$9	44¢	$6	-$3	10-23 12:45
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	+5	$2	84¢	$4	+$2	08-26 22:36
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	No	+6	-$2	22¢	$1	+$3	08-26 19:59
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	No	+1	$0	26¢	$0	$0	09-23 13:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?	9	$698	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$85	06-02 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 12:25 UTC	5	$279	205	115	+90	Down	+$19	06-04 12:29
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	7	$227	250	250	+0	No	-$4	06-02 14:38
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	5	$214	220	220	+0	open	—	09-08 05:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 12:10 UTC	6	$208	123	123	+0	Up	+$8	06-04 12:15
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	5	$199	125	125	+0	open	—	10-28 00:15
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?	8	$196	197	197	+0	open	—	08-31 19:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-28 14:15 UTC	1	$195	238	0	+238	Down	+$42	06-28 14:29
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 08:00 UTC	1	$186	217	0	+217	Up	-$186	06-29 08:14
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?	8	$177	160	160	+0	open	—	10-24 13:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 02:45 UTC	1	$174	194	0	+194	Down	+$20	06-29 02:59
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	9	$170	192	192	+0	open	—	09-02 10:01
Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?	8	$162	121	121	+0	Yes	+$2	09-28 16:13
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	4	$151	153	153	+0	open	—	09-19 12:39
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	6	$146	102	102	+0	open	—	08-28 11:12
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	4	$145	133	133	+0	open	—	09-15 21:34
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	5	$144	308	308	+0	open	—	08-29 07:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:25 UTC	5	$144	266	266	+0	Up	$0	06-04 03:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$142	833	833	+0	Down	-$58	06-03 19:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-28 21:15 UTC	1	$141	176	0	+176	Down	-$141	06-28 21:29
Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?	4	$140	77	77	+0	Yes	-$2	08-20 15:33
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	5	$139	101	101	+0	open	—	10-28 18:48
Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	1	$139	157	0	+157	Down	-$139	06-30 15:44
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?	5	$131	305	305	+0	Yes	+$62	06-04 22:44
Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	3	$128	84	84	+0	Yes	+$1	09-28 18:27
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-28 21:15 UTC	1	$128	150	0	+150	Up	+$22	06-28 21:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 18:00 UTC	1	$127	144	0	+144	Up	+$17	06-27 18:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 04:15 UTC	1	$125	163	0	+163	Down	+$38	06-27 04:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 15:15 UTC	1	$122	156	0	+156	Down	+$34	06-30 15:29
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	2	$120	184	184	+0	open	—	09-06 13:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 23:05:42	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xff5899…
10-29 22:16:43	Kings vs. Pelicans	Kings	BUY	14	32¢	$4	0x610747…
10-29 22:14:43	LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x37bbc5…
10-29 20:40:13	Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - NEXUS SERIES Playoffs	Team Synapse	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x8fb5f8…
10-29 15:56:49	Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	Astralis	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x7950a6…
10-29 14:52:47	Counter-Strike: Iberian Soul vs ZOTIX (BO1) - Circuito Retake Group C	Iberian Soul	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1a0735…
10-29 13:45:49	Counter-Strike: Iberian Soul vs ZOTIX (BO1) - Circuito Retake Group C	Iberian Soul	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x9323ba…
10-29 12:38:50	Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	22	60¢	$13	0xe2ae85…
10-29 11:50:49	Kings vs. Pelicans	Kings	BUY	13	34¢	$4	0xc0356c…
10-29 09:24:07	Valorant: World Sports Invictus Gaming vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT Threshold China Week 2	TEC Esports	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x9d8367…
10-29 04:59:46	Will CF América win on 2026-09-05?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xcb26aa…
10-29 02:12:44	Will CF América win on 2026-09-05?	No	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0xec6841…
10-29 00:17:46	LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x98e124…
10-28 23:31:46	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	Under	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x5e59b6…
10-28 22:29:46	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Invictus Gaming	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x0c2f31…
10-28 21:25:52	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x75bed1…
10-28 19:22:08	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	Under	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0x0232ff…
10-28 18:48:11	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0x6c6212…
10-28 18:21:11	Valorant: KRÜ Blaze vs Team Liquid Brazil (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Championship Playoffs	Team Liquid Brazil	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xa6e53e…
10-28 18:18:14	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x4581a3…
10-28 18:04:11	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	29	41¢	$12	0x31d176…
10-28 17:39:08	Will IFK Goteborg win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0xd5f70e…
10-28 16:53:08	Kings vs. Pelicans	Kings	BUY	13	32¢	$4	0xecf3f5…
10-28 14:48:10	Erste Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Brandon Nakashima	Tallon Griekspoor	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x702d3e…
10-28 13:57:10	AC Milan vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x7ca939…
10-28 13:22:08	Flames vs. Oilers	Flames	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x9ab891…
10-28 12:55:08	Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)	Eternal Fire	BUY	13	57¢	$7	0xd7f49b…
10-28 08:34:11	Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)	Eternal Fire	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xd6eb9e…
10-28 08:26:10	CF América vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 13.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0xd5ca7f…
10-28 07:52:08	Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)	Eternal Fire	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x489124…
10-28 00:15:36	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	SELL	51	81¢	$41	0x41f5fd…
10-27 23:23:06	lol tes blg 2026 10 28 game1 kill over 27pt5	Over	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xcf0b21…
10-27 19:39:09	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Invictus Gaming	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xc97a01…
10-27 19:33:14	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Vitality	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x14fc95…
10-27 18:45:12	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x2666a9…
10-27 18:36:11	Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-10-27?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x30b8d1…
10-27 17:01:02	Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs fnatic (+1.5)	fnatic	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x9f4fb0…
10-27 15:59:18	Valorant: MIBR GC vs Gentle Mates GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Championship Playoffs	MIBR GC	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x65a98e…
