Imperturbable-Generator — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.4%

Resolved

Trades

3,764

lifetime

Volume

$415.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$110

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 07-29 16:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

62% 100% +$219

Other

37% 25% $-224

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 266 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	55	$16.3K	9,754	8,984	+770	open	—	05-07 11:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	152	$15.5K	11,405	11,205	+200	open	—	05-08 10:55
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	35	$14.2K	9,050	8,050	+1,000	open	—	05-20 02:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	59	$11.3K	7,545	7,545	+0	open	—	05-29 01:42
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	79	$11.0K	7,116	7,120	-4	open	—	02-28 03:35
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	34	$11.0K	8,000	5,000	+3,000	open	—	03-08 12:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	54	$10.2K	6,474	4,864	+1,609	open	—	05-17 16:11
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	34	$9.3K	6,550	4,550	+2,000	open	—	03-09 19:29
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	54	$8.8K	6,822	4,296	+2,525	open	—	02-28 06:18
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	71	$7.4K	4,109	4,097	+12	open	—	04-15 14:50
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	61	$7.3K	5,303	4,253	+1,050	open	—	05-08 02:50
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	48	$7.2K	5,011	3,681	+1,330	open	—	04-22 16:11
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	38	$7.1K	4,500	3,500	+1,000	open	—	02-25 18:02
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	242	$6.0K	3,500	3,500	+0	open	—	05-28 14:48
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	21	$6.0K	4,101	2,766	+1,335	open	—	01-31 13:22
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	18	$5.8K	3,680	3,000	+680	open	—	05-26 11:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	70	$5.8K	3,838	3,813	+25	open	—	05-31 19:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	26	$5.8K	3,490	2,875	+615	open	—	05-07 20:02
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	27	$5.2K	2,905	2,905	+0	open	—	05-15 16:16
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	29	$5.1K	2,940	2,520	+420	open	—	04-16 05:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	35	$5.1K	4,250	3,750	+500	open	—	04-23 20:37
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	20	$5.0K	2,722	2,722	+0	open	—	02-20 02:32
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	17	$5.0K	3,423	2,367	+1,056	No	+$61	05-07 17:56
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	81	$4.8K	4,360	2,860	+1,500	open	—	02-16 17:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	38	$4.7K	2,819	2,314	+505	open	—	04-26 04:57
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	21	$4.6K	3,676	1,500	+2,176	open	—	04-28 13:34
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	31	$4.5K	3,435	2,185	+1,250	open	—	04-21 17:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	41	$4.3K	3,520	2,105	+1,415	open	—	06-07 00:01
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	20	$4.1K	2,240	2,020	+220	open	—	04-14 12:14
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	58	$4.1K	2,955	2,905	+50	open	—	05-30 14:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-29 16:21:51	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	SELL	179	71¢	$127	0x929a80…
07-29 16:21:51	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	SELL	321	71¢	$228	0x20836f…
07-27 01:26:42	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	500	62¢	$310	0x575af4…
07-26 00:13:33	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	250	59¢	$148	0xc105dc…
07-25 15:38:45	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	500	86¢	$430	0xe34e6a…
07-25 13:31:43	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	24	70¢	$17	0xe85107…
07-25 11:21:24	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x6e173d…
07-25 11:18:37	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x96873f…
07-25 11:12:33	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0xb3c1af…
07-25 11:08:18	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	67	70¢	$47	0xa0df48…
07-25 10:30:52	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xd73ce4…
07-25 08:32:10	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xba9359…
07-25 07:47:51	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xecef86…
07-25 07:32:58	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0x127beb…
07-25 03:54:04	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0x0ddeaa…
07-25 00:30:18	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	188	70¢	$131	0xb19d65…
07-24 20:50:51	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	300	72¢	$217	0x95f7c1…
07-24 20:43:04	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	32	84¢	$27	0xd07d29…
07-24 20:32:40	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	118	84¢	$99	0xffef42…
07-24 15:06:28	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	250	58¢	$145	0xa18771…
07-24 05:59:58	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	SELL	4	87¢	$3	0x481b30…
07-24 02:07:30	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	SELL	200	87¢	$174	0x61f99b…
07-23 23:52:00	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	500	59¢	$295	0x167b1b…
07-23 21:45:28	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	SELL	287	87¢	$250	0x9cc8d0…
07-23 19:29:07	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	250	55¢	$137	0x0be479…
07-23 19:24:19	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	250	56¢	$140	0x2ac734…
07-23 19:19:04	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	250	55¢	$137	0xfd8321…
07-23 19:17:09	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	SELL	139	77¢	$107	0x0afcd2…
07-23 19:15:18	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	46	75¢	$35	0x4ded1b…
07-23 18:57:25	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	22	73¢	$16	0xf53edf…
07-23 18:56:42	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	60	73¢	$44	0x1e3d02…
