Crafty-Sonnet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$9

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

95.6%

Resolved (30d)

1,192

Trades (30d)

1,832

28,216 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$18.1K

$95.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$13

1 position

First seen

2026-05-08

last 11-04 04:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 102 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 74% -$2,937

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 444 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	—	+13	$12	99¢	$13	+$1	11-04 05:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 09:15 UTC	66	$393	592	+592	Down	-$249	07-30 09:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 08:50 UTC	68	$291	660	+660	Down	+$29	07-30 08:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 17:05 UTC	49	$275	520	+520	Down	+$65	07-30 17:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 13:15 UTC	64	$271	740	+740	Down	-$31	07-30 13:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 12:50 UTC	51	$269	580	+580	Up	+$51	07-30 12:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 09:00 UTC	34	$265	400	+400	Up	-$205	07-30 09:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 12:45 UTC	45	$263	620	+620	Up	+$17	07-30 12:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 16:30 UTC	44	$258	540	+540	Down	+$42	07-30 16:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 18:00 UTC	21	$258	340	+340	Down	-$258	07-30 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	28	$258	340	+340	Down	+$82	07-30 17:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 19:30 UTC	20	$254	320	+320	Up	-$94	08-12 19:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 15:25 UTC	34	$238	360	+360	Up	-$179	07-20 15:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 17:50 UTC	45	$226	520	+520	Down	+$34	07-30 17:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 13:50 UTC	67	$222	560	+560	Down	+$12	07-30 13:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 16:15 UTC	26	$214	340	+340	Down	+$46	07-30 16:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 08:30 UTC	52	$208	365	+365	Up	+$37	07-30 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	26	$196	270	+270	Down	+$59	07-20 11:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 08:25 UTC	50	$179	525	+525	Up	-$14	07-30 08:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 18:05 UTC	31	$178	280	+280	Down	-$158	07-30 18:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 12:30 UTC	41	$177	520	+520	Up	+$3	07-30 12:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 18:20 UTC	15	$176	220	+220	Down	+$44	08-12 18:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 15:05 UTC	21	$176	223	+223	Up	-$176	07-30 15:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 17:55 UTC	12	$174	220	+220	Up	+$46	07-30 17:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 15:55 UTC	23	$171	220	+220	Up	-$171	07-30 15:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 13:35 UTC	20	$167	202	+202	Down	+$35	07-20 13:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 09:55 UTC	25	$164	255	+255	Down	+$31	07-20 09:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 13:20 UTC	49	$156	460	+460	Up	+$4	07-30 13:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 11:45 UTC	63	$155	260	+260	Down	-$45	07-14 11:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 16:55 UTC	37	$153	400	+400	Down	+$7	07-30 16:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 11:10 UTC	58	$151	270	+270	Up	-$56	07-14 11:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 05:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x477acc…
11-04 05:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x612cd0…
11-04 05:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	27	95¢	$26	0xde25b7…
11-04 04:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	95¢	$12	0x1ce92e…
11-04 04:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xd801f1…
11-04 04:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0xcba8b1…
11-04 04:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x280661…
11-04 04:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0f1cfb…
11-04 04:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x15ff8a…
11-04 04:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5edb0c…
11-04 04:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x65bf0b…
11-04 04:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaa1866…
11-04 04:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd36c14…
11-04 04:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xf27f07…
11-04 04:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1629d7…
11-04 04:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb12425…
11-04 04:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x7f4e94…
11-04 04:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5e7dfa…
11-04 04:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x1f9a0d…
11-04 04:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x3a6c8d…
11-04 04:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xaa76e2…
11-04 03:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x37ba08…
11-04 03:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	31	96¢	$29	0x542f28…
11-04 03:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0x24d646…
11-04 03:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x191878…
11-04 03:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x8cfba8…
11-04 03:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	35	95¢	$33	0x8b0eac…
11-04 03:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x406dd2…
11-04 03:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x993d2d…
11-04 03:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0xe5a406…
11-04 02:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x9e7ab6…
11-04 02:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x17ac51…
11-04 02:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x0dc30d…
11-04 02:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0c1b4e…
11-04 02:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x772e35…
11-04 02:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x68b640…
11-04 02:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x60ee8b…
11-04 02:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7d8f64…
11-04 02:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x752b51…
11-04 02:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x816bed…
11-04 02:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	46	95¢	$44	0x0e84b8…
11-04 01:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xb7dd94…
11-04 01:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8e98c5…
11-04 01:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x3c3593…
11-04 01:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x338de9…
11-04 01:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x20150c…
11-04 01:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xcef0d9…
11-04 01:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xe6a182…
11-04 00:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xd27d8e…
11-04 00:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd13474…
11-04 00:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb7ec46…
11-04 00:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xf3e5ef…
11-04 00:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xb3fc44…
11-04 00:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x0d6045…
11-04 00:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x18cdf3…
11-04 00:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xf84ad1…
11-03 23:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x454d98…
11-03 23:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x4ae3bd…
11-03 23:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x8b00c8…
11-03 23:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xbe8eb2…
11-03 23:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xa741e4…
11-03 23:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x53c7ef…
11-03 23:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xb3209d…
11-03 22:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0xa8ddd0…
11-03 22:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x9ff62d…
11-03 22:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb8f745…
11-03 22:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3dd397…
11-03 21:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x586d43…
11-03 21:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xdd0c9d…
11-03 21:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xbb7097…
11-03 21:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8968da…
11-03 21:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x75df16…
11-03 21:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6cd6c1…
11-03 21:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x50bb56…
11-03 21:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x1d5026…
11-03 20:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x94aa9c…
11-03 19:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb1401e…
11-03 19:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x16ae17…
11-03 19:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0xaea89c…
11-03 19:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xff0632…
11-03 18:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x71684d…
11-03 18:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0xcaa10f…
11-03 17:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x7b786f…
11-03 17:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x42abde…
11-03 17:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb25d77…
11-03 17:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x85e2e6…
11-03 17:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xe2ce3b…
11-03 17:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xb85b80…
11-03 16:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x966bcb…
11-03 16:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x577f05…
11-03 16:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6bce9b…
11-03 16:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x510bef…
11-03 16:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xf2b59d…
11-03 16:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3c1afc…
11-03 16:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x58241e…
11-03 15:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xa4ac5b…
11-03 15:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x90fa17…
11-03 15:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x100197…
11-03 15:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeca3db…
11-03 15:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x370b2b…