Crafty-Sonnet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$450

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

87.6%

Resolved (90d)

1,555

Trades (90d)

2,876

24,243 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$21.6K

$82.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$43

1 position

First seen

2026-05-08

last 11-03 18:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 101 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 74% -$2,976

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 444 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	—	+43	$42	98¢	$43	+$1	11-03 18:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 09:15 UTC	66	$393	592	+592	Down	-$249	07-30 09:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 08:50 UTC	68	$291	660	+660	Down	+$29	07-30 08:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 17:05 UTC	49	$275	520	+520	Down	+$65	07-30 17:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 13:15 UTC	64	$271	740	+740	Down	-$31	07-30 13:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 12:50 UTC	51	$269	580	+580	Up	+$51	07-30 12:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 09:00 UTC	34	$265	400	+400	Up	-$205	07-30 09:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 12:45 UTC	45	$263	620	+620	Up	+$17	07-30 12:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 16:30 UTC	44	$258	540	+540	Down	+$42	07-30 16:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 18:00 UTC	21	$258	340	+340	Down	-$258	07-30 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	28	$258	340	+340	Down	+$82	07-30 17:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 19:30 UTC	20	$254	320	+320	Up	-$94	08-12 19:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 15:25 UTC	34	$238	360	+360	Up	-$179	07-20 15:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 17:50 UTC	45	$226	520	+520	Down	+$34	07-30 17:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 13:50 UTC	67	$222	560	+560	Down	+$12	07-30 13:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 16:15 UTC	26	$214	340	+340	Down	+$46	07-30 16:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 08:30 UTC	52	$208	365	+365	Up	+$37	07-30 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	26	$196	270	+270	Down	+$59	07-20 11:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 08:25 UTC	50	$179	525	+525	Up	-$14	07-30 08:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 18:05 UTC	31	$178	280	+280	Down	-$158	07-30 18:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 12:30 UTC	41	$177	520	+520	Up	+$3	07-30 12:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 18:20 UTC	15	$176	220	+220	Down	+$44	08-12 18:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 15:05 UTC	21	$176	223	+223	Up	-$176	07-30 15:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 17:55 UTC	12	$174	220	+220	Up	+$46	07-30 17:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 15:55 UTC	23	$171	220	+220	Up	-$171	07-30 15:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 13:35 UTC	20	$167	202	+202	Down	+$35	07-20 13:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 09:55 UTC	25	$164	255	+255	Down	+$31	07-20 09:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 13:20 UTC	49	$156	460	+460	Up	+$4	07-30 13:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 11:45 UTC	63	$155	260	+260	Down	-$45	07-14 11:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 16:55 UTC	37	$153	400	+400	Down	+$7	07-30 16:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 11:10 UTC	58	$151	270	+270	Up	-$56	07-14 11:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 18:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0xcaa10f…
11-03 17:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x7b786f…
11-03 17:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x42abde…
11-03 17:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb25d77…
11-03 17:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x85e2e6…
11-03 17:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xe2ce3b…
11-03 17:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xb85b80…
11-03 16:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x966bcb…
11-03 16:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x577f05…
11-03 16:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6bce9b…
11-03 16:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x510bef…
11-03 16:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xf2b59d…
11-03 16:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3c1afc…
11-03 16:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x58241e…
11-03 15:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xa4ac5b…
11-03 15:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x90fa17…
11-03 15:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x100197…
11-03 15:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeca3db…
11-03 15:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x370b2b…
11-03 15:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x0c903f…
11-03 14:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xcd2496…
11-03 14:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x1ba236…
11-03 14:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xb74873…
11-03 13:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x567446…
11-03 13:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9d86c2…
11-03 13:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x4b1517…
11-03 13:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xde662c…
11-03 13:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xba9f30…
11-03 13:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3fcdb4…
11-03 12:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xbf094e…
11-03 12:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x705886…
11-03 12:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0x044215…
11-03 12:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x0586b2…
11-03 12:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x9679e9…
11-03 12:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4fbbb6…
11-03 12:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2bea84…
11-03 12:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x89e518…
11-03 11:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xe35046…
11-03 11:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x834548…
11-03 11:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x6584de…
11-03 11:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x3750ff…
11-03 11:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	18	95¢	$18	0xd95872…
11-03 11:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x08e13b…
11-03 11:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd12b46…
11-03 11:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x44059d…
11-03 11:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5aa4bd…
11-03 11:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb10d67…
11-03 11:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x9de6b0…
11-03 11:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8ec938…
11-03 11:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x24f5d9…
11-03 11:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x2901db…
11-03 10:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x76faa8…
11-03 10:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x5d8e1a…
11-03 10:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x06b781…
11-03 10:38:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x4fecf1…
11-03 10:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb57757…
11-03 10:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0x39abdf…
11-03 10:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x2f6fdb…
11-03 09:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	39	96¢	$37	0x1c9d02…
11-03 09:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xde6977…
11-03 09:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdc6c10…
11-03 09:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	43	96¢	$41	0x1ccca1…
11-03 09:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x6cf858…
11-03 09:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe91806…
11-03 09:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xa87df1…
11-03 09:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x9aa5b6…
11-03 09:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xd5e4ba…
11-03 09:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	96¢	$15	0x3c1d52…
11-03 08:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc24b83…
11-03 08:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x06a4c6…
11-03 08:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x2c340d…
11-03 08:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x0b6dc0…
11-03 08:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x2c50a8…
11-03 08:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x78a8be…
11-03 06:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xfd0600…
11-03 06:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x615b33…
11-03 06:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x1e1875…
11-03 06:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe36d61…
11-03 06:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x650812…
11-03 06:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x4639f8…
11-03 06:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xcd320a…
11-03 05:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0adfaa…
11-03 04:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xfcc5ef…
11-03 04:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xbf9b93…
11-03 04:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x2043b1…
11-03 04:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xb987c9…
11-03 03:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x808a5a…
11-03 03:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x285d9f…
11-03 03:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xde6dcf…
11-03 03:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xb329c3…
11-03 02:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc8ec9d…
11-03 02:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	48	97¢	$47	0xb5eb80…
11-03 02:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0x0c4c4e…
11-03 02:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xfd4309…
11-03 02:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x0bf374…
11-03 02:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x735f63…
11-03 02:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x63fcd7…
11-03 02:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0x5dd82e…
11-03 01:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x645355…
11-03 01:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xd0fdde…