07-23 18:52:55	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0xf4e315…
07-23 13:51:40	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0x4c91ab…
07-22 14:15:12	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	No	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0x3178a9…
07-22 14:12:12	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	No	SELL	16	93¢	$15	0x6468d3…
07-22 14:05:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	205	76¢	$156	0x148223…
07-22 14:03:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	500	86¢	$430	0xfdea5c…
07-22 13:58:49	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	69	74¢	$51	0xebf410…
07-22 13:37:12	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0x8eecf0…
07-22 13:37:10	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0x4c5980…
07-22 13:37:07	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	136	74¢	$100	0x43b8ac…
07-22 01:38:07	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	129	69¢	$89	0x6e28e7…
07-21 22:16:12	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	No	BUY	36	89¢	$32	0xc4415b…
07-21 22:07:43	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xb20267…
07-21 22:07:42	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x0f0301…
07-21 22:07:40	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	95	69¢	$66	0x2e2f69…
07-21 21:22:37	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	SELL	285	75¢	$214	0xef0635…
07-21 20:59:18	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	250	65¢	$162	0x53d4ec…
07-21 20:00:06	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xb567a5…
07-21 18:19:49	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	No	BUY	47	89¢	$42	0xa15c7e…
07-21 17:47:21	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	BUY	300	73¢	$219	0x9c81cd…
07-21 17:24:00	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x9e282e…
07-21 17:18:13	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	500	86¢	$430	0x533aae…
07-21 17:04:30	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xe8dda6…
07-17 23:38:25	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	500	59¢	$296	0xa52d03…
07-17 23:22:39	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	297	61¢	$181	0x061d30…
07-17 23:01:52	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xd70293…
07-16 23:51:14	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	193	61¢	$118	0x89b011…
07-13 21:41:38	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	500	59¢	$295	0xff7335…
07-13 19:49:46	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	500	58¢	$290	0xbb4062…
07-13 19:41:05	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	500	40¢	$200	0xf1c806…
07-12 22:15:13	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	No	BUY	115	81¢	$93	0xdae5ec…
07-12 22:13:50	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	No	BUY	135	81¢	$109	0x1d38e9…
07-12 21:27:40	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	No	SELL	300	88¢	$264	0x1da6ef…
07-12 08:38:17	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	250	94¢	$235	0xa4504c…
07-12 04:18:11	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	500	89¢	$445	0x826001…
07-12 02:36:10	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	250	49¢	$122	0xbdc855…
07-11 23:26:49	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	SELL	500	83¢	$415	0xe9df22…
07-11 22:21:17	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	SELL	432	64¢	$277	0x2978c6…
07-11 21:16:58	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	SELL	39	64¢	$25	0x794e4e…
07-10 14:11:50	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	500	87¢	$435	0xb0e633…
07-10 14:11:40	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	250	91¢	$228	0xc26df4…
07-10 12:46:26	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	250	84¢	$210	0xf606dd…
07-10 12:33:46	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	250	92¢	$230	0xa73de6…
07-09 19:59:05	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x8e31d1…
07-09 19:59:05	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	No	BUY	48	87¢	$42	0x46a75b…
07-09 19:59:05	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	No	BUY	244	87¢	$212	0x39e636…
07-09 04:35:55	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	65	63¢	$41	0x85a3f5…
07-09 04:33:59	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x753cc5…
07-09 02:35:55	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	7	63¢	$5	0xf07ca9…
07-09 02:32:16	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0xf8a776…
07-09 00:38:26	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	93	70¢	$65	0x45924c…
07-09 00:35:55	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0xc048d6…
07-09 00:27:08	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	22	70¢	$15	0x75d4ac…
07-09 00:08:05	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0x4ec041…
07-09 00:07:52	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	27	63¢	$17	0xf9cfde…
07-08 23:59:46	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0x6cc2e0…
07-08 23:50:47	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$2	0xbbc133…
07-08 23:47:46	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	90	70¢	$63	0x0e6923…
07-08 23:47:38	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xaee209…
07-08 21:33:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829	No	SELL	117	76¢	$89	0x48b16f…
07-08 21:30:52	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829	No	SELL	14	76¢	$11	0x298822…
07-08 21:29:40	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829	No	SELL	119	76¢	$91	0x83236e…
07-08 20:34:59	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	SELL	329	64¢	$210	0x787751…
07-08 20:17:59	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829	No	BUY	250	75¢	$188	0xfb6a80…
07-08 18:07:04	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	494	82¢	$405	0xd7a071…
07-08 18:05:05	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829	No	SELL	250	77¢	$192	0xac76bd…
07-08 17:46:32	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829	No	BUY	250	75¢	$188	0xf66f60…
07-08 17:42:35	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	171	63¢	$108	0x2ebb97…
07-08 17:29:07	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	329	63¢	$207	0xe2807f…