10-27 15:42:15	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Vitality	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x8c7599…
10-27 15:41:18	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Astra Invicta (BO1) - PARI Universe Group B	Astra Invicta	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x4a54b6…
10-27 14:17:23	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x96d16c…
10-27 12:30:14	Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0x7d542f…
10-27 12:16:18	Counter-Strike: Alliance vs FaZe (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group A	FaZe	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x99c9ae…
10-27 11:51:14	Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	14	67¢	$9	0x27062c…
10-27 11:50:21	Will Newcastle United Jets win on 2026-10-27?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x9e757f…
10-27 06:49:15	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Astra Invicta (BO1) - PARI Universe Group B	Astra Invicta	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0xe29150…
10-27 06:25:12	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Brute - Map 2 Winner	Team Nemesis	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xf72810…
10-27 06:03:17	Counter-Strike: Envy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group B	Envy	BUY	22	61¢	$13	0x80a74f…
10-27 05:25:12	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Brute (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	Team Nemesis	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0xf680d2…
10-27 04:01:11	Will Newcastle United Jets win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0xaf8b1a…
10-27 03:01:18	Will Independiente Santa Fe vs. CA Bucaramanga end in a draw?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xe0db84…
10-27 02:26:14	Counter-Strike: Envy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group B	Envy	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x794ae5…
10-27 02:12:20	Will Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CD Riestra end in a draw?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x9f2925…
10-27 01:59:18	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xb568e1…
10-27 01:36:14	Spread: EC Juventude (-1.5)	EC Juventude	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x092db3…
10-27 01:01:14	Will CR Flamengo vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x25d8a2…
10-27 00:46:12	Will Independiente Santa Fe vs. CA Bucaramanga end in a draw?	No	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0xaa0d91…
10-27 00:22:14	Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe win on 2026-10-26?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xa72221…
10-27 00:21:11	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0xa84469…
10-26 23:53:12	Will CA Nacional Potosí win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x2eaed0…
10-26 23:52:11	Will Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CD Riestra end in a draw?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x39071a…
10-26 23:48:21	CA Mineiro leading at halftime?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xa7c5a3…
10-26 22:59:12	Will CR Flamengo vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?	No	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0x752ba2…
10-26 22:57:15	Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs HOTU (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group B	Luminosity	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x0cbda7…
10-26 22:56:12	CA Mineiro leading at halftime?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x1b985c…
10-26 22:51:20	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x58519a…
10-26 22:50:15	CA Unión leading at halftime?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xc5791d…
10-26 22:06:11	Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs fnatic (+1.5)	fnatic	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x40eaf3…
10-26 22:00:11	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xb97264…
10-26 21:56:41	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x88ff62…
10-26 21:53:14	Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xc9ce2b…
10-26 21:51:21	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LEGION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	BetBoom Team	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xd2404c…
10-26 21:32:23	Will CA Nacional Potosí win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0x713a8a…
10-26 21:31:18	Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	Nuclear TigeRES	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xda7ffd…
10-26 21:28:18	Counter-Strike: Alliance vs FaZe (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group A	FaZe	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0xf65665…
10-26 21:12:15	CA Unión leading at halftime?	No	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x5219d5…
10-26 21:11:20	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x84bc99…
10-26 20:26:18	Counter-Strike: Envy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group B	Envy	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0x34ebe4…
10-26 20:25:33	Will Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x7f2d90…
10-26 20:20:15	Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x3a06f2…
10-26 20:10:29	Will Al Sadd SC win on 2026-10-26?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x8b9034…
10-26 18:50:17	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LEGION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	BetBoom Team	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0xbb10c0…
10-26 18:49:18	Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS - Map 2 Winner	G2	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x8cd681…
10-26 18:15:17	Suns vs. Thunder	Suns	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x13b65f…
10-26 17:42:15	Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)	Galatasaray SK	BUY	17	28¢	$5	0xced009…
10-26 17:41:20	LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x039af0…
10-26 16:10:17	Will Al Sadd SC win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0x2d8a38…
10-26 16:09:15	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	Team Yandex	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x4ffa6e…
10-26 16:03:15	Spread: EC Juventude (-1.5)	EC Juventude	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x5d76f4…
10-26 15:57:14	LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Secret Whales	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xe138c3…
10-26 15:56:17	Will Mohun Bagan Super Giant win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xc6df74…
10-26 14:59:15	Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS - Map 2 Winner	G2	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x00fff3…
10-26 14:06:14	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0xa98680…
10-26 14:05:20	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner	Team Yandex	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xc99955…
10-26 13:27:15	Will Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x644b4f…
10-26 13:17:12	Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	G2	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x8723ea…
10-26 13:17:12	LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x71028c…
10-26 12:46:11	Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Brute (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	Metizport	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x828a79…
10-26 12:21:11	Will Mohun Bagan Super Giant win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x72400b…
10-26 11:50:18	Counter-Strike: gothboiclique vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs	UNiTY esports	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe98cf1…